^ditto

1/15/2018 2:47:09 PM

Fish says guaranteed snow!!! Laying out the shorts and flip flops.

1/15/2018 5:04:06 PM

NCDOT definitely thinks it's going to snow

1/15/2018 5:44:57 PM

I'll be honest, being a teacher, my weather watching is mostly centered around how it impacts school.

At this point, it looks like we will be out Wednesday(school systems won't take the chance).

Any precipitation should freeze over Wednesday night/Thursday morning, which will make Thursday morning commute pretty gnarly. Delay at least.

[Edited on January 15, 2018 at 6:20 PM. Reason : Punctuation? I'm not an English teacher.]

1/15/2018 6:20:15 PM

this shit is annoying

1/15/2018 6:31:18 PM

your roads will be fine

1/15/2018 7:33:01 PM

Quote :

"NCDOT definitely thinks it's going to snow"

all the salt

1/15/2018 7:40:57 PM

I still haven’t washed the last batch off.

1/15/2018 7:43:12 PM

the terrorists (wx underground) say I should get up to an inch. NWS says half an inch. I prefer a cold rain, but it looks like one way or another I'm gonna get something

1/15/2018 9:59:23 PM

1/16/2018 8:16:01 AM

SNOW IN THE FACEEEEEEEEEEEE

1/16/2018 8:40:11 AM

^^ Is that dude ever right? Seems like his estimates are always on the high side.

1/16/2018 9:05:42 AM

NWS has a better track record

1/16/2018 9:13:51 AM

^^He's a click generator

[Edited on January 16, 2018 at 9:16 AM. Reason : .]

1/16/2018 9:16:38 AM

does he even have a blog, i thought he just tweeted them? It's someone else who has the monetized blog.

as of the 5:30AM update NWS has Raleigh in the middle of the 2" band (and 30 miles to the SE is still in the 2" band)
https://twitter.com/NWSRaleigh/status/953228672978378753

1/16/2018 9:20:49 AM

I don't think they accounted for dome-factor.

1/16/2018 9:32:23 AM

so when is this supposed to start/end? The NWS map has onset/ending times, but they don't seem to be correct.

1/16/2018 9:53:36 AM

what i'm seeing says 5-7AM precpitation turns to snow for our area

1/16/2018 10:07:29 AM

Huffman says 5am to 5 pm event

____

fwiw, this was his prediction vs actual for the last event


predicted

actual


[Edited on January 16, 2018 at 10:16 AM. Reason : fairly close]

[Edited on January 16, 2018 at 10:18 AM. Reason : f]

1/16/2018 10:11:31 AM

day events are so much more fun than overnight snow

[Edited on January 16, 2018 at 10:38 AM. Reason : ^fairly close? those seem pretty different, everyone missed the stuff to the west]

1/16/2018 10:13:05 AM

Feels like one of those systems where they predict Raleigh to get hammered and it shifts West just before hand and Charlotte and GBoro get slammed.

1/16/2018 10:28:32 AM

NWS just posted again on twitter, it looks like the same accumulation forecast but they say they will update numbers this afternoon

one cool thing about this storm is that it's possible the entire state gets at least a trace

[Edited on January 16, 2018 at 10:47 AM. Reason : .]

1/16/2018 10:43:03 AM

except 1-3" prediction isn't "hammered"

1/16/2018 10:43:51 AM

Huffman is saying 3-6 at this time. Map says 2-5 but his latest tweet says thats trending higher


[Edited on January 16, 2018 at 10:56 AM. Reason : s]

1/16/2018 10:56:13 AM

is that the same thing that's posted above or am i not seeing a difference?

1/16/2018 11:06:15 AM

hah, that's definitely the same.

1/16/2018 11:43:56 AM

How are the roads?

1/16/2018 12:01:03 PM

^^^ Yep, I didn't scroll up far enough to see it.

1/16/2018 12:03:08 PM

dtownral How we looking?

1/16/2018 12:03:50 PM

right now looks like models coming together for a little under 2" in raleigh but won't know until the NWS updates their forecast

1/16/2018 12:34:29 PM

Allan Huffman just said that the noon maps are strengthening and it puts the Triangle more in the 3-6" range instead of 2-5". Said the Triangle will get "several inches of snow" tomorrow

here we go...

1/16/2018 12:41:28 PM

From what I've seen today most forecasters have been upping their projections to the "at least" two inches range.

1/16/2018 12:47:52 PM

NWS dropped their most likely scenario to 2" and posted model runs that were mostly 1.5"to 3.5" with most of those being about 2.5" or less (i misread the scale before when I said 2", should have been 2.5")

They still haven't updated their forecast maps, they said they would do that this afternoon.

EDIT:
NWS just posted their noon updated briefing materials with Raleigh in the middle of the 2" area and noted runs trending slightly higher than previous runs



[Edited on January 16, 2018 at 1:17 PM. Reason : .]

1/16/2018 12:52:44 PM

I suspect at the PM update RAH upgrades Durham/Wake and surrounding to a WSWarning.

1/16/2018 1:32:08 PM

Fishel saying 4ish

1/16/2018 1:43:10 PM

So does my wife.

1/16/2018 1:59:20 PM

Allan Huffman saying that the heaviest snow will be along the US-1 corridor

1/16/2018 2:12:17 PM

My kid goes to wake county schools, surprised I haven't gotten the simultaneous text/email/voicemail school is out triple play yet

1/16/2018 2:54:00 PM

winter storm warning issued

1/16/2018 2:59:17 PM

Here we go!

1/16/2018 3:15:26 PM

^^^My wife is a teacher, I convinced her this morning not to plan on school tomorrow. I figured the WSW would be the thing that would force Wake to call it, but I wouldn't be shocked for them to be the last county locally to call it late tonight.

They really, really hate cancelling school without verified snow on the ground.

1/16/2018 3:17:20 PM

All the short range models coming in with increasing precip, seeing triangle in 4-6 inch+ range or even more if ratios do better than 10:1

1/16/2018 3:17:28 PM

NWS updated forecast to 3"-4"

1/16/2018 3:45:41 PM

starting to get boner time

1/16/2018 4:25:27 PM

Still going to play the temp game tomorrow morning.

1/16/2018 5:10:08 PM

News just said expect rain mix first (which will wash the brine away) then up to an inch of snow an hour and that roads will go from fine to treacherous in a matter of minutes. So cue all of the people being shown in wrecks and stuck tomorrow on the news.

Governor declared a state of emergency for the entire state. So the people on here that say they have to be out driving in it and that are essential personnel what exactly do you do for a living? Or is your boss just a dick?

1/16/2018 5:13:00 PM

I run 6 different turkey farms, I’ve got to make sure everything is running, water lines haven’t frozen, etc

1/16/2018 5:20:58 PM

Your roads are fine.

1/16/2018 5:23:09 PM

^^ we’ve got tomato greenhouse and nursery greenhouses. Generally snow isn’t an issue for power outages but any time they start talking about ice we get worried. Power gets knocked out and if we dont have generators hooked up and running, we can lose a crop of tomatoes in minutes. So please don’t drive off the road and hit any power lines folks.

[Edited on January 16, 2018 at 5:28 PM. Reason : H]

1/16/2018 5:28:03 PM

I am the Plant Engineer for a ~700 megawatt power generation facility.

1/16/2018 5:40:55 PM