Continuing my preseason research I was looking over Steele's matchup data... look at the 2010 Bama/Auburn game line... what am I missing here? Reading it wrong or just a typo?

http://www.philsteele.com/Pdf/Last_xx_years/2011/SEC/ALABAMA/ALA_AUB.pdf

7/14/2011 1:10:46 AM

typo

7/14/2011 1:16:15 AM

just making sure....



guess who is back bitches? and on FB!

7/14/2011 1:22:14 AM

for any of you with iPhones I did a lot of research and by FAR the best wager tracking app I have found is Ultimate Bet Pro... plus the guys that developed it are really cool, already incorporating some suggestions I had into the newest release.

7/16/2011 2:16:12 AM

I'll post in your thread.

A word to the wise. Do not take any of [user]Jaybee[/user]'s 5 star lead pipe locks. His bets are fucking terrible when he's confident.

7/16/2011 12:01:53 PM

my "guy" is getting married next week and invited me to his wedding haha

7/19/2011 1:47:17 PM

first week lines are out (I hate the way they list them but I dont feel like retyping them)

North Texas at FIU (-12)

UNLV at Wisconsin (-31.5)

Mississippi State at Memphis (+24)

Wake Forest at Syracuse (-6)

Bowling Green at Idaho (-8.5)

Kentucky Western at Kentucky (+18) (I assume this is a typo)

TCU at Baylor (+9.5)

Northwestern at Boston College (-7)

Utah State at Auburn (-27.5)

Akron at Ohio State (-34)

Miami Ohio at Missouri (-17.5)

UCLA at Houston (-4)

Middle Tennessee at Purdue (-15)

Kent State at Alabama (-33)

Minnesota at USC (-17.5)

South Florida at Notre Dame (-8.5)

Arkansas State at Illinois (-14.5)

Louisiana Monroe at Florida State (-28)

Troy at Clemson (-12.5)

Brigham Young at Mississippi (+1)

San Jose State at Stanford (-28)

Colorado State at New Mexico (+3.5)

Buffalo at Pittsburgh (-26)

South Carolina at East Carolina (+14.5)

Fresno State at California (-5.5)

Army at Northern Illinois (-13.5) (I like Army)

Rice at Texas (-22)

Indiana at Ball State (+6)

Florida Atlantic at Florida (-30.5)

Louisiana Lafayette at Oklahoma State (-34)

Tulsa at Oklahoma (-23)

Ohio at New Mexico State (+11.5)

Boise State at Georgia (+2.5)

Oregon at LSU (-3) (this one keeps bouncing around)

Louisiana Tech at Southern Miss (-11)

Colorado at Hawaii (-9.5)

Marshall at West Virginia (-18.5)

Southern Methodist at Texas A&M (-14)

Miami Florida at Maryland (+4)

[Edited on August 7, 2011 at 8:13 PM. Reason : d]

8/7/2011 8:04:09 PM

+14.5 seems like a lot to spot ECU's offense

8/7/2011 8:53:29 PM

and I cant keep of Garcia's suspensions... is he playing week 1 or not?

8/7/2011 10:03:27 PM

I don't know if it has been announced or not.

I'm thinking Bama can cover 33 vs Kent State too.

8/7/2011 10:19:43 PM

Actual Vegas lines are out (above were from an online sports book)... About the same, except South Carolina is -20.5 fave over ECU

8/8/2011 3:11:29 AM

I'm sure most of you know these already, but here are a few handy resources


Phil Steele's blog
http://www.philsteele.com/Blogs/CURRENT/DBlog.htmlhttp://

Maddux Sports, their team previews have some good info, particularly on returning starters and some trends
http://www.madduxsports.com/blog/category/college-football/http://

CFN - a fair amount of their opinion stuff is shit, but the shear volume of info is good
http://cfn.scout.com/

A good college football TV schedule link
http://lsufootball.net/tvschedule.htm

Scores and Odds - where I usually get my lines, clean site, not cluttered, and show line movements on all games
http://www.scoresandodds.com/
Week 1 of CFB - http://www.scoresandodds.com/grid_20110901.html?sort=rot



[Edited on August 10, 2011 at 12:11 AM. Reason : d]

8/10/2011 12:10:21 AM

Michigan o7 (-140)

- They play 8 home games this season
- Denard Robinson
- Should be improved offensive line play with this new coach's power run game philosophy.

8/21/2011 8:18:05 PM

I dont know, they have a lot of questionable games... but I do like that they only seem to have one guaranteed loss...

W - Western Michigan
? - Notre Dame
W - Eastern Michigan
? - San Diego State
W - Minnesota
? - @ Northwestern
? - @ Michigan State
W - Purdue
? - @ Iowa
? - @ Illinois
L - Nebraska
? - Ohio State

8/21/2011 8:31:30 PM

still doing research, but initially I love Syracuse over Wake Forest by 7 at home.

