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 Message Boards » » *The Guru's Official 2007 Fantasy Football Advice* Page 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 ... 74, Prev Next  
wlb420
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what are the prospects for DeA and DeS.......what round? Starter or back ups? Which one first?

Tricky situation imo.......I'll probably try to stay away from both, just to be safe.

[Edited on June 25, 2007 at 2:53 PM. Reason : deuce]

6/25/2007 2:53:36 PM

TreeTwista10
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DeA before DeS

6/25/2007 4:59:07 PM

Panthro
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ok, here is my take on this...

Deangelo Williams will likely take the starting position over by some time around week 5. With all of the added pressure on Coach John Fox this year and the desire for the team to get younger (such as the signing of Carr, release of KJ at WR, etc), I see him playing his most dynamic players early and often.

In 12 man drafts, DeA has gone as high as the 5th round (pretty consistent) and DeS has gone no higher than the 6th (and that was rare).

The only way I would take DeA as a starter would be if I were to have one of the first three picks and drafted RB (LT), WR (Wayne), WR (Boldin), QB (Bulger), DeA (RB) or something along those lines. He could be a very good back this year and is worth taking a fly on, especially since Carolina will be using a zone blocking scheme that DeA flourished in while at Memphis.

He does however, make an excellent backup option and one that will likely slip under less informed Fantasy Footballer's cheat sheets.

I see him as a decent #2 RB and a great #3 or situational play.

- The Guru

[Edited on June 25, 2007 at 5:16 PM. Reason : ASdf]

6/25/2007 5:14:36 PM

bkhardee
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ok Guru.. my league gets 2 keepers. My options come down to Ronnie Brown, Cedric Benson, Thomas Jones, Edge, and Reggie Wayne

.. Brown is my first choice, then its up in the air for the 2nd. With Benson I worry about Grossman sucking balls and his bad attitude, with Jones I just dont know if the Jets will be good enough and they have O-line issues. I think Edge will improve with an improved O-line, coach, and QB but not sure if I should use it on him. I will get the production out of Wayne but their are always WR's available and their probably won't be many RB's

.. Welcome to my dilemma

6/27/2007 3:15:17 PM

wlb420
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I'd keep Benson and Jones

Bears D will keep them in most games, and they'll be a run dominated team

The Jets are a pretty well balanced O, and their dink and dunk style will be good for the running game.

6/27/2007 3:37:05 PM

Panthro
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bk, In my honest opinion, I think you should keep Ronnie Brown and Cedric Benson, but man, Reggie Wayne is very close third.

First of all, we have not even come close to seeing the best of Ronnie Brown. The addition of Cam Cameron to the coaching staff is going to do wonders for Brown's productivity. Unfortunately, we really wont see the fruit of this relationship until 2008, but he will be a solid keeper this year and could crack the top 10 fantasy RB's this year.

In Benson, you are getting a mix of speed and toughness that plays on a team that, as ^ said, is dedicated to the run. Benson is injury prone, and has never carried the entire load for an entire season. Hell, never even for a half of a season, so that pick is not without risk. The good thing is that Chicago's defense will remain in tact for at least the next few years, so Benson should get numerous scoring opprounities to punch the ball into the end zone. The QB issue doesnt worry me so much, becasue I am one of the few that think Grossman will actually play better this year than last, as he is in a contract year with ALOT to prove.

Ok, the wildcard of all of this is Reggie Wayne. I am not sure what your league settings are, but in most leagues in 2006, Wayne was in the top 3 in fantasy WR's. I also really like him this year, as it is becoming more and more evident that Harrison is in the later stages of his career. Wayne was really the #1 WR on that team last year, and as I had mentioned before, if it werent for that one game v. NE last year where Marvin had 3 TD's, Wayne would have crushed him statistically. Both Manning and Wayne are under contract for the next few years, and while I dont see them being as statistically prolific as Manning & Harrision, Wayne easily has the potential and the Quarterback to be one of the best, if not the best WR in the league this year and next.

