this weekend was terrible

2/10/2008 9:20:05 PM

jmpack guess u didnt lose with unc today huh?

2/10/2008 9:22:46 PM

jmpack15 ncaa men's basketball 07-08
112-72-3

saturday results
Kentucky -5.5
Tennessee -11.5
VCU -5.5
Seton Hall +6.5
Memphis -21
Iowa +9
Duke -18.5
Georgia +12.5
Texas -6
USC +5.5
Michigan -4.5
Cal -4.5
Louisville -3

6-5-2


jmpack15 ncaa men's basketball 07-08
118-77-5

took Ohio State and UNC today but I won't include them since I didn't post first. Obviously hit UNC and missed on tOSU.


-----------
tomorrow night thoughts?
kansas -4.5 @ texas
gonzaga -31 vs loyola marymount
san diego -4 @ san fran
st. marys -6.5 @ santa clara
cleve state -3.5 vs wiscy green bay
georgetown -13.5 vs villanova
app state -5.5 vs wofford
portland -5 vs pepperdine
illinois chicago -1 vs valpo
elon -11 vs the citadel
nevada -7 vs utah state

scoresandodds.com lines

2/10/2008 9:36:49 PM

cleveland state -3.5
nova +13.5
kansas -4.5
elon -11

are what i would likely take.
what are u thinking of taking?

[Edited on February 10, 2008 at 9:45 PM. Reason : ]

2/10/2008 9:44:18 PM

probably kansas and loyola for sure unless the loyola line drops under 30.

2/10/2008 9:51:59 PM

Quote :

"you should have looked around. it was +475 on sportsinteraction.com"

That website probably didn't give him the money he's playing with for free, like centsports

[Edited on February 10, 2008 at 10:04 PM. Reason : ,]

2/10/2008 10:04:03 PM

monvural:
Overall Locks Parlays
16-11-0 (2-0-0) (0-2-0)

Georgetown (+3.5) at Louisville
No Carolina St (ml @ 63/20) at Maryland (Moneyline)
No Carolina St (+8.5) at Maryland
Mississippi St (-5.5) at Auburn
Georgia Tech (+6.5) at Connecticut (Second Half)
Oklahoma (-3.5) at Colorado (Second Half)

Bad weekend for me. I need someone to give me a lock, and I'm going to go big on it. Anyone? Anyone?

2/11/2008 12:57:51 AM

ive done some snoopin around on various message boards and apparently a lot of people consider nevada a lock monday night.

2/11/2008 1:22:46 AM

^^ Exactly. I'm over 200$ now from getting lucky on ML's on centsports. I wouldnt take those risks with my own money.

2/11/2008 6:03:35 AM

everytime i take a bet peope say is a lock it never wins

2/11/2008 11:27:21 AM

UNC almost found a way to cover last night

2/11/2008 12:06:26 PM

jbrick83 NBA 2008

19-15

Blazers +7.5
Raptors +1
Magic -8.5


jbrick83 NCAA 2008

16-8-1

Texas +4.5
LoyolaMaramount +30.5
San Diego -3.5

2/11/2008 12:10:58 PM

jmpack15 ncaa men's basketball 07-08
118-77-5

kansas -5
loyola marymount +30.5
nevada -6.5
illinois chicago -1.5
georgetown -12


really like kansas and loyola... starting to get worried about kansas though, especially if that line gets much higher.

2/11/2008 12:41:08 PM

AC Slater ncaa men's basketball 07-08

12-10


Ive been betting on less games and putting more units on them so Im in on

San Diego -3.5

and a couple of stupid parlays for shits and giggles

Cleveland St -4
Elon -12
San Diego -3.5
Nevada -7

and

Loyola Marymount +30.5
Kansas -5.5
Kansas/Texas O148
San Diego -3.5
San Diego/San Fran U127.5

2/11/2008 12:51:34 PM

Why is the Nevada game considered such a lock? They're playing a good team. I accidentally put a bet in on that game and submitted it before I could take it off...oh well...go wolfpack.

2/11/2008 12:59:09 PM

thats what I was thinking too when I looked at the records and what not.

I wasnt feeling it on a straight bet so I put it in the parlay

2/11/2008 1:34:26 PM

monvural:
Overall Locks Parlays
16-11-0 (2-0-0) (0-2-0)

St. Mary's (-5.5) @ Santa Clara


Going big or going home. That's my new motto. No more than 2 games a night, and only a parlay if I get back up above a limit I've set for myself. Disciplined betting sucks....

2/11/2008 1:58:40 PM

^me too


but I seem to be doing better this way. Although I keep on pissing away what ever I win on parlays but they are fun

2/11/2008 2:53:04 PM

I think St. Marys at Santa Clara being FAR from a lock. And I don't really understand that betting strategy.

