Boston College (4-1)
	vs
	NC State (4-0)
	Saturday, October 6th, 12:30pm TV: ACCN

9/29/2018 7:04:44 PM

Holy fuck a week early

This guy might be legit

9/29/2018 7:49:04 PM

The biggest question is will we be ranked???

9/30/2018 8:21:51 AM

#23. Need dat 100% mod to fix it

9/30/2018 3:09:14 PM

us getting ranked makes this a loss, which saves us from the nightmare scenario of somehow going undefeated into clemson, upsetting them, then getting smoked by syracuse the next week en route to a 3rd place divisional finish

9/30/2018 4:10:53 PM

I dunno, I feel pretty good about this one. BC hasn’t looked good these past two weeks and Dillon apparently is injured.

9/30/2018 4:17:42 PM

Quote :

"us getting ranked makes this a loss, which saves us from the nightmare scenario of somehow going undefeated into clemson, upsetting them, then getting smoked by syracuse the next week en route to a 3rd place divisional finish"

God this is such a losers mentality. We’re good! According to polls, which are certainly not infallible, we might be one of the 25 best teams. Enjoy that! Embrace it! Quit waiting for the heartbreak and enjoy the present.

9/30/2018 5:10:54 PM

it's tower, so

9/30/2018 5:49:09 PM

Unfortunately there’s a vocal segment of the fan base that believes shit like that. They believe in nc state shit and they believe we’re better when we’re unranked because we don’t have lofty expectations to live up to. Those fans may not be the majority. But they’re vocal. And they’re the worst.

9/30/2018 5:52:57 PM

They're definitely the worst.

9/30/2018 5:54:08 PM

Anyway...I see on twitter that we’ve opened as 3.5 point favorites. Surprised to see a line with AJ Dillon’s health in question.

9/30/2018 6:14:36 PM

Happy to be ranked, but these next 3 games will be the ones that tell us how good we can be this year. Cautiously optimistic at this point. My biggest gripe with the rankings is them both having Colorado ranked above us. Yes they are 4-0 just like us, but of the four teams they’ve beaten their collective record is 1-16. This is who they have beaten.

Colorado St 1-4
Nebraska 0-4
New Hampshire (FCS) 0-4
UCLA 0-4

9/30/2018 7:03:39 PM

Or how about Virginia Tech who lost to an 0-3 Old Dominion being ranked above us in one poll.

9/30/2018 8:19:46 PM

But they beat FSU!

9/30/2018 8:21:05 PM

^^^due to NC state shit, obviously.

[Edited on September 30, 2018 at 9:09 PM. Reason : K]

9/30/2018 9:09:03 PM

Being favored by 3.5 is a little concerning to me.

AJ Dillon is going to get his, just have to make sure we don't let their QB go off. Also have to hope Finley plays better than he did in the 1st half last week, dude was just begging to be picked haha.

10/1/2018 10:00:12 AM

but VT has a win over a ranked team

10/1/2018 11:08:33 AM

^^ why is the line concerning? It’s roughly where I expected it to be. Maybe a couple points power. I was thinking we’d maybe be 5 point favorites. We seem to be improving and have dominated the last 3 opponents (yes, weaker competition) where as BC lost to Purdue and didn’t really dominate Temple. And we’re at home.

I’m not saying we definitely win. I could certainly see us losing. But the line doesn’t seem too weird to me.

10/1/2018 12:42:01 PM

#noongame

10/1/2018 12:42:42 PM

Apparently Dillon went out with an ankle injury (I certainly wasn't watching). I'm guessing its not serious, but it obviously doesn't help. They ran the ball 66 times in that game

10/1/2018 1:19:07 PM

Quote :

"My biggest gripe with the rankings is them both having Colorado ranked above us. Yes they are 4-0 just like us, but of the four teams they’ve beaten their collective record is 1-16."

My best guess is that their opponents have better name recognition. Yeah Nebraska and UCLA suck this year, but those are still better wins on paper than Marshall and Georgia St.

10/1/2018 1:42:58 PM

reading their fan boards they constantly refer to us as "RCC". I assume that means Raleigh Community College? I've never heard this before - is this a common slight against us?

also, they seem to feel the team is imploding due to coaching and that Finley is going to make it rain on their secondary.

[Edited on October 1, 2018 at 1:52 PM. Reason : .]

10/1/2018 1:52:13 PM

Lol Raleigh Community College is lame.

10/1/2018 2:58:13 PM

It's MooU or WolfPuppies. Get with the conference.