Again, RB's always hold more weight in Fantasy Football than RB's do, but none of those options at RB are going to be in the top 5 statistically. You really need to think about the direction of your team, because having a WR like Wayne as a keeper could basically give you the edge week in and out against your opponent.

- The Guru

6/27/2007 9:06:10 PM

TreeTwista10
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i've seen brown going top 10 (9th or 10th mostly) in mock drafts

6/27/2007 9:21:57 PM

Panthro
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really?

I have yet to see him go in the 1st round of a 10 man, I have seen him go 11th or 12th in a 12 man though.

Most 1st rds go like this...

LT, S-Jax, LJ, then some combination of Addai, Gore, Alexander, Rudi, Westbrook, Henry & Parker.

I cant see Brown being taken ahead of any of those guys, but, all drafts are different.

6/27/2007 10:00:01 PM

TreeTwista10
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i could see him going ahead of addai just cause the colts pass so much

6/27/2007 10:03:45 PM

Panthro
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anyone up for a mock draft?

http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/mockdrafts

7/3/2007 10:25:32 AM

Panthro
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bttt. Anyone know of the best live draft package to get?

Some are on ebay, but I wanted to know if anyone had any personal experience.

7/12/2007 11:15:32 AM

jmpack15
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i jumped in some random 8-team league that was drafting today for the hell of it.


QB - Peyton
QB - Rivers
RB - Maroney
RB - E. James
RB - D. Foster
RB - M. Lynch
RB - T. Bell
WR - Torry
WR - Anquan
WR - Calvin
WR - G. Jennings
WR - T. Glenn
TE - Gates
K - J. Wilkins
DEF - Baltimore
DEF - Carolina

7/12/2007 12:52:08 PM

Shivan Bird
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^^I just use Excel.

7/12/2007 1:35:13 PM

Panthro
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This picture makes me LOL.

He looks like one of those "Big Head" wall posters.

7/16/2007 5:14:42 PM

TreeTwista10
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^i pretty much see that picture every day, and probably multiple times every day

[Edited on July 16, 2007 at 5:19 PM. Reason : "Fat Heads"]

7/16/2007 5:19:18 PM

Panthro
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Oh yeah, fat heads.

Same here on the view count.

I swear, I have seen that picture at least 20 times today already, lol.

It will be up to fifty by the time the night is over. Its a good thing Stattracker doesnt have that thing on it, otherwise my head might explode from an Ocho overdose.

7/16/2007 5:22:24 PM

TreeTwista10
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good thing i dont have any golf or nascar to mess with today and its a slightly limited mlb schedule and i have exactly the right number of players today...course thats not gonna stop me from opening stat tracker later

ps: i had stattracker up during the all star game...had the game on another channel...flipped back and saw that the AL had scored a couple runs...looked at the Stattracker to see that Johan Santana had hit a 2 run homer (but he really didnt it was the guy who pinch hit for him...i think V-Mart (C-Cle)

[Edited on July 16, 2007 at 5:28 PM. Reason : .]

7/16/2007 5:27:35 PM

BoobsR_gr8
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pm me if you want my draft lists.

I compile them every year using different modifiers (which I will not give out) but I'll give my position lists if people want them

i use excel for the formulas

7/16/2007 11:14:13 PM

BoobsR_gr8
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O sweet I can paste excel into here


Rank PLAYER

1 P. Manning
2 T. Brady
3 C. Palmer
4 D. Brees
5 D. McNabb
6 M. Bulger
7 P. Rivers
8 M. Vick
9 J. Kitna
10 V. Young
11 M. Hasselbeck
12 T. Romo
13 M. Leinart
14 J. Cutler
15 J. Losman
16 M. Schaub
17 S. McNair
18 J. Russell


