I like the total yards one. Realistically both teams aren't going to be going up and down the field all game. It's fair to give 500 yards to Rodgers/Roflcopter combined so do you think they can muster 160-170 yards rushing between the two teams? I'm leaning under there.

Rodgers/Jackson/Kuhn/Starks could happen in the 2nd. I guess it depends on how you think the game turns out. If GB has the lead late in the 2nd half that looks really good. If they are down 1-2 scores that prop has no chance.

2/3/2011 7:57:52 PM

well, GB never been down by more than 7 this year (according to Mike and Mike )

2/3/2011 8:00:04 PM

+-------------------+
| Detroit Pistons -5.5|
+-------------------+

2/4/2011 11:59:51 AM

Quote :

" ^ that would be a push on your GB unique rushers"

No it wouldnt, backup RB would be #4, reverse or end around with WR would be #5

2/4/2011 1:44:51 PM

come on Detroit

2/4/2011 9:41:18 PM

got spurs -5

2/4/2011 9:54:32 PM

pistons paying off my car!!!

2/4/2011 10:10:51 PM

+------------------+
| Georgetown -11.5 |
+------------------+

2/5/2011 11:45:01 AM

duke big -19

2/5/2011 4:29:55 PM

so right now i win $430 if pitt wins by 4 or more

$1,000 if pitt wins by 3 or less

lose $200 if GB wins.


Ugh sinking feeling that GB is going to win. I feel like hedging off Pitt but the line is already pushed off fair value towards GB and i hate giving up edge just to reduce variance.

I got in this spot by fading NO and Indy hard this year and letting most people get NE while i scooped the falcons, pitt, chi, nyj quietly. Fucking Packers are really busting my balls though.

2/5/2011 4:46:57 PM

Georgetown screwed me in my ass with that 2nd half performance

2/5/2011 5:15:15 PM

76-80 Total Points 14/1
71-75 Total Points 12/1
Pitt Most Penalty Yards -160
Score 3 unanswed - Yes -165
BJ Raji 1 Off Play - No +145
Show Jerry Jones - Over 2.5 -135
Rodgers Over 2 TD Passes +125
Rodgers +1 Compl D Wade Pts -105 (Wade scored 28! )
Rodgers 1rst TD 14/1
H Miller 1rst TD 12/1
Roethlisberger 1rst TD 14/1
H Miller -4.5 Rec Yds J Jones EVEN
J Kuhn +5.5 Rush Yds I Redman EVEN
Driver Over 45.5 Rec Yds -115
Kuhn Tot Rush/Rec Yds Ov 19.5 -105
H Miller Over 3.5 Receptions -125
H Miller Over 39.5 Rec Yds -125
H Ward Under 3.5 Receptions -125
H Miller MVP 28/1
Driver MVP 25/1
Roethlisberger MVP 7/2
Packers Win 9/1

All same unit, except bolded one which are 1/5 of a unit. Got Packers before season.

2/6/2011 4:09:43 PM

Just hedged my action like a total pansy.

+625 if pitt wins by 3 or less. +60 if anything else.

If this shit hits ill be well over +1000 for each of the last 3 superbowl runs.

I feel so iinvincible that something had to go wrong hence the hedge

2/6/2011 4:35:37 PM

+------------------------+
| Steelers Moneyline +138 |
+------------------------+

better team, a better reg season record, played in a much better division, and the experience factor really tickles my fancy.

[Edited on February 6, 2011 at 4:44 PM. Reason : gotta get my ascii box going]

2/6/2011 4:41:16 PM

Heart says GB -3, brain says Steelers. Under normal circumstances I would not bet with that conflict. But I feel the need to put something on it so I will have something to pull for since I don't give a shit about either team.

2/6/2011 5:23:18 PM

oof

those props whupped my ass

even w/ the preseason packers picks, lost a bit over 1.5 units today

2/6/2011 10:52:36 PM

+----------------------+
| Memphis Grizzlies +3.5 |
+----------------------+

2/7/2011 5:27:27 PM

bodog has this new "bet slip" thingy. Might be a good day to try it out!


WVU +4
FL -6



[Edited on March 19, 2011 at 11:32 AM. Reason : .]

3/19/2011 11:13:20 AM

bttt

1/4/2012 11:01:54 AM

I don't really want to read 161 pages, and no one seems to have said anything here in a year, soo...

Is there an update on the sites you guys use to bet?

[Edited on January 4, 2012 at 11:43 AM. Reason : .]

1/4/2012 11:43:25 AM

On the subject of fake betting I got a check in the mail for 200 dollars from centsports a few weeks ago (only 15 months after cashing out). So that was nice.

1/4/2012 2:38:18 PM

get a bookie. online sites take way too long to payout. I guess you could say Bodog is the best of them?

