there we go, that should encompass all of it

[Edited on January 7, 2013 at 9:30 PM. Reason : laff]

1/7/2013 9:26:42 PM

also this

1/7/2013 9:28:30 PM

martin? where did you go?

1/7/2013 10:21:26 PM

^^ they have 9-4 kentucky as 9th in this ranking system? is that serious?

1/7/2013 10:21:27 PM

Quote :

"face All American 5463 Posts user info edit post hows that notre dame dick look in treetwista's mouth anyway? "

but...but...but kenpom!

1/7/2013 10:47:40 PM

spreadsheets, junior. spreadsheets.

1/7/2013 11:55:20 PM

Safe to say I was wrong on this one. It's funny how when I'm wrong it garners so much attention , but when I'm consistently right its no big deal.

Don't recall anyone else here taking the seahawks at 50:1 to win the super bowl

1/8/2013 9:39:41 AM

A broken clock is right twice a day and all that

1/8/2013 9:52:39 AM

You've been consistently wrong about college football all season

1/8/2013 10:25:51 AM

Quote :

"A broken clock is right twice a day and all that"

1/8/2013 11:22:04 AM

Just from a very quick browsing, i found this nugget of knowledge before the GT game, I'm sure we can find plenty more.

Quote :

"We're a bubble team trapped in a good team's record. Been telling you guys this for weeks now. Wake up. If we blow this game we're likely to start the ACC at 1-3 and just hoping to finish above .500 "

1/16/2013 5:20:57 PM

Quote :

"Don't recall anyone else here taking the seahawks at 50:1 to win the super bowl"

money well spent

1/16/2013 5:23:00 PM

thanks, made a few hundred off it. yourself?

1/16/2013 7:20:01 PM

Quote :

"From now on Face has his own thread to talk about sports in. If you want to give a reply with actual thought in it i might respond. If not, I won't. This screens out the trolling I get since I am one of the few thoughtful posters on tww."

Face Shrugged.

1/16/2013 7:28:41 PM

I took the Panthers at 100:1 to win the Super Bowl 2 years ago

I didn't win the bet, but I won a few hundred off of it

1/16/2013 7:30:12 PM

exactly, i dont expect to hit 50:1 bets, as long as i make money off of them thats the point. if i hit them great, but im doing this to make money.

1/16/2013 7:34:18 PM

so face, the defensive efficiency stat that kenpom uses, is it basically points allowed per 100 possessions or something like that?

in which case, even though maryland is missing point blank layups, it supposedly makes our defensive efficiency seem better?

1/16/2013 7:45:25 PM

yes because over the course of the season everyone will have opponents miss bunnies and make lucky shots. That all evens out over the course of a season.

Also, if a poor offensive team shoots poorly against you, you won't be credited with as good of a defense as if you stopped a good offensive team like Michigan or Duke.

1/16/2013 7:51:37 PM

if Grambling shoots 17/60 against you or Indiana shoots 17/60 against you, how does that impact defensive efficiency any differently?

1/16/2013 7:54:35 PM

Because it's not raw data. It is adjusted for strength of opponent.

Holding a good offensive team to a bad shooting night will reward you much more than holding a poor offensive team to a bad shooting night.

That is one of the reasons our defensive rating is so low. We were giving up tons of points to really weak teams the past several weeks.

1/16/2013 7:57:00 PM

so if Miami Ohio sucks at offense, but we give them a couple uncontested buckets when Staats Battle and Jevoni Robinson are in the game, that hurts our AdjD?

or does it factor in to blowout win garbage time, kind of like how 4th down conversion rate in the NFL factors in end-game kneel downs

[Edited on January 16, 2013 at 7:59 PM. Reason : .]

1/16/2013 7:58:15 PM

I know football outsiders controls for blowout statistics so they don't count. I can't recall off the top of my head how kenpom controls for that sort of thing, but it wouldn't surprise me if it did. I'm sure you could ask him, I don't feel like digging though his entire archive right now to see if he addresses it.

1/16/2013 8:02:18 PM

^^ But Jevoni Robinson is our best defensive player so clearly teams do not score when he is in the game.

1/17/2013 4:57:02 PM

I bet if I stated one of these, It'd get locked.

[Edited on January 17, 2013 at 7:19 PM. Reason : /]

1/17/2013 7:18:10 PM

likely true, considering there aren't supposed to be any threads directed at users

(even if they're deserved and/or funny)

but i guess you can't be punished for trolling yourself?

[Edited on January 17, 2013 at 7:23 PM. Reason : ]

1/17/2013 7:23:04 PM

where's our tt10 sports talk thread?