Rank PLAYER

1 L. Tomlinson
2 S. Jackson
3 L. Johnson
4 J. Addai
5 F. Gore
6 S. Alexander
7 W. Parker
8 L. Maroney
9 T. Henry
10 R. Bush
11 R. Johnson
12 B. Westbrook
13 C. Portis
14 M. Lynch
15 M. Jones-Drew
16 E. James
17 R. Brown
18 C. Benson
19 W. McGahee
20 J. Lewis
21 T. Jones
22 C. Williams
23 B. Jackson
24 B. Jacobs
25 A. Green
26 D. McAllister
27 D. Williams
28 C. Henry
29 A. Peterson
30 T. Bell


Rank PLAYER

1 C. Johnson
2 T. Holt
3 T. Owens
4 S. Smith
5 L. Fitzgerald
6 M. Harrison
7 R. Wayne
8 R. Williams
9 R. Moss
10 Ca. Johnson
11 A. Boldin
12 J. Walker
13 T. Houshmandzadeh
14 L. Evans
15 M. Colston
16 A. Johnson
17 D. Driver
18 H. Ward
19 G. Jennings
20 V. Jackson
21 B. Edwards
22 R. Brown
23 D. Stallworth
24 P. Burress
25 B. Berrian
26 D. Jackson
27 S. Moss
28 L. Coles
29 D. Henderson
30 J. Galloway
31 J. Cotchery
32 D. Branch
33 C. Chambers
34 S. Holmes
35 J. Horn
36 J. Porter
37 T. Glenn

Rank PLAYER

1 A. Gates
2 T. Gonzalez
3 A. Crumpler
4 T. Heap
5 V. Davis
6 K. Winslow
7 J. Witten
8 B. Watson
9 L. Smith
10 J. Shockey
11 H. Miller
12 D. Clark
13 C. Cooley
14 R. McMichael
15 B. Troupe

Rank PLAYER

1 Chicago
2 Baltimore
3 San Diego
4 Oakland
5 New England
6 Carolina
7 Pittsburgh
8 Miami
9 Jacksonville
10 Dallas
11 Philadelphia
12 Denver
13 San Francisco
14 Seattle
15 Arizona

7/16/2007 11:17:23 PM

Panthro
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bttt.

7/18/2007 7:48:54 AM

scottf
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ok guys, need some advice... in my recent draft i didn't get the receivers that i needed. so i started loading up on qbs...i have bulger, rivers, eli manning, and alex smith. did this in hopes of making a trade for a receiver or two at a later date. well that date seems to have come thanks to the pending charges against vick. he is the only qb on this guy's fantasy team. would like to offer either eli or smith for plaxico burress or cotchery ( i know he wouldn't consider trading chad johnson who is his #1 receiver). my rec. corp. includes t.j. who's your mama, calvin johnson, donte stallworth, and amani toomer who is a backup.

what direction should i go in and if need be how far would you go to get one of these guys...i.e. tossing in johnson, stallworth, or toomer to get the deal done. also put yourself in this guys shoes and tell me what it would take for you to make the trade. i realize that vick isn't def. out yet but if he was the only qb on my roster i would want some insurance.

7/18/2007 3:33:38 PM

Phil LOLlins
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you'd be an idiot to trade calvin johnson ALONE for one of the WR's you named

he'll be much better than burress or cotchery

do yourself a favor, look at the list 3 posts above and see if any of the WR's listed are available on waivers and add them

eli manning is a horrible QB and smith will be avg at best this year, so if you can get anything for just them you should be happy

your WR corps isnt that bad unless you have to start 3

7/18/2007 5:40:13 PM

Panthro
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scott....the first thing to do, is not pay any attention to what ^ says. He is a thorn in my side every fantasy foolball season. This year looks to be no different. You are correct, that other guy will absolutely want a another QB...I know I would in that situation. The first step in making a trade is knowing what you are bringing to the table. Bulger is a top 6 QB, no doubt about it. After the first 6, the drop off is pretty significant, so trading Bulger is obviously out of the question.

It may seem like Rivers is leaps and bounds ahead of Eli, but when you look at the way the season is shaping up, Manning is setting up to have his best season yet. The new OC in NY is really going to air it out alot this season, and with Tiki gone, he and Plax should be busy early and often.

