Oh, people will still be upset no matter what. I promise.

7/26/2024 12:49:36 PM

For being less than 5 days into her campaign, she’s within 2 points in the polls

If she can keep up this momentum she should be ahead by next week

I can see if she announces her VP next week any of the current expected choices should give her a boost

Fingers crossed…

7/26/2024 10:14:43 PM

https://experience.arcgis.com/experience/6cac2af2a5a642b7a7fbe37bd1705776/

Trump up by 1pt still

7/30/2024 12:00:42 AM

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

Nate has them at .4 pts difference, with flat trends

Will be interesting to see what happens after Harris announces her veep next week, then the convention bounce a few weeks later

Swing states are actually swing-y again. Arizona seems to hate Harris but it’s not needed if she carries the other states.

7/30/2024 6:57:40 PM

i've seen a few people suggest that while the Dems are partying like the election's already in the bag and expecting Kamala's administration to bring about the next great American century, the GOP which 2 weeks ago was ready to coast into office in a landslide victory against Sleepy Joe and his corrupt puppet masters in Congress, is now fully awake and recommitted to taking power by any means necessary, and are now preparing for election day when in the late evening they will claim victory and the moment any of the Dems or the media say "well wait just a minute we haven't counted yet" they're going to launch attacks all over the country, fully convinced and justified in their own minds that they aren't going to let the deep state steal this election from them again and if a coordinated militia assault on all the radical leftists, illegals and evil Democrats is what it takes to Make America Great Again, then so be it.

[Edited on July 30, 2024 at 10:56 PM. Reason : or at least it's the premise for the new book I'm writing.]

7/30/2024 10:55:12 PM

If you've seen a few people suggest it and if it's also the premise for your new book, then it sounds like you are stealing the idea.

7/31/2024 6:23:44 AM

7/31/2024 7:06:29 AM

I'm just saying, to me it sounds a little Mark Robinsonesque to me.

7/31/2024 7:36:16 AM

7/31/2024 7:40:26 AM

🚨�🚨�Kamala takes a tiny lead over trump in latest polling aggregate 🚨�🚨�

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

7/31/2024 1:03:36 PM

7/31/2024 2:31:53 PM

cool, man

how about the blatant racism from him just now on stage at the NABJ conference? have a screen grab of that?

7/31/2024 3:13:52 PM

^ that was far worse than I would have imagined. Wtf…

7/31/2024 3:48:57 PM

Moron as someone who HS driven myself crazy constantly checking polls, don't drive yourself crazy constantly checking polls!

7/31/2024 3:59:39 PM

yeah no need to constantly check the polls just turn on notifications for @politics_polls

7/31/2024 4:06:11 PM

https://www.threads.net/@meidastouch/post/C-GZF7-vUob/?xmt=AQGzyiweaq93rI-ZcEhS4DHfUjjFfeOWJtq6TWX7xtfaPQ

When he’s not in front of an audience who indulges his BS he looks like a complete joke

Reminds me of the many times other world leaders would laugh at him

7/31/2024 4:13:17 PM

not sure if y'all are into this kind of video, but I find it pretty fascinating



[Edited on July 31, 2024 at 4:19 PM. Reason : Yang shoutout at 29:13 ]

7/31/2024 4:18:07 PM

I used to watch these types of videos a ton for a bit, but I quickly realized how a lot of commentary channels just spin a narrative by googling a bunch. Since then, I am far more selective. But on your recommendation, I will add this to my watch list.

Also, let's talk about the Senate race in Montana.

[Edited on August 1, 2024 at 7:07 AM. Reason : 1]

8/1/2024 7:06:50 AM

Quote :

"how about the blatant racism from him just now on stage at the NABJ conference?"

WTF, I put an old poll up. Stay on topic.

Classic deflection/sleight of hand though; I see what you did there

8/1/2024 1:03:23 PM

you posted an undated poll from 2016 in a thread about the 2024 election

8/1/2024 1:08:12 PM

moron is the poll czar over here, I'm just telling them to pump the brakes on polls, especially this election cycle.

kthx

[Edited on August 1, 2024 at 1:23 PM. Reason : e]

8/1/2024 1:23:26 PM

Anybody going?

https://www.mobilize.us/ncvictory2024/event/656741/

8/2/2024 12:34:04 PM

I don't live nearby.

