^ yeah that's how it is. now they can charge 2 commisions when i sell MS & DFS


BIDU might be getting a bit overheated. I may monetize soon.

got out of BIDU for now



[Edited on July 3, 2007 at 10:20 AM. Reason : my Excitebike got overheat]

7/3/2007 10:11:07 AM

when the senior traders get back from the Hamptons next week, and some of the Asian traders start taking profits, this thing is going to dip again. its going to be bumpy all summer it seems. i'm taking some off the table when it runs up like it has the last few days.


also, i picked up some DIG yesterday and sold all my PKW. there may be a dip in gas prices post the week of July 4th driving -- maybe i should've waited for DIG until then.

my energy plays now include DIG, XLE, UCR, and USU.

i don't know when we'll get the next definitive pullback, but i'll be looking to get back into FXI and INP.

i also picked up some HHD, because no matter what happens therapeutically to all the aging baby boomers, people will have to get diagnosed before getting treatment.


[Edited on July 3, 2007 at 11:57 AM. Reason : others]

7/3/2007 11:38:06 AM

yeah, i'm going to sell a few hundred shares of CSCO sometime this week.

7/3/2007 11:40:50 AM

Apple could be getting 55% margins on the iPhone:

http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/070703/iphone_margins.html?.v=1

7/3/2007 1:45:28 PM

^ and AAPL got a nice bump out of it.

7/3/2007 1:53:06 PM

I am thinking about getting into some SINA.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aWmrOGWzhWNE&refer=home

7/3/2007 2:56:42 PM

both Sina and Baidu are Google acquisition targets down the road.

GNVC might be bottoming, but its like playing with fire.

you all have a good 4th

7/3/2007 3:00:49 PM

The market is closed tomorrow, right?

7/3/2007 4:08:44 PM

yes

7/3/2007 6:54:34 PM

good start today.

7/5/2007 9:57:52 AM

unloaded half of my UCR from a long time ago so i could get some EWT

7/5/2007 11:52:50 AM

So, what are peoples' opinions on homebuilders? The P/E on many of the homebuilder stocks is now under 10. The stocks are hitting 52w lows hard.... is all the bad news priced into these stocks now?

I think that Ryland (RYL), Toll Brothers (Tol), and KB Home (KBH) may have the edge on some of the others. I think that Beazer (BZH) and Centex (CTX) are more risky candidates.

However as a cautionary tale - Here is today's example of a bad call from early in 2007. This article is from a "real estate expert" on the Street.com in February states that homebuilder stocks would have "as much as a 50% pickup over the next six months" and the time to buy is "now". Of course since February, homebuilder stocks have sunk like the Titanic.

It's Time to Buy Homebuilder Stocks
http://www.thestreet.com/newsanalysis/investing/10340429.html

So any thoughts.... is it time to try to catch the falling knife?

7/5/2007 12:05:41 PM

^ i'm not smart enough to know bottoms (GNVC is an example of that). i tend to ride the momentum. when the tailwinds start coming back in, and when there is widespread interest in those stocks, i'll have a look -- but probably not even then.

I just speculatively bought SNCR. their interfacing technology runs on I-phones, and they seem like they're trying to be the technology for other devices too.

7/5/2007 12:58:53 PM

^^
any signs that interest rates are going to fall off? what other forces are at play?

http://www.fool.com/investing/value/2007/05/29/how-to-catch-a-falling-knife.aspx

sounds dangerous...but at least you know that industry is going to pick back up someday

7/5/2007 1:07:20 PM

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/070703/pending_home_sales.html?.v=9.

7/5/2007 1:24:50 PM

^? homebuilders

it cant hurt, if you average in now, and wait (weeks, months, years?)
i would guess it would eventually be worth it, but i doubt many people have the balls to ride it out

at least that is my opinion

[Edited on July 5, 2007 at 6:53 PM. Reason : .]