I try to do at least three NCAA and three NBA games a night...and parlay both of them.

I've yet to miss all of them, and very rarely do I miss more than I get. I most often get 2 out of three right or break even. Then occasionally (like three nights in a row last week) I'll clean up and hit a parlay.

But if you're only going to do one or two games...and you lose...then you're done for the night. I think the more bets you make the better chance you have to make money or at least break even. I've also lost both of the "locks" that I've seen on this board (and have noticed that about 90% of the "locks" I've seen in the past few weeks have lost).

2/11/2008 3:04:13 PM

it's definitely not a lock. But it's a pick that I'm very comfortable with because I've now seen St. Mary's twice, and reading about SC's style, it fits right into how St. Mary's can outplay an opponent. I research this one, and I don't like that it's a road game, but I do like the match up. For me, I just get goofy. In craps, I'll win one shoot, and then throw $100 on the table, and 7-out the next roll. I have to be more disciplined, and the way I do that is force myself into some kind of limit. I just need to sit down, and figure out the numbers better so that I do come out in any given night given 2 or 3 bets. I just haven't done that.

2/11/2008 3:55:37 PM

attention everyone, there is NO SUCH THING AS A LOCK.

record: 26-17-3

Pepperdine +5½ -105
Wofford +7½ -108
Citadel +11½ -103
Diego -3½ -108
Loyola Marymount +30½ -107
Wisc Green Bay +4 -105

[Edited on February 11, 2008 at 5:03 PM. Reason : x]

2/11/2008 4:46:00 PM

jmpack15 ncaa men's basketball 07-08
118-77-5

texas +6
loyola marymount +30.5
nevada -6.5
illinois chicago -1.5
georgetown -12


switched over to the longhorns getting 6 at home.

2/11/2008 4:59:19 PM

no offense, but I would love to see Gonzaga cover this line:

Loyola Marymount +30½ -107

because I don't think it's possible. That's what I said for NCSU +18 against Duke, but +30.5 is even crazier

2/11/2008 6:11:54 PM

I looked for at Loyala's schedule and saw that even though they have a horrible record, they don't get blown out that much (with the exception of a game or two...but I think only once by thirty points).

So I say to myself, Gonzaga might kill them, but not by 30. Then I look at Gonzaga's past games and see where they have beaten the shit out of a decent number of teams. So I'm a little worried about this game. Just had a hard time passing up that line.

2/11/2008 6:25:00 PM

i have like $30 left

i think im going to just put it all on the Lakers (-9ish) against the bobcats

2/11/2008 6:28:59 PM

^you're like me


Ive been betting pretty much most of my money ($20) just a few games/parlays

not broke yet

2/11/2008 7:08:47 PM

sportsbook is losing my money tonight

because it wont load for me

2/11/2008 7:16:40 PM

Damn Gonzaga....take it easy.

2/11/2008 9:52:24 PM

yea the Zags just beat the living shit out of Loyola


just barely beat the spread

ugh

2/11/2008 10:36:52 PM

Quote :

"I've yet to miss all of them"

Jinxed the hell out of myself by the way. First 0-fer in the NBA. Thank god for the player props.

2/11/2008 10:41:30 PM

God fucking damnit


The last 4 parlays Ive done have been lost because or 2 points of fucking less on one of the games.


fuck nevada and whatever dumbass said that was a lock (not jmpack, he was the messenger)

need San Diego to win to keep my betting alive.

[Edited on February 12, 2008 at 12:13 AM. Reason : r]

2/12/2008 12:00:14 AM

Haha...wow. Nevada lays an egg at the end of the game. Now why couldn't Gonzaga have done that??

2/12/2008 12:09:54 AM

Was 6-4 going into today...
cleveland state -3.5 W
nova +13.5 W
kansas -4.5 L
elon -11 W
ending the day at 9 -5 ill take it. also made a wager on the lakers -7.5 and that covered too. too bad it doesnt count on here.

2/12/2008 12:24:10 AM

AC Slater ncaa men's basketball 07-08

13-10

parlays (0-$texas)


My gut feeling about SD paid off.

San Diego -3.5

2/12/2008 1:00:39 AM

jmpack15 ncaa men's basketball 07-08
118-77-5

texas +6
loyola marymount +30.5
nevada -6.5
illinois chicago -1.5
georgetown -12


jmpack15 ncaa men's basketball 07-08
120-80-5

this record is fallin to shit lately

2/12/2008 1:21:24 AM

^ that's still an awesome record. You are hitting 60% through 200 games that is actually pretty remarkable.

