All players
1 Ty Lawson, North Carolina 135.7 (22.2) 5-11 195 Jr
2 Tyler Hansbrough, North Carolina 124.5 (26.7) 6-9 250 Sr
3 Danny Green, North Carolina 123.8 (20.6) 6-6 210 Sr
4 Wayne Ellington, North Carolina 123.5 (20.5) 6-4 200 Jr
5 Trevor Booker, Clemson 122.9 (22.4) 6-7 240 Jr
6 Jack McClinton, Miami FL 122.1 (27.2) 6-1 185 Sr
7 Corey Raji, Boston College 120.2 (18.4) 6-6 214 So
8 Jon Scheyer, Duke 120.1 (20.8) 6-5 185 Jr
9 Cheick Diakite, Virginia Tech 120.1 (11.4) 6-9 217 Sr
10 Dennis Horner, North Carolina St. 120.0 (16.1) 6-9 218 Jr

What do the qualifications mean? Only 2 ACC players are qualifed at 28% of possession used?

[Edited on March 1, 2009 at 4:57 PM. Reason : x]

3/1/2009 4:57:02 PM

UNC:CH must also have some of the lowest rated defensive players in the conference, or else that scale is terrible.

3/1/2009 4:59:32 PM

Quote :

"What do the qualifications mean? Only 2 ACC players are qualifed at 28% of possession used?"

Possessions are explained here: http://kenpom.com/blog/index.php/weblog/stats_explained/

The formula is: FGA-OR+TO+0.475xFTA

Unsurprisingly, Curry leads the nation in possession %

http://kenpom.com/leaders.php?c=PctPoss

--

More fun numbers: we're 232nd in turnover %, 324th in defensive turnover %

And Pomeroy says we're 2:1 to win tonight

[Edited on March 1, 2009 at 5:17 PM. Reason : ]

3/1/2009 5:11:11 PM

Quote :

"Wed Mar 4 (61) Boston College W, 74-71 65 60% Home"

So close

3/4/2009 9:46:12 PM

the model obviously thought mccauley would choke it up on those last free throws.

3/5/2009 2:16:50 PM

That's 74-71, good guys

3/5/2009 2:51:42 PM

yeah. i guess mccauley missing those free throws wouldn't have given BC two more points. but the margin would have been right.

3/5/2009 2:59:01 PM

Quote :

"Sat Mar 7 (31) Miami FL L, 72-64 62 19% Away"

MONEY

[Edited on March 7, 2009 at 2:09 PM. Reason : IT'S A CONSPIRACY]

3/7/2009 2:08:34 PM

I'm freakin out, man

3/7/2009 2:28:41 PM

you are freakin out, man

3/7/2009 2:53:12 PM

lol.

gg kenpom.

3/7/2009 2:56:03 PM

bump

12/14/2009 11:35:59 AM

Quote :

"(44) North Carolina W, 72-71"

lulz

12/14/2009 12:19:15 PM

so his predictions are back up again. it's obviously a little rough just yet (ie ^), but here's how the ACC rankings are breaking down at the end of the year according pomeroy's model:

1. Duke (14-2)
2. Clemson (10-6)
3. Miami (9-7)
4. Georgia Tech (9-7)
5. Florida St. (9-7)
6. UNC (8-8)
7. Maryland (8-8)
8. Wake Forest (8-8)
9. NC State (6-10)
10. Virginia Tech (6-10)
11. Boston College (5-11)
12. Virginia (4-12)

Obviously there are a few games between now and the majority of the acc games that could drastically alter the landscape of the ratings within the conference, the most obvious of which is UNC's game vs. Texas (who is currently ranked #1 on kenpom). I also don't see Miami staying where it is in the ranking, what with them already having lost to BC and not really beating many teams of worth yet.

And for posterity's sake, here is its current prediction for the remainder of NCSU's season:

(pomeroy rank) Team - Prediction, Score, Confidence

(320) Elon - W, 74-49 99% Home
(48) Wake Forest - L, 70-63 23% Away
(110) Arizona - L, 65-64 50% Away
(286) Winthrop - W, 71-51 98% Home
(218) NC Greensboro - W, 70-62 80% Away
(33) Florida - L, 64-63 46% Home
(255) Holy Cross - W, 75-56 96% Home
(104) Virginia - W, 67-61 76% Home
(28) Florida St. - L, 62-54 17% Away
(16) Clemson - L, 68-64 31% Home
(3) Duke - L, 73-62 65 13% Home
(45) Maryland - L, 71-64 23% Away
(44) North Carolina - W, 72-71 52% Home
(323) North Carolina Central - W, 82-54 99% Home
(104) Virginia - L, 64-63 46% Away
(26) Georgia Tech - L, 72-62 16% Away
(88) Virginia Tech - W, 63-58 72% Home
(44) North Carolina - L, 75-67 23% Away
(45) Maryland - W, 68-67 52% Home
(48) Wake Forest - W, 67-66 52% Home
(25) Miami FL - L, 66-57 15% Away
(88) Virginia Tech - L, 62-60 41% Away
(91) Boston College - W, 68-63 72% Home
Projected record: 19-12 Conf.: 6-10

NOTE: our rating actually dropped about 20 places after our win over Georgia Southern. That was a real strength of schedule killer.

[Edited on December 14, 2009 at 7:49 PM. Reason : .]

[Edited on December 14, 2009 at 7:49 PM. Reason : .]

12/14/2009 7:42:56 PM

well, we are going to beat carolina apparently

12/15/2009 3:04:47 PM