7/5/2007 6:53:26 PM

another +5 day for the aapl

7/5/2007 8:18:36 PM

also picked up CE

7/6/2007 9:56:19 AM

i just completely redirected my 401k

i came to the conclusion that my investment direction was wayyy too value fund oriented

i wish we had more funds to choose from


oh and on that note, what do you guys feel about sitting heavy with index funds in a 401k as opposed to purely mutuals?

(like, say 25% of total portfolio in index funds... with a primary holding of SPY [15% total])



BRINGING IT BACK TO THE BASICS

[Edited on July 6, 2007 at 10:29 AM. Reason : e]

7/6/2007 10:10:53 AM

My philosophy is go risky while young, and as you get older diversify your gains into more conservative investments.

The bulk of my 401k is in Fidelity International Discovery and Harbor International

Each year I rebalance such that I move my gains into Index and/or bond funds

When I turn 30, I'll probably cut my position in those funds by half, and put them in something like the S&P, etc.

7/6/2007 10:27:53 AM

I changed mine recently b/c I thought the aggressive life strategy fund was too damn conservative. I put 30% in a total stock market index fund with another 50% in large-cap funds, 10% in international, and 10% in small/mid cap. It's not the most exciting allocation in the world, but I keep the riskier stuff in my roth ira.

7/6/2007 10:30:31 AM

so....

20% mid cap growth
20% large cap growth
15% global large cap growth fund
15% sp500 index
15% international indexes (primarily EAFE)
10% large cap value fund
5% company sop


too conservative?

im concerned about not enough international exposure i think

7/6/2007 10:40:05 AM

"5% company sop"

Do you get a discount on this? My company offers stock through their 401K plan, but I just buy it straight through their espp.

7/6/2007 10:44:46 AM

unfortunately no

7/6/2007 10:46:29 AM

I think you're well diversified in the textbook sense.

Ultimately, the more you tweak it, the more obsessive you become over it, and the more you'll do to get in your own way.

For an example of this, refer to BobbyDigital

7/6/2007 10:50:03 AM

I'd say 30% is fine for international exposure.

7/6/2007 10:51:59 AM

Quote :

"15% global large cap growth fund"

yeah this one is currently at ~35% us holdings, so more like 25% international exposure

prlly more than ample.

^^

[Edited on July 6, 2007 at 11:11 AM. Reason : thanks guys!]

7/6/2007 11:11:42 AM

just monetized my LEAP.


...good advice in recent posts. i consider myself aggresive -- biased towards tech, international equities, energy and metals.





[Edited on July 6, 2007 at 11:54 AM. Reason : [Edited on July 6, 2007 at 11:54 AM. Reason : dsfsfsdf]]

7/6/2007 11:53:48 AM

homebuilder stocks doing well today...

BZH up 4.6%
RYL up 3.75%
TOL up 2.65%
KBH up 2.58%
CTX up 2.58%

no housing news that I could find

7/6/2007 12:33:04 PM

everything is up today it seems. that fellow Guy Adami on Fast Money seems to like some housing names.

7/6/2007 1:15:58 PM

Sold 42 shares of AAPL for 132.04 ~9.5% gain.

7/6/2007 1:26:57 PM

i plan on getting out at about 150

7/6/2007 1:56:54 PM

BIDU again on a tear -- making me look dumb...again

i guess i'll re-enter when it gets 190ish

7/6/2007 2:41:04 PM

^^^ yeah, i thought about the same thing, but i'm gonna hold on and see what it'll do for me. prob will chicken out before $150, but i'm gonna see if i can get a little before i bail. i was on the phone with cingular customer service the other day and mentioned that i'd tried to call a couple of days earlier, but finally gave up after being on hold for 59 minutes. she replied that they'd been totally swamped since the iPhone was released. if i understood her correctly, she said they sold 5 million of them the first night!

7/7/2007 8:52:03 PM

^hahha, no. More like 500,000 the first weekend

7/7/2007 8:59:46 PM

Personally I dont think real estate and home building has quite bottomed out yet...

I think the price is right to get into those positions now but i think the public is going to panic and cut their losses for another 6-12 months...

