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 Message Boards » » *The Guru's Official 2009 Fantasy Football Advice* Page 1 [2] 3 4 5 6 ... 58, Prev Next  
Ribs
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^^^ LT needs 6500 yards to break the rushing record. He's gonna get there and I feel like he has a couple of 1500-1600 yard rushing seasons left. The man ain't over the hill yet.

I am also curious to see this RB list

[Edited on July 28, 2009 at 6:27 PM. Reason : ^]

7/28/2009 6:26:47 PM

TreeTwista10
Forgetful Jones
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Quote :
" As for MJD, last I heard he was undersized and usually finishes around #10 in points in position"


You might want to factor in the fact that this will be MJD's first season where he's not sharing carries with Fred Taylor, ie he gets more touches

7/28/2009 6:46:12 PM

Shivan Bird
Football time
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Quote :
" too am curious what your top 10 RB list looks like. i.e. the 10 RB's names"


Oh sure, they're Adrian Peterson, M- HEY! I'm going to be drafting against you!

The beauty of the game is I can predict how I want to.

7/28/2009 9:38:17 PM

SuperDude
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The reason I think S Jax will still be around will be because of the idiot guys in front of me. The first 11 I expect to get drafted:

AP, Burner Turner, MJD, Forte, Fitzgerald, Chris Johnson, Deangelo Williams, Fitzgerald, Brady, LT, Brees.

I like S Jax but I don't trust his health and the Rams don't seem to have a good enough passing attack to keep defenses honest. Gore is in the same boat...healthier, but teams will stack the run and dare SF to beat them through the air. Houston is much better balanced offensively. Schaub is a decent quarterback when healthy, Walter is a capable 2nd receiver...I know it seems like I've already made up my mind, but there might be something about Gore or S Jax that I haven't discovered yet that would make my decision a stupid one.

7/28/2009 10:12:20 PM

ndmetcal
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^who is the second fitzgerald again?

7/29/2009 1:18:55 AM

slackerb
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What do you guys think about Ronnie Brown and Pierre Thomas. It seems they are ranked higher than I would have thought.

Brown got most of his production TD-wise from one game, and he might get more of a full workload this year, but that list has him as the 26th pick? 12th RB after Barber and Portis?

Pierre Thomas is one RB ranking below at the 30th pick. Why? Bush, the other RBs for the Saints, and that passing offense makes me scratch my head.


I have a 12 man keeper league with 5 keepers. My keepers:
QB: Brady
WR:Moss, Colston
RB: My best RBs are Thomas and Brown( hence why I wonder should I keep them. I get #35 and #45 pick respectively if I don't keep one or both)

I was originally thinking drop the RBs and draft two more...

7/29/2009 10:21:39 AM

Slave Famous
Become Wrath
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Not only is Shivian Bird dumb, he is fat as well

7/29/2009 10:35:02 AM

tpw122983
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Its a 12 man PPR league, can play combination of 2RB/2WR;3RB/1WR; or 1RB/3WR.

I took Forte #1 overall over AP because of the PPR, also think he have a better year w/ Cutler stretching the defense. Bush and Westbrook, assuming good health, should shine in a PPR league.

Have B. Marshall and V Jackson to pick from fro receiver, both over 1000yds/6td last year.

Thoughts??


Flacco, Joe BAL QB
Romo, Tony DAL QB

Bush, Reggie NOS RB
Forte, Matt CHI RB
Hightower, Tim ARI
Washington, Leon NYJ RB
Westbrook, Brian PHI RB

Hixon, Domenik NYG WR
Jackson, Vincent SDC WR
Marshall, Brandon DEN WR
Moore, Lance NOS WR

Olsen, Greg CHI TE
Shiancoe, Visanthe MIN TE

Brown, Kris HOU PK

Panthers, Carolina CAR Def
Vikings, Minnesota MIN Def

7/29/2009 2:09:24 PM

Panthro
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ok draft, you definitely got some of the usual suspects in the RB department when it comes to PPR (Forte, Westy & Bush). It would have been nice to see you take a gamble or two on another WR instead of 2 defenses and 2 TE's.

