UJustWait84 All American 25816 Posts user info edit post |
Oh, people will still be upset no matter what. I promise. ![](images/smile.gif) 7/26/2024 12:49:36 PM
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moron All American 33997 Posts user info edit post |
For being less than 5 days into her campaign, she’s within 2 points in the polls
If she can keep up this momentum she should be ahead by next week
I can see if she announces her VP next week any of the current expected choices should give her a boost
Fingers crossed… 7/26/2024 10:14:43 PM
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moron All American 33997 Posts user info edit post |
https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/6cac2af2a5a642b7a7fbe37bd1705776/
Trump up by 1pt still 7/30/2024 12:00:42 AM
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moron All American 33997 Posts user info edit post |
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model
Nate has them at .4 pts difference, with flat trends
Will be interesting to see what happens after Harris announces her veep next week, then the convention bounce a few weeks later
Swing states are actually swing-y again. Arizona seems to hate Harris but it’s not needed if she carries the other states. 7/30/2024 6:57:40 PM
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qntmfred retired 40543 Posts user info edit post |
i've seen a few people suggest that while the Dems are partying like the election's already in the bag and expecting Kamala's administration to bring about the next great American century, the GOP which 2 weeks ago was ready to coast into office in a landslide victory against Sleepy Joe and his corrupt puppet masters in Congress, is now fully awake and recommitted to taking power by any means necessary, and are now preparing for election day when in the late evening they will claim victory and the moment any of the Dems or the media say "well wait just a minute we haven't counted yet" they're going to launch attacks all over the country, fully convinced and justified in their own minds that they aren't going to let the deep state steal this election from them again and if a coordinated militia assault on all the radical leftists, illegals and evil Democrats is what it takes to Make America Great Again, then so be it.
[Edited on July 30, 2024 at 10:56 PM. Reason : or at least it's the premise for the new book I'm writing.] 7/30/2024 10:55:12 PM
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The Coz Tempus Fugitive 25385 Posts user info edit post |
If you've seen a few people suggest it and if it's also the premise for your new book, then it sounds like you are stealing the idea. 7/31/2024 6:23:44 AM
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qntmfred retired 40543 Posts user info edit post |
ARE YOU CALLING ME A THIEF 7/31/2024 7:06:29 AM
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The Coz Tempus Fugitive 25385 Posts user info edit post |
I'm just saying, to me it sounds a little Mark Robinsonesque to me. 7/31/2024 7:36:16 AM
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qntmfred retired 40543 Posts user info edit post |
7/31/2024 7:40:26 AM
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moron All American 33997 Posts user info edit post |
🚨🚨Kamala takes a tiny lead over trump in latest polling aggregate 🚨🚨
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model 7/31/2024 1:03:36 PM
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JT3bucky All American 23201 Posts user info edit post |
![](https://media1.s-nbcnews.com/i/MSNBC/Components/Video/201610/2016-10-10T16-02-49-933Z--1280x720.jpg)
7/31/2024 2:31:53 PM
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thegoodlife3 All American 39123 Posts user info edit post |
cool, man
how about the blatant racism from him just now on stage at the NABJ conference? have a screen grab of that? 7/31/2024 3:13:52 PM
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moron All American 33997 Posts user info edit post |
^ that was far worse than I would have imagined. Wtf… 7/31/2024 3:48:57 PM
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rwoody Save TWW 37416 Posts user info edit post |
Moron as someone who HS driven myself crazy constantly checking polls, don't drive yourself crazy constantly checking polls! 7/31/2024 3:59:39 PM
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qntmfred retired 40543 Posts user info edit post |
yeah no need to constantly check the polls just turn on notifications for @politics_polls 7/31/2024 4:06:11 PM
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moron All American 33997 Posts user info edit post |
https://www.threads.net/@meidastouch/post/C-GZF7-vUob/?xmt=AQGzyiweaq93rI-ZcEhS4DHfUjjFfeOWJtq6TWX7xtfaPQ
When he’s not in front of an audience who indulges his BS he looks like a complete joke
Reminds me of the many times other world leaders would laugh at him 7/31/2024 4:13:17 PM
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qntmfred retired 40543 Posts user info edit post |
not sure if y'all are into this kind of video, but I find it pretty fascinating
[Edited on July 31, 2024 at 4:19 PM. Reason : Yang shoutout at 29:13 ] 7/31/2024 4:18:07 PM
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emnsk All American 2646 Posts user info edit post |
I used to watch these types of videos a ton for a bit, but I quickly realized how a lot of commentary channels just spin a narrative by googling a bunch. Since then, I am far more selective. But on your recommendation, I will add this to my watch list.