10/1/2018 3:03:44 PM

i thought it was Raleigh Cow College

10/1/2018 3:26:12 PM

BC vs Temple:

AJ Dillon had 28 carries for 161 yds (he left in the 3rd with an ankle injury and did not return)
BC's QB was 15 of 33 passes for 139 yards
BC's backup running back had 120 yards on 23 carries
BC ran the ball 66 times and threw the ball 34 times
Temple's RB had 24 carries for 171 yards
Temple's QB was 20 of 45 for 255 yards & two interceptions

10/1/2018 3:52:38 PM

I'll take those

10/1/2018 4:03:00 PM

State 40-17. We good.

10/1/2018 4:27:33 PM

Pack 31
Eagles 24

10/1/2018 4:43:46 PM

BC:

4-1
opponents are collectively 10-16 with only purdue having a winning record
scoring avg: 43.2
opp scoring avg: 26.8
avg marg of victory 16.4


NCSU:

4-0
opponents are collectively 12-7 with only Ga St. having a losing record
scoring avg: 30.25
opp scoring avg 15.25
avg marg of victory 15

10/2/2018 8:46:08 AM

Need high level stats!

10/2/2018 8:50:44 AM

Quote :

"with only purdue having a winning record"

purdue is 2-3

10/2/2018 11:43:27 AM

^misread it. It should say Wake

10/3/2018 3:51:41 PM

Line now at 5

AJ Dillon a game-time decision. Their backup RB did run for 120 yards on 23 carries though (5.2 ypc)

http://www.espn.com/college-football/story/_/id/24882433/boston-college-running-back-aj-dillon-game-decision-eagles-contest-nc-state

10/3/2018 4:59:28 PM

"Advanced stats" giving us a 68% chance to win this thing.

https://www.wildcatradioaz.com/acc-sched-win-prob

saw another model predicting we hold Dillon to under 100 yards and Finley goes 300+ to give us a comfortable win.

10/3/2018 5:17:00 PM

Their D was supposed to be good. But they’ve been giving up lots of points. Hope we can jump on em early.

10/3/2018 5:48:43 PM

They have an explosive offense and a suspect D, the exact opposite of what you expect from BC.

The formula for winning a game like this is fairly straight-forward, but BC is just a tough team. They feed off sacks/TFL on D and explosive plays(20+ yards) on offense. I can't imagine Dillon not playing honestly, but even if he doesn't, BC has a veteran OL built to run the ball.

Can't imagine us limiting Dillon to <100 yards unless he's still fairly hurt. He's going to get 20+ carries if he's healthy enough, and he's good enough to break at least a few good runs. But that's totally fine, he can get 150 yards and you can still win, you just can't let their QB beat you.

10/3/2018 8:36:57 PM

Quote :

"opp scoring avg: 26.8"

Quote :

"BC ran the ball 66 times and threw the ball 34 times"

Theyre running the ball a lot and running a lot of plays, which typically means a great time of possession advantage. Giving up almost 27 points per game is a lot when youre running the ball that much. D must be highly suspect.

10/4/2018 8:51:45 AM

^I think you hit the nail on the head, they're running a lot of plays because they're giving up quite a few points each game.

UMass - 316 total yards, 21 points. #73 in total offense. #43 in scoring offense.
Holy Cross - 194 total yards, 14 points. FCS so not ranked.
Wake - 512 total yards, 34 points. #23 in total offense. #29 in scoring offense.
Purdue - 372 total yards, 30 points. #19 in total offense. #64 in scoring offense.
Temple - 452 total yards, 35 points. #105 in total offense. #70 in scoring offense.

NC State is currently #35 in total offense and #46 in scoring offense. So based on what they've done so far, we should expect to put up 450 or so yards, and score 28-34 points most likely.

Really going to come down to whether or not our defense can slow down their running game enough to force them to throw and hope that Brown has a terrible game(like Purdue). No way we completely stop their offense, it's actually ranked fairly high(total offense - #28 , scoring offense - #19) and they're anchored by a veteran OL that is great at run blocking.

10/4/2018 9:18:35 AM

WE GON WIN!

10/5/2018 11:48:05 AM

spread up to 6.5

10/5/2018 12:03:13 PM

We're gonna Ronaldo BC

10/5/2018 3:43:39 PM

Dillon did not make the trip.

10/6/2018 10:20:55 AM

We got this.

10/6/2018 10:27:19 AM

crap. this doesnt appear to be broadcast over the air in raleigh area.... if anyone finds legit links please post thx

10/6/2018 11:53:54 AM

its on FSC, channel 50 on spectrum.

10/6/2018 12:27:03 PM

Not OTA and sling says local blackout, wtf?

10/6/2018 12:33:05 PM

Does BC have some sort of TV agreement with Fox Sports?

[Edited on October 6, 2018 at 12:40 PM. Reason : ]

10/6/2018 12:33:14 PM

this guys voice is grating. im already annoyed with him and he hasnt even said anything dumb

10/6/2018 12:34:28 PM

our run defense is very stout on the DLine. bc came with a good plan by not running anything into it

10/6/2018 12:38:11 PM