WR's are a little flat, but other than that, it's a pretty decent team. Much of your team's success will hinge on how healthy Westbrook will be.

7/29/2009 2:26:31 PM

slackerb
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Any help for me about Brown and Thomas?

7/29/2009 4:19:59 PM

titans78
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^ Keep Brown drop Thomas?

7/29/2009 4:25:52 PM

wlb420
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^^^yep, wr's might be of concern...especially marshall, but if you can flex your roster like that to play more RB's, you should be OK.

I'm betting leon washington has a monster year...On the order of 2,500+ all purpose yards (including returns) and 15+ TDs...great later round value pick...especially in leagues that have ppr and/or return points.

^^thomas is going to get alot of goal line chances, I'd keep him based on the pick you'd give up....Brown's a toss up imo.

[Edited on July 29, 2009 at 4:34 PM. Reason : .]

7/29/2009 4:30:57 PM

LudaChris
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Thomas could be a surprise this year, he was strong the latter half of last year and the Saints offense gets in the redzone often and Pierre gets all the carries.

7/29/2009 8:45:43 PM

Panthro
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I'm mock drafting right now.

http://www.fantasyfootballcalculator.com/mockdrafts

7/31/2009 1:12:27 PM

slackerb
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Need trade advice for a 10 man keeper league.

I am planning on keeping Brady, Moss, Colston, Pierre Thomas and Ronnie Brown. I have Aaron Rodgers to trade.

Proposed trade: Michael Turner and the 162nd pick for Aaron Rodgers and the 95th pick.

I think I'll take it and keep Brady, Moss, Colston, Turner obviously and Ronnie Brown

Good trade?

8/3/2009 9:31:01 AM

ajgoff1286
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^ I would do that all day

8/3/2009 9:55:50 AM

DROD900
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yeah thats a pretty ridiculous trade, Turner is a top 3 pick in most formats, Rodgers isnt going until at least after the 5th round

8/3/2009 10:03:18 AM

slackerb
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Yeah, but it's keeper league....pretty different.

He's got AP, Forte, and Turner, and can only keep 2. He's going to lose Turner, and he has no QB.
Rodgers is a top 5 QB, and the only one being traded right now....

I think it's a steal for me too, but Rodgers is young and GB has a young WR corp, so they'll be good for passing #'s for years.

Turner is 27 and had 376 carries last year....I just hope he doesn't drop his numbers because of the insane workload.

Plus the 10th pick is really the 5th pick in our draft, since the first 5 slots are keepers. So I traded a 5th pick for a 12th pick really.

8/3/2009 10:23:13 AM

SmoothTalker
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^ While it's true that Rodgers may be good for years and Turner won't last as long, a backup QB isn't going to get you any points and I doubt you would be able to find a better deal. You might be able to get him to remove the picks from the equation tho, since he will have to trade Turner.

8/3/2009 2:05:26 PM

Panthro
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The Bears are vowing to have Forte out on most 3rd downs this year to get Kevin Jones in the mix.

I don't like it from a team standpoint and I hate it from a Fantasy Perspective.

That's the tiebreaker for me when it comes to that MJD or Forte pick.

8/4/2009 9:07:32 AM

wlb420
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Speaking of the bears, I wonder how Hester/Olsen will fare with Culter throwing the ball now?

8/4/2009 9:12:27 AM

Panthro
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8/4/2009 9:27:21 AM

Jaybee1200
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Harry Douglas out for the year, torn ACL

8/5/2009 10:27:24 PM

daddywill88
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Just finished my first fantasy draft. We're a small league, 6 guys, and start 2 QBs, 3 RBs, 3 WRs, 2 TEs, 2 Def, and 2 K.