8/2/2024 6:07:49 PM

yeah well in May 2019 I drove from Raleigh to NYC and Charleston in the same week to support Andrew Yang's campaign so why do you hate America.

8/2/2024 6:39:55 PM

Oh, I don't hate America. I'm just cheap. I DID drive to Ohio to watch the total solar eclipse back in April. That doesn't happen very often, but Presidential elections happen every 4 years.

8/2/2024 7:39:58 PM

fair enough eclipses are very patriotic

8/2/2024 7:48:47 PM

The Great AMERICAN Eclipse!

Suck it, Mexico!

8/2/2024 7:58:00 PM

yeah suck it, Mexico!

8/2/2024 8:09:36 PM

Mexico paid for the American eclipse!

8/2/2024 10:10:41 PM

To be fair, they did have the point of maximum eclipse this round -- near Durango.

But who cares about being fair to Mexico, to be honest? They need to be saving up to pay for that big, beautiful WALL!

8/3/2024 11:22:58 AM

Kamala’s lead still growing and she had a meaningful lead in the polling aggregated and electoral college counts— she’d likely win if the election were held today

And we still expect a VP pick bounce, a convention bounce, and trumps federal court case resuming, AND the expected sentencing for his NY fraud case

Kamala just has to not screw up

8/4/2024 9:21:32 PM

Likely? What percentage to you attach to that word? Feels like anything other than a toss up is very optimistic

8/4/2024 10:04:28 PM

50.1%

8/4/2024 10:07:52 PM

^

8/4/2024 10:27:42 PM

It is likely you wouldn't have said likely, if you meant some pussy ass number like 50.1%

8/4/2024 10:33:48 PM

>50% means likely

That’s how statistics works

I’m Data driven

8/4/2024 10:44:51 PM

Yeah and stating something like its 55/45 is disingenuous at best

[Edited on August 4, 2024 at 11:18 PM. Reason : Muh trump]

8/4/2024 11:17:32 PM

Quote :

">50% means likely That’s how statistics works"

Please provide source/literature for this definition

8/5/2024 7:14:19 AM

Quote :

"Kamala just has to not screw up"

Untrue, sadly. The economy also has to not shit the bed. Stocks took a dip over the weekend; hopefully they stabilize. And on other matters, it's just as important that Biden not screw up.

8/5/2024 9:16:04 AM

Who's the weirdest?

RFK Jr admits to dumping bear carcass in New York's Central Park
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c2j3353vvdvo

8/5/2024 10:30:30 AM

The man makes a strong case. . .

8/5/2024 10:46:21 AM

^^

More amusing than weird

Also, as pointless as JD Vance is, kind of being overused for him. People are just putting up anything and everything and saying it, but that's what happens, people just gang up and then anything goes when there is a target. In this case, it's deserved... I guess

8/5/2024 11:29:44 AM

Quote :

"Untrue, sadly. The economy also has to not shit the bed. Stocks took a dip over the weekend; hopefully they stabilize. And on other matters, it's just as important that Biden not screw up."

And of course Bibi is trying to goad Iran into some madness.

8/5/2024 1:51:47 PM

So they will or will not debate before November?

Where is Joe?

#ronpaulcalledit

8/5/2024 2:40:37 PM

With the Electoral College advantage that Republicans have, doesn't the Democratic candidate need more like 53% in order to decisively win the presidential election?

8/5/2024 2:54:55 PM

An easier way to look at it is to just see what states they need to win lol

there are many ways the percentages could take place... but it doesn't really matter, that's a weird way to put it

8/5/2024 3:16:49 PM

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

RCP has trump behind for the first time this core election season. Notable because they still include Rasmussen

8/5/2024 6:13:28 PM

CNN reporting walz as vp

8/6/2024 9:02:58 AM

Funny trump went on a YouTuber known for sniffing the chairs of his guests, because Barron told him to

I guess the strategy is hiring your family to run your presidential administration isn’t working out…

and this is the “meritocracy” ticket

8/6/2024 10:24:32 PM

the guy who interviewed him seems like an intelligent guy

https://x.com/JoshEakle/status/1820552574644404230

8/6/2024 11:00:52 PM