Also, let's talk about the Senate race in Montana.
[Edited on August 1, 2024 at 7:07 AM. Reason : 1] 8/1/2024 7:06:50 AM
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JT3bucky All American 23201 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "how about the blatant racism from him just now on stage at the NABJ conference?" |
WTF, I put an old poll up. Stay on topic.
Classic deflection/sleight of hand though; I see what you did there ![](images/beatup.gif) 8/1/2024 1:03:23 PM
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thegoodlife3 All American 39123 Posts user info edit post |
you posted an undated poll from 2016 in a thread about the 2024 election 8/1/2024 1:08:12 PM
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JT3bucky All American 23201 Posts user info edit post |
moron is the poll czar over here, I'm just telling them to pump the brakes on polls, especially this election cycle.
kthx
[Edited on August 1, 2024 at 1:23 PM. Reason : e] 8/1/2024 1:23:26 PM
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qntmfred retired 40543 Posts user info edit post |
Anybody going?
https://www.mobilize.us/ncvictory2024/event/656741/
![](https://mobilizeamerica.imgix.net/uploads/event/Heading%20%286%29_20240731202535744343.png?auto=format&crop=faces&fit=crop&h=494.24083769633506&w=944) 8/2/2024 12:34:04 PM
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The Coz Tempus Fugitive 25385 Posts user info edit post |
I don't live nearby. 8/2/2024 6:07:49 PM
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qntmfred retired 40543 Posts user info edit post |
yeah well in May 2019 I drove from Raleigh to NYC and Charleston in the same week to support Andrew Yang's campaign so why do you hate America. 8/2/2024 6:39:55 PM
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The Coz Tempus Fugitive 25385 Posts user info edit post |
Oh, I don't hate America. I'm just cheap. I DID drive to Ohio to watch the total solar eclipse back in April. That doesn't happen very often, but Presidential elections happen every 4 years. 8/2/2024 7:39:58 PM
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qntmfred retired 40543 Posts user info edit post |
fair enough eclipses are very patriotic 8/2/2024 7:48:47 PM
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The Coz Tempus Fugitive 25385 Posts user info edit post |
The Great AMERICAN Eclipse!
Suck it, Mexico! 8/2/2024 7:58:00 PM
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qntmfred retired 40543 Posts user info edit post |
yeah suck it, Mexico! 8/2/2024 8:09:36 PM
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StTexan Suggestions??? 6647 Posts user info edit post |
Mexico paid for the American eclipse! 8/2/2024 10:10:41 PM
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The Coz Tempus Fugitive 25385 Posts user info edit post |
To be fair, they did have the point of maximum eclipse this round -- near Durango.