QB
Rivers
Cutler

RB
MJD
Steven Jackson
Frank Gore

WR
Andre Johnson
Calvin Johnson
Roddy White

TE
Tony Gonzalez
Chris Cooley

Def
Chicago
Tampa Bay

K
Gostkowski (sp?)
Elam

Bench
Clinton Portis RB
Dwayne Bowe WR
Hasselback QB
Owen Daniels TE
Kyle Orton QB
Mason Crosby K

Thoughts? Lots available in FA any big sleepers I should take a look at?

8/6/2009 2:32:12 PM

Panthro
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I'll be honest, in a 6 man league, EVERY team is good, and there is ZERO chance that wouldn't have at least one player that goes nuts with a great season.

I've never played in a league that small, so my only advice is to keep tabs on the waiver wire and especially injuries.

There isn't enough depth to be concerned about "sleepers" before the season, there's simply too much talent out there to risk dropping someone before the season even starts.

The fact that you are starting 3 WR's and 3 RB's and still have Bowe and Portis on your bench speaks volumes. You are fine for now, unless you could trade up for Brees.

- The Guru


[Edited on August 6, 2009 at 3:11 PM. Reason : asdf]

8/6/2009 3:10:58 PM

Kodiak
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Quote :
"The Bears are vowing to have Forte out on most 3rd downs this year to get Kevin Jones in the mix."


Jones is a decent receiver, but this still seems idiotic. Why would you take away one of the best aspects of Forte's game?

8/6/2009 3:49:40 PM

Panthro
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same reason that the Redskins want to play Betts in 30% of the snaps this year. To preserve him for the long run.

In other news.....

According to Chicagobears.com, Matt Forte has been held out of inside runs drills in training camp.

Fear not drafters, Forte insists he is 100 percent healthy. He suffered a minor injury in OTAs and the Bears didn't want to subject him to the punishing inside drills. He's fine. There is still plenty of time for him to get work in.

========================================================================

ESPN.com reports that the Jaguars are working out starting runningback Maurice Jones-Drew at wide receiver during training camp.


The Jags want to minimize the beating Jones-Drew will take this season and get him out into space more. He's one of the more talented pass-catching backs in the league and the Jags want to get the ball in his hands as many times and as many ways as possible.

========================================================================

The Associated Press reports that the Broncos are grooming second year receiver Eddie Royal to be their "offensive centerpiece" this season. The Broncos plan on moving him all over the field.

Last season Royal set team rookie records with 91 catches, 980 yards and five scores. It's scary to think that he could build on those numbers this season. Second to Brandon Marshall last season, it looks like Royal will be top dog in 2009.

__________________________________________________________________________________

I love all of those picks this year and they are all impact players.

- The Guru

8/6/2009 3:59:20 PM

pilgrimshoes
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Quote :
"Second to Brandon Marshall last season, it looks like Royal will be top dog in 2009."


orlly

8/6/2009 4:30:42 PM

slackerb
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RE: 6 man league

Drop your bench K and TE immediately and pick up the best available RBs or WRs...target some upside players. Go look at draft lists and pick up the best RBs and WRs left from that list.

8/6/2009 5:01:32 PM

KeB
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aight

2nd pick today

it's either forte or Turner

I like forte b/c Cutler is going to open up the run big time for him

but with Harry Douglas out in Atl,(i know they still have roddy white) will they be more running more this year?

8/9/2009 2:48:43 PM

tpw122983
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Quote :
"Just finished my first fantasy draft. We're a small league, 6 guys, and start 2 QBs, 3 RBs, 3 WRs, 2 TEs, 2 Def, and 2 K.

QB
Rivers
Cutler

RB
MJD
Steven Jackson
Frank Gore

WR
Andre Johnson
Calvin Johnson
Roddy White

TE
Tony Gonzalez
Chris Cooley

Def
Chicago
Tampa Bay

K
Gostkowski (sp?)
Elam

Bench
Clinton Portis RB
Dwayne Bowe WR
Hasselback QB
Owen Daniels TE
Kyle Orton QB
Mason Crosby K

Thoughts? Lots available in FA any big sleepers I should take a look at?
"



There is absolutely no reason you should have 3 kickers or 4 QBs...