1/4/2012 3:29:45 PM

bodog is no longer bodog, it is now bovada.lv in the US.

Also
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/recommended+list/

1/4/2012 4:03:49 PM

So is online betting legal, is being a casual better on a site like that "safe"

1/4/2012 4:26:53 PM

betdsi.com

1/4/2012 6:15:02 PM

hey face, should i put money on the spurs to win the title?

5/31/2012 12:53:42 PM

Not sure why I'm so generous with the user base here but here's some value if you guys want to make some money. This might be the last time I help you guys just because this site has gotten so trollific. I couldn't go too big or take all the thin value bets out there because too much of my roll is still wrapped up in my baseball season bets unfortunately. #Badplanning

Most of these have a wide safety net built in, but remember to diversify because a few of them will lose somehow. Obviously, the more I put on a bet the higher margin of safety there is built in. All the first bets are based off info I paid for so they are golden, but the 2nd section are slightly speculative. I used data, but I don't have a waterfall distribution so it's hard to ascertain their true value. I highly doubt they are hugely negative EV though.

It wouldn't shock me if a few of these lines have already adjusted since I put them in a week or two ago. A few of these were really soft so I'm sure a lot of smart money has jumped on them.

Section 1 (no honk guarantee):

TOTAL o8½+145
(BENGALS RSW vrs BENGALS RSW)
50/72


TOTAL u8½+105
(COWBOYS RSW vrs COWBOYS RSW)
50/52


TOTAL u10EV
(TEXANS RSW vrs TEXANS RSW)
50/50

TOTAL o5½+155
(COLTS RSW vrs COLTS RSW)
50/77

TOTAL o5½+105
(JAGUARS RSW vrs JAGUARS RSW)
50/52

TOTAL o8½-145
(JETS RSW vrs JETS RSW)
73/50


TOTAL u10EV
(EAGLES RSW vrs EAGLES RSW)
50/50

TOTAL u9-130
(CHARGERS RSW vrs CHARGERS RSW)
260/200

TOTAL u10-120
(49ERS RSW vrs 49ERS RSW)
240/200

D BREES (NO) TD PASSES +2-120
(A RODGERS (GB) TD PASSES vrs D BREES (NO) TD PASSES)
60/50

M RYAN (ATL) TD PASSES +9½-135
(A RODGERS (GB) TD PASSES vrs M RYAN (ATL) TD PASSES)
68/50

A RODGERS (GB) TD PASSES -3-110
(A RODGERS (GB) TD PASSES vrs M STAFFORD (DET) TD PASSES)
55/50

A RODGERS (GB) TD PASSES -5EV
(A RODGERS (GB) TD PASSES vrs P MANNING (DEN) TD PASSES)
50/50

T BRADY (NE) TD PASSES +2-120
(A RODGERS (GB) TD PASSES vrs T BRADY (NE) TD PASSES)
60/50

D BREES (NO) TD PASSES -1-115
(D BREES (NO) TD PASSES vrs M STAFFORD (DET) TD PASSES)
58/50

D BREES (NO) TD PASSES -5½-110
(D BREES (NO) TD PASSES vrs T ROMO (DAL) TD PASSES)
55/50

E MANNING (NYG) TD PASSES +6½-130
(E MANNING (NYG) TD PASSES vrs M STAFFORD (DET) TD PASSES
65/50

M RYAN (ATL) TD PASSES +7½-130
(M RYAN (ATL) TD PASSES vrs M STAFFORD (DET) TD PASSES)
65/50

T BRADY (NE) TD PASSES -1-115
(M STAFFORD (DET) TD PASSES vrs T BRADY (NE) TD PASSES)
58/50

R GRIFFIN III (WAS) TD PASSES +2½-120
(A LUCK (IND) TD PASSES vrs R GRIFFIN III (WAS) TD PA
60/50



Section 2 (slightly speculative):

NFL OFFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR WILL BE ANDREW LUCK +300
200/600

NFL OFFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR WILL BE ROBERT GRIFFIN III +600
100/600

2012 NFL REGULAR SEASON - MOST PASSING YARDS
[19010] DREW BREES +450
200/900

2012 NFL REGULAR SEASON - MOST PASSING YARDS
[19020] TOM BRADY +500
200/1000

2013 NFC CONFERENCE
[901147] PACKERS +275
100/275



And never too early for a great NBA value bet. Lakers with Nash are obviously a great team.

2012/2013 NBA CHAMPIONSHIP - ODDS TO WIN
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +800
200/1600

2012-2013 WESTERN CONFERENCE - ODDS TO WIN
LOS ANGELES LAKERS +350
200/700

[Edited on August 1, 2012 at 3:40 PM. Reason : a]

[Edited on August 1, 2012 at 3:41 PM. Reason : a]

8/1/2012 3:39:09 PM

Prop city. Some of these just have ridiculously large edge. Quick find a computer, Quaid start the reactor! Don't say I never did anything for this place. This is essentially minting money.

