Since this is what actually matters, what does everyone think is in play as far as a pickup from the last election cycle?


Possible Dem Pickups - Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, Florida
Possible Rep Pickups - Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire





I don't think that Florida, Virginia, or Pennsylvania will switch, but could see possibilities on the other ones.

9/1/2008 10:15:57 AM

best case, NC could even come into play.

or maybe that's just wishful thinking.....

9/1/2008 10:27:03 AM

Couple of points to add...

1, Iowa is a solid dem state this election so I'd remove it. Obama has done very well there since the start of the primaries, he's well ahead.

2, No way in hell republicans pickup Pennsylvania and Minnesota.

3, I also think it's a fat chance Dems flip Florida or NC even though polls are very close.

4, Michigan is key. If Dems lose Michigan life get's tough. They'd need VA and CO if so.

5, in my opinion the true tossups are Ohio, Nevada, Virginia, and Colorado. The polls are dead heat in all.

9/1/2008 10:39:12 AM

Quote :

"best case, NC could even come into play."

It'll go red, but Obama can make McCain spend money here he didn't want to spend earlier.

Quote :

"No way in hell republicans pickup Pennsylvania"

why not?

Quote :

"I also think it's a fat chance Dems flip Florida"

I wonder, historically, how much weight the AARP endorsement carries. (no sarcasm)

9/1/2008 11:15:31 AM