8/10/2009 11:20:22 AM

TreeTwista10
Forgetful Jones
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Yeah I'd drop Orton and one of the kickers...I'd probably hang on to Owen Daniels as a 3rd TE though, he is quality

8/10/2009 11:38:39 AM

SmoothTalker
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Just had the draft last night... 12 man keeper league, I kept Portis and Jackson. Otherwise how'd I do?

QB Donovan McNabb, Phi QB
RB Clinton Portis, Was RB
RB Steven Jackson, StL RB
RB/WR LenDale White, Ten RB
WR Roddy White, Atl WR
WR Wes Welker, NE WR
TE Kevin Boss, NYG TE
D/ST Texans D/ST, Hou D/ST
K John Kasay, Car K
Bench Darren Sproles, SD RB
Bench Torry Holt, Jac WR
Bench LeSean McCoy, Phi RB
Bench Carson Palmer, Cin QB
Bench Jerious Norwood, Atl RB
Bench Earl Bennett, Chi WR
Bench Correll Buckhalter, Den RB

8/10/2009 11:45:38 AM

Maverick1024
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Just got the first pick in my fantasy draft. There are three players under consideration. Here's my thoughts -- advice is definitely welcomed.

Peterson: Seems like the obvious choice. He's consistent and capable of monster games. The problem I see with him is that his QB situation is so horrendous, teams are going to load up on him. Since I'm in a PPR league, Peterson doesn't bring much to the table (though I hear he's been working on his routes). His backup, Chester Taylor, is no slouch either, and is gonna take some carries away.

Turner: He got the ball more than any other back last year (over 23 carries a game), so he's one of the few workhouse backs still left. He's consistent as hell, and awesome around the goal line. Matt Ryan/Roddy White/Tony Gonzalez are going to take a lot of pressure off him I'm assuming. Problem here is that he brings almost ZERO receptions to the table (6 catches last year). Plus I'm a Panthers fan, so I'll be torn during those two games this year.

Forte: I view him as the most consistent back there is. With Cutler coming on board, teams will be forced to honor the pass much more than last year, so his YPC should go up -- plus an efficient offense=more scoring opportunities. I was all set on picking him first until I read Panthro's tidbit on the Bears planning to use Kevin Jones exclusively on 3rd down. That sucks, considering Forte had over 70 catches last year (I'm assuming a lot came on 3rd down).

Decisions...

8/14/2009 4:48:39 PM

DROD900
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umm, I would take MJD over Turner and Forte. But eitherway, I still think you should take AP with the first pick

8/14/2009 6:01:12 PM

Jaybee1200
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Andre brown done for the year. Acl

8/14/2009 8:35:03 PM

Maverick1024
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^^Dammit, you're probably right. I think I'm overthinking this

8/14/2009 10:14:24 PM

Jaybee1200
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Havent seen Culpepper look this mobile in YEARS

8/15/2009 4:21:52 PM

Jaybee1200
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Stafford has impressed me, I have always felt he was overrated but hes looking good.


Keary Colbert is a worthless piece of shit

8/15/2009 5:21:46 PM

rjlangle
Starting Lineup
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Heres my crappy team. 14 teams, dude wanted to do actual defenses...
QB Rivers/D Garrard
WR: L Fitzgerald/ Steve Smith/Anthony Gonzalez
RB: J Stewart/Jamal Lewis/ Fred Jackson
TE: Anthony Fasano
K: Gostkowski/Lindell

Heres where it starts to go downhill
DL:Jason Taylor/ Demario Pressley/Trey Lewis/Leger Douzable
LB: Greg Ellis/Beason/Joey Porter/James Harrison
S: Ed Reed/ Tank Williams
CB:Ellis Hobbs/Stoney Woodson

8/15/2009 5:40:18 PM

Budiss
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10 man league, No PPR, 10th pick overall, Dynasty keeper league(so 1 vet draft) and I am first overall for rookie pick.
1 QB, 1 RB, RB/WR, 2 WR, 1 TE, K, D

Here is my team:

1. Brady, Tom NEP QB 8
2. Barber, Marion DAL RB 6
3. Bush, Reggie NOS RB 5
4. Johnson, Larry KCC RB 8
5. Breaston, Steve ARI WR 4
6. Bryant, Antonio TBB WR 8
7. Johnson, Andre HOU WR 10
8. Williams, Roy DAL WR 6
9. Shockey, Jeremy NOS TE 5
10. Ravens, Baltimore BAL Def 7

We still have 15 more rounds and a Rookie draft.

a) How does the team look? Shit?
b) who should I take as first pick in rookie draft? I am thinking Moreno/D. Brown/Wells.

[Edited on August 17, 2009 at 1:06 PM. Reason : .]

8/17/2009 1:03:09 PM

thegoodlife3
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should I move our draft back a week to next wednesday?

8/17/2009 1:09:09 PM

DROD900
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^^I would probably take either Mark Sanchez, Percy Harvin, LeSean McCoy or Donald Brown


your team doesnt look half bad so far though

^which draft is that? viva la bagel??

[Edited on August 17, 2009 at 4:01 PM. Reason : adsf]

8/17/2009 4:00:47 PM

thegoodlife3
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nah

has that league been started yet???

8/17/2009 4:30:25 PM

Ernie
All American
45943 Posts
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shiiiiiiiiiiiiittt

8/17/2009 5:07:52 PM

DROD900
All American
24645 Posts
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no it hasnt, well if it has, I havent been invited.....

8/17/2009 6:03:39 PM

slackerb
All American
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My league is thinking about switching to PPR? Pros? Cons? Which do you guys prefer?

Also, should I keep Pierre Thomas, Ronnie Brown, or drop both and have the 55th pick in my 10 man keeper league?

8/18/2009 11:28:14 AM

Panthro
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^ PPR is fantastic. We play 0.5 pts per reception just to balance things out. In years where I have played 1pt per, it severely throws the rankings out of whack. In my opinion, 6 dump off catches for 2 yard gains shouldnt be worth as much as a TD, but that's just my opinion. All in all, you will love PPR, just make sure to keep this in consideration when having your draft.

As for your question about Pierre and Brown, I would keep both. Here's the ADP (Average Draft Position) in a 10 man league for the 5th round (your 55th pick would be right in the middle)

50 5.10 DeSean Jackson WR PHI
51 5.10 Derrick Ward RB TB
52 5.10 Tony Gonzalez TE ATL
53 6.02 Larry Johnson RB KC
54 6.03 Knowshon Moreno RB DEN
55 6.05 Dallas Clark TE IND
56 6.05 Eddie Royal WR DEN
57 6.06 Joseph Addai RB IND
58 6.07 Tony Romo QB DAL
59 6.08 Thomas Jones RB NYJ
60 6.08 Santonio Holmes WR PIT


Both Ronnie Brown and Thomas' ADP is right at 3.1, so there's no way in hell you should consider this.

Hope it helped.

- The Guru

8/18/2009 11:53:43 AM

Slave Famous
Become Wrath
34079 Posts
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Dr. Panthro, please rank Favre and ballpark his stats for this year

8/18/2009 11:55:08 AM

Panthro
All American
7333 Posts
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It's my opinion that if Favre plays, he will have about 3-4 very good games, with the remaining being average at best. Think Big Ben from the Steelers last year.

Favre's O-Line is better, but he's not as nimble as Ben, nor are his receivers as good.

Minnesota is a run first team. If they have expectations of changing that by Favre coming to town, he will have a disaster of a year. I imagine him throwing for ~3000 yds if he plays and having about 20 TD's to 15 picks. You can count on at least 5-10 fumbles as well.

All in all, he would go as high as the 12th-15th QB taken (around Cassel, Orton and Hasselbeck) with a little sleeper potential, but there's no reason to believe that he isn't going to crumble in the latter stages of the season just like he did last year with the Jets.

Draft at your own risk!

- The Guru

8/18/2009 12:07:05 PM

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