What does that mean to you? Offer Rivers in a trade for Plax...straight up. The longer all of this Vick drama goes on, the more he is going to realize that there is a good chance Vick could be out a chunk of the season. If you want to get the deal done quick, offer Rivers and Smith. Again, you make him think that you are coming off with your number one backup (and a starter for alot of teams, even in a 10 man), and you keep a sleeper in Manning and possibly gain is go to guy. try that and let me know what happens. This wont solve your WR issues, but Plax is going to be much better than many people realize and is a huge step in the right direction.

I look forward to hearing what happens.

- The Guru

7/18/2007 10:56:17 PM

TreeTwista10
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Quote :
"Manning is setting up to have his best season yet"


i agree about trading Philly Cheese for Plax straight up, but I think that even though Eli is going to throw more with Tiki gone, I think defenses are gonna be all over him...Plax is a solid receiver, at least early in the season, but I disagree about Eli having a great year

7/19/2007 1:38:47 AM

DROD900
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^^^I'd offer up Philip and Stallworth for Chad Johnson


I have a question now:

I just landed the second pick in a draft, who should I take, Steven Jackson or LJ? I know everyone is pointing at Jackson and LJ is on the verge of a possible holdout, but I've had LJ the last two years and he has been a beast for me and I really dont think the Chiefs are dumb enough to let him holdout.

7/19/2007 9:44:09 AM

Panthro
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First question is, what is your scoring system? 1 point per 10 yds or 20? PPR? (Points Per Reception)

If it's a PPR league, or 1 point per 10 yds, S-Jax, no doubt.

Ok, we all know that the past few years, LJ has been a monster, but this year is setting up to be a different story im ny opinion. The latest mocks on numerous sites (I mock draft at least 5 times a day, pathetic...I know) have LJ falling as low as 4 or even 5 (on rare occasions).

Here's why:

1) Almost 800 carries in the last two years, and NFL record last year with 416 carries. He is a beast, but it took him a ton of bumps and bruises to get there. Herm Edwards has vowed not to use him that much this year. That will defintely cause a drop in the overall numbers

2) The 2007 season will mark the second year in a row that KC has lost a hall of famer off of its offensive line. 12 time pro-bowler Will Shields hung up the cleats this offseason, almost one year after Willie Roaf decided to do the same. The O-line makes the defense in the running game, and if you think losing those two studs wont play a part in this year's running game, you are dead wrong.

3) The inexperienced QB and lack of a WR presence. These could be two separate issues, but you can absolutely expect to see 8 men in the box almost every snap that LJ is in the game. There may not be a more one dimensional team in the NFL this season. With either Damon Huard or Brodie Coyle at QB and the oldest of old #1 WR's in Kennison leading the way, I expect to see alot of blocking from Gonzo this year and even more three and outs on offense.

4) The possible holdout. You are right in assuming that this will probably be a non-issue by the time the regular season rolls around, but if he misses and part of training camp, you are looking at someone who will take longer in the regular season to get used to the plays, get in game shape, and ultimately take longer to be a fantasy factor than he normally would.

For all of these reasons, I think its a no brainer to take S-Jax with the 2nd overall pick. Some of his nay-sayers think that becasue of the improved offense, there will be less touches for him. I call BS on that one. An improved offense is nothin but good for a RB. Defenses cant focus solely on him, and the pass will absolutely open up the run, equalling more goal-line and long play opprotunities. Not to mention that if that improved offense can ever get a big lead on a team, S-Jax will certainly close the game out for you. In my opinion, the choice is simple.

Go with Stephen Jackson with the #2 pick!

7/19/2007 10:48:06 AM

LudaChris
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Ok, so my league has 10 players, and we each have 2 keepers.

My 2 keepers are LT and Steven Jackson(yes I played my cards right over the past 2 seasons).

Now comes the question of my first pick. Our draft order was set to random and I got the 4th pick. So now I'm torn. Our league starts 2 QB's, 2 RB's and 3 WR's, so I'm leaning towards WR, but there will be some solid RB's on the board.

