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 Message Boards » » OFFICIAL 2006 Tropical Weather/Hurricane Thread Page [1] 2 3 4 5 6, Next  
Smath74
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my other one died because i forgot to keep it alive.
so anyways, how many storms do you think we will have this year?

5/8/2006 1:23:46 PM

3 of 11
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7 or 8

5/8/2006 1:26:56 PM

Ihatespida
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PROBABLY LIKE 69 OR SOMETHING AHHARHAHRHAHRHARHARHHRHAHHAHAHHAHRRRHAHRHRROLLF

5/8/2006 1:34:33 PM

drunknloaded
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Quote :
"AHHARHAHRHAHRHARHARHHRHAHHAHAHHAHRRRHAHRHRROLLF"

5/8/2006 1:40:49 PM

Wolfpacker06
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When does the hurricane season offically start?

5/8/2006 1:53:32 PM

Tom Green
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^ June 1

5/8/2006 2:52:27 PM

The Coz
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Prolly like 1 or 2, at most.

[Edited on May 8, 2006 at 4:17 PM. Reason : ]

5/8/2006 4:16:58 PM

JP
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Pi

5/8/2006 4:18:01 PM

Smath74
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hopefully there will be one semi-close by... i want to drive down to the coast and check it out.

5/22/2006 3:20:49 PM

brianj320
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Quote :
"National Hurricane Center: 4 to 6 Big Hurricanes Expected This Season

Monday , May 22, 2006

MIAMI — A hectic, above-normal tropical storm season could produce between four and six major hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico this year, but conditions don't appear ripe for a repeat of 2005's record activity, the National Hurricane Center predicted Monday.

There will be up to 16 named storms, the center predicted, which would be significantly less than last year's record 27. Still, people in coastal regions should prepare for the possibility of major storms, said Max Mayfield, the National Hurricane Center director.

"One hurricane hitting where you live is enough to make it a bad season," Mayfield told reporters.

Last year, officials predicted 12 to 15 tropical storms, seven to nine of them becoming hurricanes, and three to five of those hurricanes being major, with winds of at least 111 mph.

But the season turned out to be much busier, breaking records that had stood since 1851. Last season there were 15 hurricanes, seven of which were Category 3 or higher.

In the center's detailed 2006 prediction report, meteorologists said water in the Atlantic is not as warm as it was at this stage in 2005. Warm water is a key fuel for hurricane development.

Also, it is not clear whether atmospheric conditions that helped produce the 2005 storms will repeat again this year, forecasters said. And, it appears that the Pacific Ocean water conditions known as El Nino and La Nina will not have any impact on the Atlantic hurricane season this year, forecasters said.

The Atlantic seasons were relatively mild from the 1970s through 1994. Since then, all but two years have been above normal. Experts say the world is in the midst of a 20-year-cycle that will continue to bring strong storms.

Between 1995 and 2005, the Atlantic season has averaged 15 named storms, just over eight named hurricanes and four major hurricanes, according to the National Hurricane Center. Before this latest above-normal cycle, from 1971 to 1994, there were an average of 8.5 named storms, five hurricanes and just over one major hurricane.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov. 30.
"

5/22/2006 3:25:04 PM

omghax
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cue classic spinners on hurricanes pic

5/22/2006 4:21:03 PM

The Coz
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OMG, DID YOU HEAR THEY ARE CONSIDERING CREATING A CATEGORY 6 CLASSIFICATION?! I SAW IT ON GOOD MORNING AMERICA THIS MORNING! 175 MPH +!

5/22/2006 8:34:22 PM

hcnguyen
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last year was pretty much all gulf. this year increased activity in the atlantic basin/east coast is expected

5/22/2006 11:50:36 PM

TKE-Teg
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So who thinks that a hurricane will hit NYC this year?

They keep having stories up here about the "possibility" and how we're all fucked if they try to evacuate anyone

5/23/2006 1:14:23 PM

brianj320
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i dont think 1 will.

5/23/2006 1:27:36 PM

TKE-Teg
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It would be just my freaking luck!

I'm only a 15 minute walk from the East River, I wonder what would happen to my apt, hmmm.

5/23/2006 1:30:32 PM

brianj320
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eww east river

5/23/2006 1:32:31 PM

omghax
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lol gj NHC

5/23/2006 3:01:34 PM

Smath74
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hahaha that's great

5/25/2006 4:02:21 PM

3 of 11
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aaaand we're off!...

this ones in the eastern Pacific, not Atlantic:
http://edition.cnn.com/2006/WEATHER/05/29/bc.la.gen.mexico.tropical.ap/index.html

5/30/2006 12:55:11 AM

TheTabbyCat
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I think if one hits NYC it wont be very strong...maybe a cat 2 at the most. I'm thinking NC is gonna get hit this year.