QB back, top 5 WRs back, 4 out of 5 O-linemen back, WF sucks and are something like 1-7 the last 8 road dog games.

And Syrcause was 7th in total D in the country last year? didnt know that... hmmm

[Edited on August 29, 2011 at 10:04 PM. Reason : d]

8/29/2011 10:00:02 PM

I took that one hard today. Crossing my fingers

8/29/2011 10:12:43 PM

Waited and got Syracuse -6.5

Idaho - 6.5 vs. Bowling Green
Kentucky -18 vs. Western Kentucky (a LOT of people have WKU covering here...)

9/1/2011 6:24:00 PM

I'm so pissed they came out with a GT line RIGHT before kickoff... -34 vs. Western Carolina.... would have taken that all fucking day.


28-0 with 3 min left in the 1Q

[Edited on September 1, 2011 at 8:06 PM. Reason : d]

9/1/2011 8:05:17 PM

hahhaha, warm up Thursday, just have to get shit calibrated hahaha

9/1/2011 10:36:09 PM

Here's mine so far, probably going to put quite a bit on NFL over/unders next.

Quote :

" ODDS TO WIN THE ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE [12033] NORTH CAROLINA STATE +2500 $40 / $1000 STRAIGHT BET [11009] TOTAL o4½-130 (PANTHERS TOTAL WINS $494 / $380 STRAIGHT BET [5028] STEELERS REG SEASON WINS +½-130 (EAGLES REG SEASON WINS vrs STEELERS REG SEASON WINS) 130 / 100 STRAIGHT BET [5004] CHARGERS REG SEASON WINS +1-130 (FALCONS REG SEASON WINS vrs CHARGERS REG SEASON WINS) 130 / 100 STRAIGHT BET [5010] TEXANS REG SEASON WINS +1-140 (COWBOYS REG SEASON WINS vrs TEXANS REG SEASON WINS) 140 / 100 STRAIGHT BET [5012] BROWNS REG SEASON WINS +1-130 (LIONS REG SEASON WINS vrs BROWNS REG SEASON WINS) 130 / 100 STRAIGHT BET [5015] JAGUARS REG SEASON WINS +1½-135 (JAGUARS REG SEASON WINS vrs BUCCANEERS REG SEASON WINS) 135 / 100 STRAIGHT BET [51005] TOTAL o6½+105 (AUBURN RSW vrs AUBURN RSW) 50 / 53 STRAIGHT BET [51031] TOTAL o7-125 (MICHIGAN RSW vrs MICHIGAN RSW) 63 / 50 STRAIGHT BET [51043] TOTAL o8½-105 (OHIO ST RSW vrs OHIO ST RSW) 53 / 50 STRAIGHT BET [44419] TOTAL o1325½-125 (ADRIAN PETERSON vrs REGULAR SEASON RUSH YARDS) 63 / 50 STRAIGHT BET [44416] TOTAL u1200½EV (REGGIE WAYNE vrs REGULAR SEASON RECEVING YARDS) 50 / 50 STRAIGHT BET [42068] RAY RICE RUSHING TDS +6½-130 (ADRIAN PETERSON RUSHING TDS vrs RAY RICE RUSHING TDS) 33 / 25 STRAIGHT BET [42096] MATT FORTE RUSHING TDS +7½-115 (CHRIS JOHNSON RUSHING TDS vrs MATT FORTE RUSHING TDS) 29 / 25 STRAIGHT BET [42098] MICHAEL TURNER RUSHING TDS +1-115 (CHRIS JOHNSON RUSHING TDS vrs MICHAEL TURNER RUSHING TDS 29 / 25 STRAIGHT BET [42100] RASHARD MENDENHALL RUSHING TDS +1½-110 (CHRIS JOHNSON RUSHING TDS vrs RASHARD MENDENHALL RU 28 / 25 STRAIGHT BET [42102] RAY RICE RUSHING TDS +4½-130 (CHRIS JOHNSON RUSHING TDS vrs RAY RICE RUSHING TDS) 33 / 25 COWBOYS TO MAKE THE PLAYOFFS [18554] NO -150 30 / 20"

9/1/2011 11:01:39 PM

did UNLV backdoor cover? scott van pelt's being weird about it on sportscenter.

HAHAHAH THEY DID BACKDOOR COVER. +35, lost by 34.

[Edited on September 1, 2011 at 11:18 PM. Reason : LOL]

9/1/2011 11:17:06 PM

god damn syracuse pussies, go for the TD assholes

9/1/2011 11:18:06 PM

oh shit!!! fuck calibration! we back

9/1/2011 11:36:04 PM

22 straight from Syracuse to escape with a push....

I'll take it

9/1/2011 11:36:26 PM

Hell yeah, nice.