I'm basically down to 4 players for my first pick, 2 RB's and 2 WR's and I'm torn on how to order these guys on my rankings list.

1.) Willis McGahee - has shown flashes of being a good RB and now he's on a good team with a great defense that is prepared to grind out the game if they can, so he should get plenty of touches.

2.) Maurice Jones-Drew - he was my waiver-wire wonder last year, with him in my stable I had 3 top 10 RB's, but he is splitting carries, but also gets plenty of touches all over the field. I'd love to steal him in the 2nd round but a few people have mentioned being interested in him in the late first round/early 2nd round, so I don't think he'd slide that far.

3.) Steve Smith - what more is there to say other than his name? Big threat WR who can make special things happen. The big questions this year though are the new offense and will he have a decent #2 to draw attention from him?

4.) Marvin Harrison - he was my one good WR last year. He and Peyton are a prime time fantasy duo and despite Reggie Wayne pushing for more touches, Harrison is consistent and always going to get his.

So, feel free to give some advice here, I know at least one of these players will be there when I pick, so order is going to be important(seeing as this is an automatic draft).

7/19/2007 8:47:44 PM

PackMan03
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I'd take Harrison....you already have two top 3 RBs. You can't draft a first round player to your bench.
Definitely one of the WRs, Harrison if it was up to me but you cant go wrong with Smith either.

7/19/2007 9:24:55 PM

Lowjack
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You don't need any other players. You have LT and Steven Jackson

[Edited on July 19, 2007 at 9:26 PM. Reason : and Baltimore Ravens Defense]

7/19/2007 9:25:55 PM

LudaChris
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^We have a full-out team, with all defensive players as well, so even with those 2, the Bears D/ST(I get points for Hester's returns too) I only finished in 3rd. Didn't help McNabb bit the dust so early in the season.

7/20/2007 4:45:22 PM

LudaChris
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No insight Guru?

7/20/2007 8:08:43 PM

Panthro
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^sorry it's taken me so long, but seeing as this is a keeper league and the fact that you are set at RB with LT and S-Jax (and by set, I mean as good as it could possibly be) I would rank them as the following:

1) Smith
2) Harrison
3) McGahee
4) MJD - Im seein' a major bust this year with a healthy Taylor and Gerg Jones.


Now, Fantasy Football news of relevance within the past week or so....

Some of this is [OLD], but it's my duty to post

- Chester Taylor of the Vikings was carted off the practice field two days ago with an apparent arm injury. It doesnt look serious, but he will miss 3 days of practice because of it.

- Clinton Portis of the Redskins is out at least one week with "Swelling" in his knee. If you draft Portis, you absolutely must handcuff him with Betts, as issues such as swelling in the knee tend to linger.

- Not only has Priest Holmes of the Chiefs decided to make a comeback, but Michael Bennett and rookie Kolby Smith are also practicing with the first team offense. With Larry Johnson holding out, every other Chiefs running back becomes a bit more interesting in fantasy leagues. Meanwhile, LJ's stock continues to drop. He is reaching the point where it would even be difficult to justify him at the third pick.



Has anyone drafted or about to draft yet? If you have any questions, let 'em rip!

- The Guru

8/1/2007 4:41:12 PM

TreeTwista10
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should i be wary of Frank Gore's hand injury he got in camp the other day? he already had fumblitis last year

8/1/2007 4:42:57 PM

Panthro
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Well, I say no.

The injury isnt supposed to be serious and he could return to play in one of the last few preseason games, though it appears to be unlikely. If anything, him sitting out the preseason games will only make him more fresh and ready to go once the season starts, similar to how LT doesnt play a snap in the preseason.

8/1/2007 5:06:21 PM

TreeTwista10
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word...yeah i had him in one of my leagues last year so i know how well he did...but his main problem last year was fumbles and an injured hand certainly got my attention since he's a top 10 pick

8/1/2007 5:07:15 PM

LudaChris
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How about some opinions on Donovan McNabb?