5/31/2006 10:51:59 AM

Smath74
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LETS THROW ALL SCIENCE OUT AND GO BY GUT INSTINCT FROM HERE ON OUT!

5/31/2006 10:59:37 AM

Lokken
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no impacts of any note. mild season.

5/31/2006 11:01:19 AM

TheTabbyCat
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yay for gut instinct...it's like the lottery...

the reason i say nc is gonna get hit is because they said the atlantic basin is gonna be warmer this year. our coast juts out there so it's just a matter of time...

5/31/2006 11:03:17 AM

jbtilley
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I think everyone on here is saying NC because of the "we're due" factor.

5/31/2006 11:04:41 AM

TheTabbyCat
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well its not just that "were due." I mean if you look at the eastern seaboard on a map...our coast is farther out there than the other states...so even if a hurricane just sweeps by the coast its more than likely gonna hit the outer banks.

5/31/2006 11:07:02 AM

jbtilley
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I guess the big question I have for this hurricane season is what cool spin will big oil use to raise prices if the hurricanes do come our way.

5/31/2006 11:09:05 AM

Smath74
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top, bitches

6/1/2006 2:59:32 AM

HockeyRoman
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All they need to see is a thunderstorm in the Atlantic this year to jack up gas prices. They already raised them a bit ago once the hurricane forecast was revised. Do I want a hurricane in NC, yes, but I don't want to spend $10 for a gallon of gas because of it.

Oh and for anyone who hasn't read in previous years: I could care less about "the human factor" when it comes to hurricanes. I would love to experience another Hugo. And as it's been said before my wanting of a hurricane is not going to effect whether it does or does not hit NC. If that seems heartless to you, then cry my a fucking river. That is all.

6/1/2006 5:41:10 AM

Lokken
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i hope a fucking tree breaks your mothers home in half and crushes her legs


6/1/2006 8:35:49 AM

hcnguyen
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^^i feel you. ive been praying for another fran for a long time. i think with the warm water temps this year we can even get a 4 to make it up here

[Edited on June 1, 2006 at 9:10 AM. Reason : now wouldnt that be nice]

6/1/2006 9:09:41 AM

Smath74
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you people are idiots. sick.

[Edited on June 1, 2006 at 11:11 AM. Reason : ]

6/1/2006 11:10:33 AM

gk2004
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well said.......Hurricanes were fun/amusing before I bought a house.......now it just makes me worry

6/1/2006 1:51:31 PM

panthersny
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"Today's Discussion
Low pressure in the Northwest Caribbean Might Become an Organized Tropical System Late in the Weekend or by Early Next Week
Posted: 9-JUN-2006 07:35am EDT

A broad area of low pressure over the northwest Caribbean has some potential for slow development over the next few days. Satellite images continue to show a general cyclonic motion in the clouds over this region, although strong north to northwest winds have been creating too much shear over this area for any organization. The shear, however, is forecast to decrease over the next day or two. We believe this feature will move north or northwest during the next 24-48 hours which could put it either in the Bay of Campeche or on the north or northeast coast of the Yucatan by late in the weekend. Once away from the Yucatan this feature might have some chance for further development. Water temperatures just east of the Yucatan are very warm and the waters in the Bay of Campeche are also very warm. So, the main issue will be shear. The shear will diminish over the Bay of Campeche faster than to the north of the Yucatan. So, if the feature moves more to the west or northwest it might have a better chance for organizing sooner than if it were to move due north. Computer models are showing various ideas on this and just about every model now shows some kind of low pressure area near the Yucatan by the end of this weekend. Our current feeling is that if the shear can drop off enough we could have a developing tropical system by the end of the weekend or early next week.



Elsewhere in the tropical Atlantic we are following tropical waves along 23 west, 54 west, 67 west and 78 west. All waves are moving to the west at about 4-6 degrees longitude per day and are to the south of 15 north. The wave along 23 west has the best organzation. But it will have to move across cooler water with strong shear. So, it will have a tough time as it crosses the Atlantic. The large area of African Dust extending from roughly 30 west to just east of the Lesser Antilles continues to thin out. Tropical waves moving within this dust have shown no thunderstorm development due to the drier air aloft created by this swath of dust. This dust area will move into the Lesser Antilles and eastern Caribbean during Friday and over the weekend.