I dont think its a bad idea at all to get into real estate now, but id recommend dollar cost averaging for the next 6 months or so just in case the bottom isn't here yet

7/8/2007 11:45:31 AM

what about REITs?

7/8/2007 2:07:38 PM

some of this monetizing and cash accumulating i've been doing recently has been so i can ride the VMWare IPO.

there's no official word on when that is yet, but i might take a vacation day from work to trade it.

7/9/2007 11:25:58 AM

How do you get in on an ipo?

7/9/2007 11:31:51 AM

depends on the IPO (then sometimes which firm/s opens it, how much $ you have, etc...)

7/9/2007 11:48:39 AM

When is VMWare going public?

7/9/2007 12:05:46 PM

Any opinions on SLT?

7/9/2007 12:35:31 PM

I've got plenty of emerging market ETFs but would like to diversify into one or two European funds.

Any ideas?

BTW - EWZ the Brazilian iShares fund is up 43% since I bought in 7/28/06.

7/9/2007 3:13:32 PM

hmmm... EWZ is high on my list

7/9/2007 4:15:42 PM

- to secure shares of an IPO ahead of time, you have to be one of your brokers favorite clients. i've never been that, and just buy the IPO when it hits the market.

- the exact date of the VMWare IPO isn't known yet, but its late July early August.

- i love EWZ too. i've been in and out a couple of times -- up 30-something percent over a year -- should've just stayed in and let ride.

- don't know anything about SLT, but the chart looks enticing.

- In Europe I have only EWO. Austria is very free market, and their proximity to the growth in eastern Europe makes them attractive.

7/9/2007 4:33:21 PM

Keep me updated on vmware info plz.

7/9/2007 4:35:08 PM

Current Watch List:

EWZ - Brazil is home to the worlds largest Iron Ore producer and others such as Rio Tinto & BHP are very active in the country. This will only boost the output of this commodity over the coming years. As this ETF is ~25% metals and mining it stands to gain from the runup in this sector, especially as China continues to have its voracious appetite for base metals. Brazil has a significant Oil and gas sector, as well as a very large agricultural market and has consolidated its position as an important agribusiness producer and major food supplier to international markets. This one is as sure of a thing as you can find.

SLT - metals play on a company that just went public earlier this year given the hot metals sector and the growth and infrastructure play in India this one may significantly appreciate

FCX - Engaged in copper and gold mining; its principal operating subsidiary is PT Freeport Indonesia, which mines, processes and explores for ore containing copper, gold and silver. Company also smelts and refines copper concentrates in Spain. High 5-yr Dividend Growth Rate, High Profit Margin, High Return on Equity, High Net Insider Shares Bought

FWLT - Operate through two business groups: Global Engineering and Construction Group, designs, engineers, and constructs petroleum processing facilities and Global Power Group designs, manufactures and erects steam generating and auxiliary equipment. This stock is on fire and still trades at a discount to its peers. They continue to grow backlog and if their power division meets expectations they could continue to smash estimates. Global infrastructure is still a good market and FWLT will be a leader over the next year or two.

GLBL - Provides construction services including, pipeline construction, platform installation and removal, diving services, and construction support to the offshore oil and gas industry in the United States Gulf of Mexico and in selected international areas. Cheap - strong uptrend - Strong Sector - almost 6 times as much cash as debt in a capital intensive business. I will probably buy this.

7/9/2007 10:45:37 PM

Quote :

"Sold my SHLD."

That was me in February. Sold it for $181.15.

Glad I did...


[Edited on July 10, 2007 at 11:31 AM. Reason : ]

7/10/2007 11:30:51 AM

i can't seem to get into retail, restaurants, and other similar sectors. i think its because i earned my stripes in the late 90s... but free stock is good stuff.


anyone watching LNET? i might get some


also, how do you guys do your taxes with regards to securities? mine have been a painful math homework assignment the last few years.



[Edited on July 10, 2007 at 11:58 AM. Reason : taxes]

7/10/2007 11:36:56 AM

Eh it was given to me. Can't complain about free stock.

7/10/2007 11:39:08 AM