2013 NFC CONFERENCE
PACKERS +350
25/87

TOTAL o14½-115
(BENGALS RS PASS INTS vrs BENGALS RS PASS INTS)
25/21

TOTAL u18-120
(COWBOYS RS PASS INTS vrs COWBOYS RS PASS INTS)
25/20

TOTAL o12½-115
(VIKINGS RS PASS INTS vrs VIKINGS RS PASS INTS)
25/21

TOTAL u18½-115
(NY GIANTS RS PASS INTS vrs NY GIANTS RS PASS INTS)
25/21

TOTAL u20½-115
(49ERS RS PASS INTS vrs 49ERS RS PASS INTS)
25/21

TOTAL u15½-115
(BUCCS RS PASS INTS vrs BUCCS RS PASS INTS)
25/21

2012 NFL REGULAR SEASON - MOST RUSHING YARDS
RAY RICE +800
30/240

TOTAL o7½-240
(BILLS RSW vrs BILLS RSW)
80/33

TOTAL u6EV
(RAMS RSW vrs RAMS RSW)
80/80

TOTAL u8½-110
(CLEMSON RSW vrs CLEMSON RSW)
33/30

TOTAL u7-185
(MIAMI FL RSW vrs MIAMI FL RSW)
56/30

TOTAL u9½-285
(LOUISVILLE RSW vrs LOUISVILLE RSW)
114/40

TOTAL o8½-120
(OKLAHOMA STATE RSW vrs OKLAHOMA STATE RSW)
120/100

TOTAL o8½+160
(TCU RSW vrs TCU RSW)
30/48

TOTAL o10½-115
(ALABAMA RSW vrs ALABAMA RSW)
35/30

TOTAL u8½EV
(ARKANSAS RSW vrs ARKANSAS RSW)
50/50

TOTAL u7½-155
(MISSISSIPPI STATE RSW vrs MISSISSIPPI STATE RSW)
155/100

TOTAL u7½-150
(MISSOURI RSW vrs MISSOURI RSW)
150/100

TOTAL o10½-115
(OREGON RSW vrs OREGON RSW)
35/30

TOTAL o34½-115
(BEARS RS QB SACKS vrs BEARS RS QB SACKS)
23/20

TOTAL u42½-120
(BRONCOS RS QB SACKS vrs BRONCOS RS QB SACKS)
120/100

TOTAL u40-115
(RAIDERS RS QB SACKS vrs RAIDERS RS QB SACKS)
115/100

TOTAL u36½-115
(CHARGERS RS QB SACKS vrs CHARGERS RS QB SACKS)
35/30

TOTAL o34½-115
(SEAHAWKS RS QB SACKS vrs SEAHAWKS RS QB SACKS)
35/30

M CROSBY (GB) PTS -2½-115
(A HENERY (PHI) PTS vrs M CROSBY (GB) PTS)
30/26

M BRYANT (ATL) PTS +8½-120
(A HENERY (PHI) PTS vrs M BRYANT (ATL) PTS)
30/25

R BIRONAS (TEN) PTS +12½-120
(A HENERY (PHI) PTS vrs R BIRONAS (TEN) PTS)
30/25

S JANIKOWSKI (OAK) PTS +7½-120
(A HENERY (PHI) PTS vrs S JANIKOWSKI (OAK) PTS)
30/25

S GOSTKOWSKI (NE) PTS -2½-115
(A HENERY (PHI) PTS vrs S GOSTKOWSKI (NE) PTS)
30/26

M CROSBY (GB) PTS -6½-120
(D BAILEY (DAL) PTS vrs M CROSBY (GB) PTS)
30/25

M BRYANT (ATL) PTS +2-115
(D BAILEY (DAL) PTS vrs M BRYANT (ATL) PTS)
30/26

R BIRONAS (TEN) PTS +7½-120
(D BAILEY (DAL) PTS vrs R BIRONAS (TEN) PTS)
30/25

S GOSTKOWSKI (NE) PTS -4½-110
(D BAILEY (DAL) PTS vrs S GOSTKOWSKI (NE) PTS)
30/27

M CROSBY (GB) PTS -18½-110
(D CARPENTER (MIA) PTS vrs M CROSBY (GB) PTS)
30/27

M BRYANT (ATL) PTS -8½-110
(D CARPENTER (MIA) PTS vrs M BRYANT (ATL) PTS)
30/27

R BIRONAS (TEN) PTS -2½-115
(D CARPENTER (MIA) PTS vrs R BIRONAS (TEN) PTS)
30/26

S JANIKOWSKI (OAK) PTS -6½-110
(D CARPENTER (MIA) PTS vrs S JANIKOWSKI (OAK) PTS)
30/27

S GOSTKOWSKI (NE) PTS -18½-110
(D CARPENTER (MIA) PTS vrs S GOSTKOWSKI (NE) PTS)
30/27

2012 NFL MVP - ODDS TO WIN
AARON RODGERS +500
20/100

2012 NFL MVP - ODDS TO WIN
TOM BRADY +650
100/650

ODDS TO WIN 2013 SUPER BOWL
PACKERS +700
20/140

ODDS TO WIN 2013 SUPER BOWL
PATRIOTS +450
20/90

NFL OFFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR WILL BE
FIELD +800 (Russell Wilson is included here)
50/400

ODDS TO WIN 2013 SUPER BOWL
FALCONS +2500
50/1250

[Edited on September 5, 2012 at 7:22 PM. Reason : a]

9/5/2012 7:20:48 PM

Although parleys are a sucker bet, I took the Giants and the over tonight.

Also like USC -26 vs Syracuse. Kiffin wont like them losing the #1 spot even though they won by 39. Think he will take it out on the Orangemen