"

6/9/2006 11:23:07 AM

ambrosia1231
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Quote :
"well said.......Hurricanes were fun/amusing before I my boyfriend bought a house.......now it just makes me worry"

6/9/2006 11:32:13 AM

jlancas03
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sweet

6/9/2006 11:56:52 AM

panthersny
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Quote :
"First Tropical Depression of 2006 Forms
Jun 10 9:06 AM US/Eastern
Email this story

MIAMI


The first tropical depression of the 2006 Atlantic hurricane season formed Saturday in the northwestern Caribbean Sea, prompting tropical storm warnings for parts of Cuba, forecasters said.

The depression had maximum sustained winds near 35 mph and could develop into the first named storm of the season later in the day, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Tropical storms have top sustained winds of at least 39 mph. The first named storm of the season would be Alberto.

The depression was expected to move through the Yucatan Channel into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, forecasters said.

At 9 a.m., the depression's center was located about 50 miles south- southwest of Cabo San Antonio on the western tip of Cuba. It was moving north-northwest about 12 mph.

The Atlantic hurricane season began June 1 and ends Nov. 30.
"


FIRST ONE

6/10/2006 9:24:15 AM

A Tanzarian
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http://www4.ncsu.edu/~clfletch/weather/weather.htm

These are some Google Earth kml files that I use to track hurricanes.

I have:
- GOES satellite overlays for the Atlantic and Carribean.
- NWS radar overlays for pretty much every state east of the Mississippi.
- NOAA buoy placemarks. The placemarks have links to the buoy data.
- Storm tracks. I have most of the 2005 storms. I'll try to keep the 2006 tracks up-to-date.

[Edited on June 10, 2006 at 11:19 AM. Reason : .]

6/10/2006 11:19:27 AM

Str8BacardiL
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i cant wait to have a hurricane party

6/10/2006 11:23:38 AM

cddweller
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I can't wait for a good blow, we haven't gotten any decent action since Fran.

6/10/2006 12:56:43 PM

Smath74
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fuck you, cunt. I lost one of my wrestling buddies during fran. why would you EVER wish a fucking natural disaster on a place, especially the place you live

6/10/2006 2:11:41 PM

The Coz
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Because it really makes a difference in the storm's path. . . What a silly thing to get upset about.

[Edited on June 10, 2006 at 4:14 PM. Reason : ]

6/10/2006 4:13:48 PM

NCSUWolfy
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Quote :
"I'm only a 15 minute walk from the East River, I wonder what would happen to my apt, hmmm."


fuck the apt

do you have renters insurance??

its so cheap there is no excuse

i have all my stuff insured for $20k, costs me less than $100 a year

but i also live where tornados play

6/10/2006 4:24:32 PM

HockeyRoman
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Quote :
"why would you EVER wish a fucking natural disaster on a place, especially the place you live "

This may be beyond your myopic field of understanding but I'll take a shot at it. A large number of people, including myself, find such storms very fascinating and exhilerating. It could probably be argued that it is a primal urge to seek out storms since human existence has always been effected and controlled by the weather in combinaton with our feeble understanding of its total processes. I pity your inability to understand and accept the awe and thrill that others derive from mother nature.

6/10/2006 5:11:49 PM

marko
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smath is a geologist, i think

so he might be awed by mother nature a little, i'd hope

but i see hurricanes as many do

ANOTHER EXCUSE TO DRINK

WHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

really though i just sit in the house and watch the roof

[Edited on June 10, 2006 at 7:41 PM. Reason : USA USA USA]

6/10/2006 7:28:15 PM

Smath74
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^^i'm all about seeing a good storm, but i just don't wish that huge storms come and hit densely populated areas... i guess that makes me a little disconnected with nature, huh?

6/10/2006 7:54:48 PM

roddy
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Smath likes Hurricane Brett type systems, Cat 4 hit South Texas a few years back, 100 cows to every person in the area it hit....mostly farmland

[Edited on June 10, 2006 at 8:09 PM. Reason : w]

6/10/2006 8:09:13 PM

Doss2k
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Yeah, while I dont specifically wish a storm upon anyone, whether or not I enjoy it makes no difference, if its coming its coming I might as well look at the positives rather than all the shit that comes with it

6/10/2006 8:12:33 PM

A Tanzarian
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Tropical Storm Alberto

6/11/2006 10:50:00 AM

Smath74
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if a storm came through raleigh, i would of course be awed by it's power and i'd watch as much of it as i could, but i wouldn't hope that raleigh got hit.

6/11/2006 11:32:36 AM

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