But who cares about being fair to Mexico, to be honest? They need to be saving up to pay for that big, beautiful WALL! 8/3/2024 11:22:58 AM
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moron All American 33997 Posts user info edit post |
Kamala’s lead still growing and she had a meaningful lead in the polling aggregated and electoral college counts— she’d likely win if the election were held today
And we still expect a VP pick bounce, a convention bounce, and trumps federal court case resuming, AND the expected sentencing for his NY fraud case
Kamala just has to not screw up 8/4/2024 9:21:32 PM
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rwoody Save TWW 37416 Posts user info edit post |
Likely? What percentage to you attach to that word? Feels like anything other than a toss up is very optimistic 8/4/2024 10:04:28 PM
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TreeTwista10 Forgetful Jones 148060 Posts user info edit post |
50.1% 8/4/2024 10:07:52 PM
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moron All American 33997 Posts user info edit post |
^ 8/4/2024 10:27:42 PM
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StTexan Suggestions??? 6647 Posts user info edit post |
It is likely you wouldn't have said likely, if you meant some pussy ass number like 50.1% 8/4/2024 10:33:48 PM
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moron All American 33997 Posts user info edit post |
>50% means likely
That’s how statistics works
I’m Data driven 8/4/2024 10:44:51 PM
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StTexan Suggestions??? 6647 Posts user info edit post |
Yeah and stating something like its 55/45 is disingenuous at best
[Edited on August 4, 2024 at 11:18 PM. Reason : Muh trump] 8/4/2024 11:17:32 PM
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rwoody Save TWW 37416 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | ">50% means likely
That’s how statistics works" |
Please provide source/literature for this definition 8/5/2024 7:14:19 AM
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GrumpyGOP yovo yovo bonsoir 18152 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "Kamala just has to not screw up" |
Untrue, sadly. The economy also has to not shit the bed. Stocks took a dip over the weekend; hopefully they stabilize. And on other matters, it's just as important that Biden not screw up. 8/5/2024 9:16:04 AM
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Bullet All American 28204 Posts user info edit post |
Who's the weirdest?
RFK Jr admits to dumping bear carcass in New York's Central Park https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c2j3353vvdvo 8/5/2024 10:30:30 AM
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The Coz Tempus Fugitive 25385 Posts user info edit post |
The man makes a strong case. . . 8/5/2024 10:46:21 AM
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emnsk All American 2646 Posts user info edit post |
^^
More amusing than weird
Also, as pointless as JD Vance is, kind of being overused for him. People are just putting up anything and everything and saying it, but that's what happens, people just gang up and then anything goes when there is a target. In this case, it's deserved... I guess 8/5/2024 11:29:44 AM
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marko Tom Joad 72811 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "Untrue, sadly. The economy also has to not shit the bed. Stocks took a dip over the weekend; hopefully they stabilize. And on other matters, it's just as important that Biden not screw up." |
And of course Bibi is trying to goad Iran into some madness. 8/5/2024 1:51:47 PM
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JT3bucky All American 23201 Posts user info edit post |
So they will or will not debate before November?
Where is Joe?
#ronpaulcalledit 8/5/2024 2:40:37 PM
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Pupils DiL8t All American 4949 Posts user info edit post |
With the Electoral College advantage that Republicans have, doesn't the Democratic candidate need more like 53% in order to decisively win the presidential election? 8/5/2024 2:54:55 PM
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emnsk All American 2646 Posts user info edit post |
An easier way to look at it is to just see what states they need to win lol
there are many ways the percentages could take place... but it doesn't really matter, that's a weird way to put it 8/5/2024 3:16:49 PM
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moron All American 33997 Posts user info edit post |
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris
RCP has trump behind for the first time this core election season. Notable because they still include Rasmussen 8/5/2024 6:13:28 PM
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moron All American 33997 Posts user info edit post |
CNN reporting walz as vp 8/6/2024 9:02:58 AM
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moron All American 33997 Posts user info edit post |
Funny trump went on a YouTuber known for sniffing the chairs of his guests, because Barron told him to
I guess the strategy is hiring your family to run your presidential administration isn’t working out…
and this is the “meritocracy” ticket 8/6/2024 10:24:32 PM
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TreeTwista10 Forgetful Jones 148060 Posts user info edit post |
the guy who interviewed him seems like an intelligent guy
https://x.com/JoshEakle/status/1820552574644404230 8/6/2024 11:00:52 PM
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