9/5/2012 7:26:55 PM

I've started to bet some soccer from around the world. I love getting ~ +150 on games that really aren't too hard to predict in leagues like Brazil or Germany. That extra outcome with the draw will burn you sometimes, but it gives you better odds.

9/5/2012 7:30:01 PM

It's tough to find good odds on soccer if you live in the US, especially for the less popular leagues. 5dimes is probably the best for it.

9/5/2012 9:01:51 PM

5dimes is the best for all betting i thought now that the exchanges are all out of business.

9/6/2012 12:38:17 AM

Any thoughts on tonight's game? Pitt really that bad? Cincy lost a lot but had all off season to prep for this game with them not having a week 1 game

9/6/2012 7:19:18 PM

Guy I know of that kills cbb likes pitt +5 tonight. No idea of his track record in cfb, but he is a monster in cbb so I wouldn't fade him if I was betting this game myself.

9/6/2012 8:05:13 PM

I took Cincy -4.5

9/6/2012 8:16:46 PM

What a dookie college game for the one Thursday college has to itself all year. Give me at least one decent team, not this shit show. JFC.

9/6/2012 8:19:03 PM

Pitt/Cincy is usually a close game

but i mean, Pitt lost to Youngstown State last week by 2 TDs, at home

9/6/2012 8:24:35 PM

Savannah State (+70.5) at Florida State.

9/7/2012 3:04:32 PM

they couldnt cover last week

9/7/2012 3:12:51 PM

still be hard to give 10 touchdowns, that's one of those where unless you're a sadistic masochist gambler you stay away from, imagine watching and thinking to yourself "NO! Noles are only up 49-3 at the end of the 3rd!"

9/7/2012 3:30:22 PM

I was so going to take it until they had the .5 hook... FUCK THAT!

9/7/2012 3:35:41 PM

hard to give up 10 touchdowns yes, but they gave up 12 touchdowns last week

9/7/2012 3:37:43 PM

9/8/2012 12:38:28 AM

I took a lot this week, here are some of my favorites, a few have moved a lot since I got them (my picks listed first)


Carolina -1 vs Tampa

NE -5.5 vs Tennessee

Arizona State -1 vs Illinois (this has to be a trap game, no way AzSt. should only be favored by 1 at home, that means Illinois will kill them haha, but I took them anyways)

Kentucky vs Kent State O41 (LOVE this one)

Florida vs. A&M U50 (Florida is determined to run this year, think A&M will be conservative too, great D)

USC -26 vs. Cuse (Kiffin won by 39 and dropped out of first in the polls, think he lays it on Cuse, also Barkley's only chance at east coast exposure for Heisman)

Auburn vs Miss St U49.5 (love this, both teams suck ass, Miss State good on D at least)

NC State -4 vs. UConn (State isnt a bad team, just ran into a juggernaut week 1, Glennon and Amerson redeem themsevles)

9/8/2012 1:39:06 AM

I think he is wearing that fake mustache upside down.

9/8/2012 2:13:27 AM

What fake mustache? I've actually heard a LOT of people picking Miss State as their lock. Might throw something on it in the morning

9/8/2012 3:09:07 AM

Ne -5.5 is definitely the butterball this week.

9/8/2012 9:13:40 AM

dang, I should have listened and picked Miss State, Auburn is fucking awful

9/8/2012 2:53:40 PM

Should have taken nc state -3 like I did.

9/8/2012 4:02:51 PM

bovada has been down almost 24 hrs, wonder how much $ they are losing

9/9/2012 11:04:01 AM