I've had him 2 years in a row and 2 years in a row he's gotten hurt. Last year he was the #1 fantasy PLAYER(not just QB) before he went out, but he goes out with a torn ACL. Now he's back and practicing. Where should he be ranked?

I originally ranked my top 3 like this(see my previous post to understand my top 3 here):
Smith
Harrison
McGahee

But now with McNabb in the mix and maybe flying under the radar, do I risk taking him with my first pick? Luckily my draft is towards the end of August, so for now I'm going to sit on him and perhaps move him to my first spot if he has a good pre-season because I think I can find some solid WR's(J. Walker, L. Evans, etc.) in the 2nd and 3rd rounds.

Opinions on taking McNabb in the first-round?

[Edited on August 1, 2007 at 7:55 PM. Reason : .]

8/1/2007 7:54:53 PM

Lowjack
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who are the 2nd or 3rd year receivers who are going to blow up?

8/1/2007 8:25:09 PM

marko
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DREW CARTER

8/1/2007 9:30:31 PM

BoobsR_gr8
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Im in on the open 14 man one here

http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/mockdrafts

join people

8/1/2007 9:37:26 PM

BoobsR_gr8
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that site sucked

it lagged the whole time and most of the picks end up auto picking

8/1/2007 10:02:00 PM

Panthro
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LOL, I just got done doing a draft on there as well.

Lets do a 10 man....let me know if you are interested

[Edited on August 1, 2007 at 10:08 PM. Reason : asdf]

8/1/2007 10:08:23 PM

BoobsR_gr8
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me and guru are arguing who's team is better

I drafted:

QB Kitna
QB Pennington

RB S. Jackson
RB Jones-Drew
RB C. Henry
RB A. Green
RB V Morency

WR T Holt
WR Cal. Johnson
WR G. Jennings
WR B. Marshall
WR S. Holmes

TE A Gates

K N Kaeding

DEF N. England

8/1/2007 11:27:42 PM

BoobsR_gr8
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He drafted:

QB D. Brees
QB Eli Manning

RB W McGahee
RB B Westbrook
RB A Peterson
RB C Brown
RB M Turner

WR M Harrison
WR L Evans
WR C Chambers
WR T Glenn
WR D Bennett

TE B Watson

K R Gould

DEF Bears

8/1/2007 11:29:55 PM

BoobsR_gr8
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YOU MAKE THE CALL

8/1/2007 11:30:16 PM

Panthro
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Boobs had the 3rd pick and I had the 7th.

look closelt at his team. having combo's like S-Jax and Holt are no bueno.

both teams are good.....but I think I take it by a slim margin!



[Edited on August 1, 2007 at 11:35 PM. Reason : asdf]

8/1/2007 11:32:53 PM

BoobsR_gr8
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you are saying you dont take t holt in the 3rd round if he is available if you have jackson?

its the rams

remember when faulk and holt played together? remember last year? it worked then and it works now

id if you are talking by week problems, you have starting RB/WR combos with the same by week too!

[Edited on August 1, 2007 at 11:38 PM. Reason : .]

8/1/2007 11:36:36 PM

Panthro
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all Im saying is that you have a RB/WR combo in Jackson and Holt and a QB/WR combo in Kitna and Johnson. They are all your starters too.

It puts alot of pressure on them to have good games, becasue if they dont, two key positions are getting crappy outputs.

^first of all, its bye weeks. Seocondly, I fixed any and every bye week issue I had by drafting a solid bench.

You on the other hand.....

[Edited on August 1, 2007 at 11:40 PM. Reason : asdf]

8/1/2007 11:38:39 PM

BoobsR_gr8
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i wouldnt say that

I mean kitna could throw to other options and id be ok

if opposing teams stop jackson running the rams are gonna throw the ball and jackson is a great receiver

8/1/2007 11:41:36 PM

BoobsR_gr8
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^^ wow have we become the typing nazi

ive typed the word bye like 20 times in the last hour while we were talking shit to each other at the draft

8/1/2007 11:42:33 PM

Lowjack
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I think panthro had the better draft

8/1/2007 11:42:41 PM

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