2-4 on the night

Pepperdine +5½ -105 W
Wofford +7½ -108 L
Citadel +11½ -103 L
San Diego -3½ -108 W
Loyola Marymount +30½ -107 L
Wisc Green Bay +4 -105 L

Updated record: 28-21-3

By the way there are some nice games on todays card I'm looking at
UNC -8.5 @ UVA
Marquette -2.5 @ Seton Hall
Pennsylvania -2 vs. Princeton

thoughts?

[Edited on February 12, 2008 at 9:31 AM. Reason : .]

2/12/2008 9:22:58 AM

That UNC line is really attractive. UVa is fucking horrible. But if UNC plays the way they did for 33 minutes against Clemson and UVa has a decent game, then UNC might not cover. Its the "Lawson-factor".

2/12/2008 9:40:15 AM

Someone mentioned this in another thread, but for some reason I think that UVA will be one of those teams who "turns it on" in the 2nd Half of ACC play and comes into the ACC Tourney hot as hell.

Singletary vs Lawson-less UNC tonight could be interesting. If that line jumps up to +9 or higher, I may go with UVA. May go with UVA anyways...

My play of the night might end up being Michigan State +2 @ Purdue. Purdue is solid, but I am not sold on them as a big time contender just yet. I think they have a letdown tonight after the big win @ Wiscy and MSU picks up the road win. Thoughts?

[Edited on February 12, 2008 at 9:51 AM. Reason : 1]

2/12/2008 9:49:54 AM

yeah that Michigan State line caught my eye too. Should be a hell of a game. It might be best to play the MSU moneyline @ +120. Purdue is on a 9 game winning streak though.

I'm waiting for 5dimes to post their reduced juice lines.

[Edited on February 12, 2008 at 10:16 AM. Reason : .]

2/12/2008 10:14:31 AM

Yea but we also thought that when Clemson played UVA that was when they would turn it around.....

I dont think they have a chance but the line has moved to -9.5 at betus fyi.

I really like

Michigan State +2 vs Purdue
Louisville -7.5 vs Depaul (I like this one the most)
Minnesota -4.5 vs Illinios
UNC -9 vs Viginia

Kentucky +4 vs Vanderbelt is an interesting line as well

I liked the Butler/Wisc line when it was at -4.5 but its at -6 now

[Edited on February 12, 2008 at 10:21 AM. Reason : Tucky]

2/12/2008 10:19:11 AM

Reduced lines just came out on 5dimes. I've got these picks for tonight before the lines move on them.

Bradley -1 -105
Kent State -4 -105
Louisville -7 -105
Butler -6 -105
Marquette -3 -105
North Carolina -8½ -105
Michigan State ML +120

[Edited on February 12, 2008 at 10:25 AM. Reason : .]

2/12/2008 10:24:54 AM

Well, there was one bad block of about 10 minutes, and otherwise St. Mary's played exactly as I had hoped. Unfortunately, it wasn't enough, but I was really happy that I methodically lost instead of losing because I'm an idiot. ( I think there's a difference...)

monvural:
Overall Locks Parlays
16-12-0 (2-0-0) (0-2-0)

St. Mary's (-5.5) @ Santa Clara

Looking at that Michigan State game tonight. UNC looks good too... Not too worried about Singletary, but maybe I should be?

2/12/2008 11:15:35 AM

looking at michigan state, uva, butler, penn, kentucky, louisville, and illinois.

will wait for the lines to come out later this afternoon when i get out of class around 4:30. hopefully the mich state and uva lines go up some.

2/12/2008 12:12:48 PM

uva +9 and vande-4 purdue -1

2/12/2008 2:01:03 PM

^I'm on those 3 also..let's get them!

2/12/2008 2:31:05 PM

UVA +9??

LoL

2/12/2008 3:15:11 PM

it's down to 7 now most places

2/12/2008 3:59:37 PM

yeah the fact that the line moved from -9 to -7 in the UNC game has me worried. Public is hammering UNC and the books are moving the line in the wrong direction. Something is definitely fishy with this game.

2/12/2008 4:12:54 PM

Anybody looking at NBA games?


I thought the Noila game looked interesting since Gordon and Deng are still out. Heinrich may play but will he be effective and Paul is balling out of his mind right now.

New Orleans -6 vs Chicago


Also looking at

Kent St -3.5 vs Central Michigan

2/12/2008 5:00:06 PM

Detroit -5 over Atlanta
Boston -5.5 over Indiana
Denver -7 over Miami
Minnesota +6.5 over New Jersey
Sacramento -5 over Memphis
New Orleans -6 over Chicago

thats what I'd do if I was betting those 6 games but I probably wouldn't bet many cause I like dogs and the Timberwolves are the only dog I think will cover tonight and they suck

2/12/2008 5:06:09 PM