1/17/2013 7:29:56 PM

message_topic.aspx?topic=393273

[Edited on January 17, 2013 at 7:41 PM. Reason : which i assume was about message_topic.aspx?topic=393103]

1/17/2013 7:35:55 PM

^^ no need for one. we love tt10. even if he was wrong about RGIII staying in the seahawks game

1/17/2013 7:41:30 PM

bump for the trolling

2/2/2013 6:56:24 PM

"We don't need dialogue, we have face"

2/3/2013 5:35:40 PM

face recruits new posters. +1 credibility

2/3/2013 5:37:27 PM

2/7/2013 11:39:14 PM

http://packinsider.com/2013/02/inside-the-numbers-nc-states-offensive-rating-slipping/

2/12/2013 11:27:41 AM

face was right. we suck

2/23/2013 6:05:04 PM

http://www.slate.com/articles/sports/sports_nut/2013/03/bracketology_march_madness_2013_the_totally_pointless_debate_over_where.html

3/14/2013 9:55:57 PM

Has Paul George made the leap to greatness yet? He's obviously a better player right now than Lebron and Durant.

11/10/2013 11:10:18 PM

Dom Amore ?@AmoreCourant 25 Nov
Sitting out hasnt been as bad as Rodney purvis expected "these guys make me feel like I'm part of the team even tho I can't play" #uconnmen

rallydurham ?@rallydurham 25 Nov
@AmoreCourant @rpurvis5 You are right about one thing that dude certainly cant play. > 50% FT SHOOTING GUARD

12/22/2013 2:30:01 PM

Thought that was a pretty good one. I hate purvis

12/22/2013 3:35:56 PM

well done face

12/22/2013 4:32:04 PM

lmao epic

12/22/2013 9:01:21 PM

Quote :

"> 50% FT"

12/22/2013 10:42:09 PM

Quote :

"where's our tt10 sports talk thread?"

You can argue with him here.

http://www.brentroad.com/message_topic.aspx?topic=496725

12/23/2013 7:52:05 AM

We've seen enough to know what we are (mediocre) and what we aren't (good).

Contrary to popular belief most teams don't improve or regress a great deal in comparison to other teams during the season.

Nearly every team will get a little bit better as the season progresses so the relative improvement is smaller.

Yes injuries/suspensions can make teams significantly weaker but that's not what we're talking about here.

We are a little better than our early results suggest thanks to Vandy's return from injury and Gott finally figuring out to bench Lewis. But unless Lee becomes a good player out of nowhere we don't figure to get much better.

Let's face it, TJ can't possibly play any better. Cat can't play any better (if anything id expect him to get worse in conference play). Turner is pretty much who he is at this point in his 4th year. Lee is like 29 years old already, if he had any game we would have seen it by now. Anya can obviously improve a great deal but he's not getting major minutes anyway. Freeman isn't skilled enough to contribute more than he is already. Washington can't play at all so we could improve by benching him completely I guess. I guess Lewis has potential room for improvement in his spot duty, but if he gets increased minutes that take away from Cat that will negate the improvement.

There just aren't many more tricks we can pull. We're already playing a fairly optimal roster. We have pretty bad results and schedule strength so far.

The one thing that is good is that our ACC schedule is frontloaded. Meaning we're going to lose a ton of games early on and then we'll appear to "improve" by winning more on the backend. Our "last 10 games" metric will look more impressive than if the schedule was backloaded.

Still, I'd expect us to be out of the NCAA tourney hunt altogether after our loss to Duke on January 18th. That will drop us to 1-4 in the ACC and from there it's all about righting the ship for an NIT push.

12/26/2013 5:38:16 PM

Looks like someone got a new keyboard for christmas

12/26/2013 5:50:50 PM

more like im hopped up on ephedrine because im fucking sick and i havent used in a month because i was blacklisted for awhile from buying more. And i cant go drinking tonight because im sick and on too much meds so im bored and i paid someone to do my laundry so i really dont have anything productive to do.

[Edited on December 26, 2013 at 6:57 PM. Reason : a]

12/26/2013 6:56:50 PM

Spot on post face. You were one of the few who didn't drink the koolaid after we beat Duke in Jan last year. Your post should in general sum up how this season goes. NIT is where we will end up in all probability.

Good point about relative improvement. Sometimes fans hope for a large delta in performance while not taking into account injuries, other teams and conference strength...

12/26/2013 7:16:20 PM

Hi guys - i'm looking for free money - is this the right place?

12/28/2013 9:33:00 AM

Quote :

"The one thing that is good is that our ACC schedule is frontloaded. Meaning we're going to lose a ton of games early on and then we'll appear to "improve" by winning more on the backend. Our "last 10 games" metric will look more impressive than if the schedule was backloaded."

strong point.

I disagree that we'll be 1-4 going into the Duke game, though.

12/28/2013 7:14:53 PM

At ND minus Grant?

Though Joyce Center is not easy to win at.

12/28/2013 7:24:07 PM

Damn, tough loss face. Your thoughts?

12/28/2013 10:20:59 PM