Hurricane season can't get here soon enough!

1/5/2012 9:54:57 AM

Damn, that was quick!

1/5/2012 1:18:34 PM

1/5/2012 1:37:49 PM

So from now until June we should just devote this thread to epic DS9 chat in order to keep it salient.

1/5/2012 2:55:25 PM

there IS an episode of DS9 where a "storm" comes through the area and they have to evacuate DS9, except for a skeleton crew.

1/8/2012 10:43:32 AM

I was so spoiled by 2005 and 2006 which occured before i was of age/expertise to chase that now I am just longing for a slew of landfalls

1/8/2012 1:24:35 PM

5/20/2012 3:56:40 PM

looks like it will miss nc mostly...

5/20/2012 5:14:25 PM

still odd it formed in May

5/21/2012 9:04:08 AM

Alberto might hang around a while...

ba dum chhh

5/21/2012 9:34:07 AM

AH!

5/21/2012 10:01:06 AM

A lot of people I've casually talked to have been doubting the hurricane forecast for this year, based solely on these two very early season tropical storms. I feel like it makes no difference. On the other hand if either of these storms had developed into hurricanes that is a slightly different situation...

5/29/2012 8:50:53 AM

We can't let that thread over in Chit Chat top this one. The mind numbing posts in that one just make your head pop.

5/30/2012 9:35:30 AM

haha. I made the one in here because I want there to be serious discussion on it vs the chit chat. Is the excessive rain the east coast getting good for crops and whatnot or is it too much all at once? i don't know much about farming.

5/30/2012 1:00:08 PM

Don't lie! You made this one to usurp my ability to do so!

I do like the tropical rains though. My morning glories are going to be sky-high now!

5/30/2012 3:36:45 PM

crops that are growing...good.

crops like wheat that need to be harvested...bad.

5/31/2012 12:34:10 AM

^^lol

5/31/2012 8:41:26 AM

So...Debby?

6/26/2012 1:16:00 AM

strong post, that one.

6/26/2012 8:36:08 AM

bttt

7/31/2012 11:29:32 PM

Oh hai there Ernesto

8/3/2012 2:44:17 PM

i thought we'd traded hurricanes for short, intense storms 3 times a week

8/3/2012 2:46:27 PM

Well maybe we did. This won't hit NC as a hurricane or TS

[Edited on August 3, 2012 at 2:50 PM. Reason : q]

8/3/2012 2:49:48 PM

but it could hit texas. we'll keep an eye on this one.

8/5/2012 11:00:38 AM

I'm thinking Obama turned the hurricanes off for election year.

8/6/2012 4:11:59 AM

8/6/2012 8:20:18 AM

hooray for 300+ hr fantasy model runs!

8/6/2012 8:32:58 AM

Quote :

"but it could hit texas. we'll keep an eye on this one."

and your drought stricken state needs rain. Don't look a gift horse in the mouth

8/6/2012 8:43:21 AM

^^

8/6/2012 9:53:50 AM

The GFS 12z run is still picking up on that storm, but the track is further north. The source wave apparently moves off the African coast late Thursday/early Friday, so that might be worth keeping tabs on.

8/6/2012 2:17:16 PM

So, we have two storms in the Atlantic, in case anyone hasn't seen the news:

Tropical Storm Issac


Tropical Storm Joyce


Joyce is likely a non-issue, but Issac is worrisome. Most models have it going over Key West and west of Florida, but the NAM has it moving east of Florida. With a good amount of dry air aloft currently moving eastward into Florida, I'm having a hard time seeing the storm take the more westward track (as the majority of models & NHC show), especially if it strengthens today. There is a little bit of dry air ahead of the storm towards eastern Cuba, which may keep it from getting stronger. But that area seems to be getting a little more moist (mixing out the drier air), which would help enhance the storm.

8/23/2012 11:17:20 AM

Not to mention that climatologically, most storms in Isaac's location have a difficult time getting to the eastern Gulf. They usually either dissipate or recurve.

8/23/2012 12:11:38 PM

I hope it keeps going to the west. I'm spending next week on HHI and I don't want to get 1-2 days of crappy rain from some rain bands.

8/23/2012 2:27:28 PM

FML, I live right on the path of Isaac.

8/23/2012 5:02:33 PM

^ yup, same... Looks like Pensacola could be directly hit :/

But this also means Eric will most likely have a job, sooooo....

8/23/2012 6:32:38 PM

It will be a Cat 1 at worse, so how about you people calm the hell down. Surely you've experienced a bad Tstorm before.

8/24/2012 12:15:34 AM

Haiti is fucked.

8/24/2012 2:40:29 AM

It's actually looking like it could beef up once it hits the gulf - and I don't think any one of us are "freaking out"

8/24/2012 5:58:18 PM

Quote :

"Surely you've experienced a bad Tstorm before"

I'll go ahead and trust that you weren't just equating hurricanes and thunderstorms....

8/24/2012 8:51:06 PM

I live in Miami and own a house in mobile, plus we are planning on driving up to the ncsu game in Atlanta.

Isaac is really cramping my plans

8/25/2012 7:20:30 AM

8/25/2012 1:56:58 PM

Two storms bout to merge off China:



Not really, but they're pretty close.

8/26/2012 10:46:24 AM

thats pretty gay

8/26/2012 10:59:25 AM

New Orleans...


Barack Obama doesn't care about black people.

8/27/2012 9:22:06 PM

Tropical Storm Sandy:



ECMWF model has been consistent with bringing this storm towards the NE US and transitioning into a big winter storm:



GFS ensembles are split once the storm departs the Bahamas. Some take a similar track as the ECMWF runs & some take the storm out to sea. Regardless, it is still early to tell which direction Sandy will take exiting the Bahamas. Definitely worth keeping tabs on for the next week!

[Edited on October 23, 2012 at 3:05 PM. Reason : ]

10/23/2012 3:01:58 PM

quite the active season we had this year

10/23/2012 4:19:38 PM

10/23/2012 6:18:30 PM

The model projections of a major storm in the northeast are basically similar to a the 1991 Halloween Storm (except that remained off shore). A hurricane that transitions to a powerful extra-tropical system (nor'easter). Sebastian Junger dubbed it the "Perfect Storm" of course.

10/23/2012 9:38:32 PM

the media is going to go apeshit with this

10/25/2012 1:57:20 PM

I wonder if TWC is gonna rename Sandy once it reaches the NE US

10/25/2012 2:12:02 PM