I got it at 6.5 so I got a win. Fuck that was awesome, I had a LOT on that game

9/1/2011 11:37:55 PM

Liking Oregon -4 at LSU

9/2/2011 10:33:18 AM

I'm assuming you know that it's a neutral site game in Dallas and they aren't playing in Lilweezyiana

[Edited on September 2, 2011 at 11:37 AM. Reason : got 'em at -2 as well ]

9/2/2011 11:36:32 AM

I really cant decide on that game and the UGA/Boise St. game. For both of them I actually like the non-SEC teams more, but there have been SOOOOO many times where its been set up like this and the SEC just completely dominates and you are like "god dammit, why did I pick against them, that was obvious"

I think I might just leave them alone.


Any thoughts on the TCU/Baylor game tonight? Lots of turnover at TCU, including QB, and almost every "expert" I have seen is calling for Baylor to upset them...

9/2/2011 1:22:37 PM

Quote :

"I really cant decide on that game and the UGA/Boise St. game."

i wouldn't fuck that w/ your dick. don't touch that.

9/2/2011 1:29:31 PM

Took:

Michigan State -34

TCU -3.5

TCU/Baylor U53

TCU destroyed Baylor last year 45-10, but they are missing a few players now, including NFLer Andy Dalton, and almost every expert I see is calling for Baylor to win outright but I dont see there being a 30+ point difference.

Total was 55 last year and TCU's offense should be down a bit with Dalton gone.

9/2/2011 7:55:15 PM

Will a botched extra point (TCU/Baylor) wreak gambling havoc like the Wisconsin game yesterday?

9/2/2011 8:19:46 PM

inorite

9/2/2011 8:20:35 PM

wont matter now.

9/2/2011 9:46:09 PM

that under bet was AWESOME!

9/2/2011 9:47:33 PM

Quote :

"Took: Michigan State -34 TCU -3.5 TCU/Baylor U53"

9/2/2011 10:30:21 PM

yeah, I am taking it in the butt tonight but (butt?) I didnt have that much on anything tonight, just some dimes to give me something to root for

9/2/2011 10:32:41 PM

my picks to the left, ** are the ones I really like:


Auburn -21 Utah State **
USC -22.5 Minnesota
Houston -2.5 UCLA
Fresno State 10 Cal
Army 11 Northern Illinois
Texas -24 Rice
Indiana -6 Ball State **
Southern Miss -12.5 Louisana Tech
Hawaii -6.5 Colorado **
NC State -27.5 Liberty
Oklahoma/Tulsa O63

9/3/2011 12:06:30 PM

Quote :

"Oklahoma/Tulsa O63"

the only thing not to love here is that it's the first game of the season.

9/3/2011 12:19:55 PM

yeah, I figure oklahoma HAS to get 40+, Tulsa sucks on D, so should be more, and they are good on Offense, so they should be able to get something

9/3/2011 12:22:08 PM

that's harsh.

9/3/2011 11:54:49 PM

yeah, needed them to get 20... but nope. I did horrible this week. Thank god I won my big one (Syracuse)

9/4/2011 12:00:10 AM

why is Stanford only favored by 19.5 over duke???

9/4/2011 10:20:17 PM

It opened at 15.5 on Cris

9/5/2011 12:36:26 AM

Found out over the weekend that CentSports got bought out by freesportsbets.com (have your virus software ready), so should be getting my cash out check finally

They rolled over my account, but capped my roll over cash at $100 in 'bonus cash'

[Edited on September 5, 2011 at 1:06 AM. Reason : lkj]

9/5/2011 1:06:13 AM

that stanford/duke line makes me want to rejoin a sports betting site

9/5/2011 11:04:32 AM

It's a trap. I always hedge against the obvious play in situations like that.

The only thing I can figure about the game is that Stanford starts conference play next week and they figure to start resting guys earlier in the game if at all possible. I doubt Stanford would be looking to embarrass Duke as well if politics mean anything to you. I just don't see them running it up given the chance. Add in 10 4th quarter points for Duke because Stanford is up 30 and the 2nd string is on the field and you have a cover.

9/5/2011 12:22:39 PM

yeah, but that could apply to just about any underdog game. "Stanford has a long road trip next week traveling cross country to take on Duke, so they wont lay it on against San Jose State" and then they win 57-3.

Not saying what you described above couldnt happen, but is there anything concrete? Like Luck has a fear of flying or some bullshit?

9/5/2011 1:28:44 PM

Something caused vegas to make an irrational line at first glance. I'm just trying to justify it. FWIW, if I end up taking this game it will be Duke and the points.

[Edited on September 5, 2011 at 1:47 PM. Reason : Penn State and the points stands out at first glance too]

9/5/2011 1:44:41 PM

any takers tonight in the UM/MD game?

i'm leaning towards the over just so i'll have something to root for

9/5/2011 6:28:47 PM

there's no way Duke loses by less than 20 pts

9/5/2011 6:30:03 PM