meeeh... Its -5 on Bodog too.. I went on it anyways...

9/25/2006 4:59:08 PM

I am releasing another play for the night. Despite generally laying off over/unders i love the under too much not to play it tonight.

Under 45 is a sweet ass sweet play.

Atlanta is a rushing team. They figure to control the ball and grind the clock. The game is in a dome which means more FG's but ATL's kicker is so pathetic he might miss anyway...

This has all the makings of a 23-10 type game...

I don't anticipate New Orleans to be able to do much of anything on offense.

The only way I can see this game going over is if Brees is throwing INT's for TD's and they get down huge early and then he puts up padders against an ATL prevent D.... but i dont think the game gets THAT out of hand...

Currently 5-3-1 in NFL with ATL -3 and Under 45 plays tonight.

9/25/2006 7:34:53 PM

Quote :

" The game is in a dome which means more FG's but ATL's kicker is so pathetic he might miss anyway... "

We signed Morton Anderson last week, who even if he is average tonight, he is still a 100% improvement.

[Edited on September 25, 2006 at 8:04 PM. Reason : .]

9/25/2006 8:04:31 PM

oh, i did not realize that. But still his range is ridiculously limited so that doesnt change things too much...

9/25/2006 8:05:19 PM

Motherfucker's 46

I bet that's the limit on his range too

I like the under too, but I took under 22 for the first half

I'm worried the saints might be down a lot in the second and have to throw a lot

[Edited on September 25, 2006 at 8:22 PM. Reason : d]

9/25/2006 8:18:55 PM

They said he is still pretty much automatic from 45 in, well not auto, but still good. Anything over that and they have to resort to whats his name.

Hell, I dont mind them signing him. Anything is an upgrade over the last guy, and its not like Morton left because his talent declined, he just wanted to retire, he could actually turn out to be a great sign.

[Edited on September 25, 2006 at 8:37 PM. Reason : .]

9/25/2006 8:36:07 PM

Quote :

"he just wanted to retire"

No sir

He has said many times he wants to play til he's 50

The julio franco of baseball

The Vikes released him after the '04 season and he never got a job last year

9/25/2006 8:38:50 PM

Well that explains it then, the Vikings did get rid of all their best players.

9/25/2006 8:54:53 PM

Quote :

"I took under 22 for the first half"

FUCK JOHN CARNEY

though i lucked out after the Saints blocked the FG, but they had to drive down for one of their own

9/25/2006 10:26:12 PM

Just placed a live bet taking NO -18.5 to cover my ATL bet

Not to happy about it, but atleast I have outs now.

23-3

[Edited on September 25, 2006 at 11:10 PM. Reason : ..]

9/25/2006 11:08:05 PM

AVOID

9/25/2006 11:29:51 PM

Its in, so no turning back.

9/25/2006 11:37:58 PM

no the 2nd bet was fine

the first was trouble from the get-go, but the hedge should work if they stop them here

[Edited on September 25, 2006 at 11:40 PM. Reason : which they didnt]

9/25/2006 11:40:34 PM

I really hope so, have 150 on each

I smell a last min ATL FG to blow it

[Edited on September 25, 2006 at 11:49 PM. Reason : .]

9/25/2006 11:44:48 PM

Thank god i went with that under play tonight, saved my week.

6-4-1 on the season. Still riding the money train, sorry for the off week.

Man, that game was just brutal... Atlanta was sickening and the New Orleans disaster relief shit was so goddam boring that i stopped drinking midway through the 3rd quarter

9/25/2006 11:52:09 PM

I knew the ATL -5 was a losing bet as soon as I made it.. Least I basically pushed by making a last minute bet on the under.

9/25/2006 11:53:06 PM

Quote :

"6-4-1 on the season. Still riding the money train, sorry for the off week."

Money train?? You do realize thats not that good don't you?

9/26/2006 12:20:42 AM

60% is very good. With that small sample size it is irrelevant, but 60% is very good

9/26/2006 1:27:49 AM

60% is awesome dude.

6-4 isn't awesome, but 60-40 clearly is.


Maybe like 1% of gamblers can hit 60% in the long run.... if even that...

You can spew all the fake numbers about your picking skill if you want, but I guarantee long run you don't pick higher than 60%.

9/26/2006 9:53:54 AM

Southern Miss -6.5

9/26/2006 7:32:06 PM

my CFB expert friend says Cent Flor +6.5 is the play tonight.

I dont play CFB, but if i did id listen to him.

9/26/2006 7:36:04 PM

Dude missed a 23 yard FG.. Good for me.

9/26/2006 8:30:10 PM

My picks this week:
San Diego -2.5
St. Louis -5.5
Philadelphia -11

[Edited on September 27, 2006 at 12:08 PM. Reason : ]

9/27/2006 12:07:39 PM

BYU +7 O/U 47

Auburn -14½ O/U 38


Tonite's games.. My gut says BYU +7 but my gut has been pretty wrong the last week. I see Auburn blowing out SC but I also see them making it a close one..

[Edited on September 28, 2006 at 5:02 PM. Reason : t]

9/28/2006 5:02:23 PM

Quote :

"my CFB expert friend says Cent Flor +6.5 is the play tonight. I dont play CFB, but if i did id listen to him."

And thats the reason he's so fucking good. They fumbled on the goaline, threw an INT for a TD in the 4th, missed a FG, etc and still covered by a point. Amazing.


He likes South Carolina. He told me he's throwing a "mini-neutron" on it.


He reserves "neutron" for bets that are $800+ usually so im assuming this is just a ~$400 bet.




NFL plays for the week. 6-4-1 on the season.

San Diego -2.5 Coming off a bye week, should be ready to take on the Ravens. The Ravens D is strong but their offense is very weak and I just can't see them beating a far superior Chargers team even at home.

Cleveland -2.5 I don't think people realize just how bad the Raiders are. Even at home coming off a bye week they shouldn't be able to beat a Cleveland team that is hungry for their first win. Charlie Frye vs. Andrew Walter, they're gonna be talking about this game for years to come.

New Orleans +7.5 @ Carolina. I think New Orleans is due for a letdown and Carolina is coming around a little but 7.5? Carolina has no o-line and hasn't shown they should be more than a TD favorite at this point over anyone. I could see NO offense giving Carolina some trouble.


I also like the Seahawks but Im hesistant to bet this game yet... I'm hoping the line will move to 4.



[Edited on September 28, 2006 at 6:11 PM. Reason : a]

9/28/2006 6:05:13 PM

I just wagered $1,781.27 to win $9,078.73.


On the Colts to win the Super Bowl.



Balls out fellas.

9/28/2006 6:19:12 PM

Really? The Colts? They are good but that is taking a pretty big chance. I mean I certainly don't believe that Peyton is a career choker but until he gets past that last hump that's a risk..

Good luck.

9/28/2006 6:21:33 PM

I ended up taking BYU +6.5, it changed on me right as I was making the bet. I'll hold off on the Auburn/SC game until as long as I can to see how this game is going first. I like Auburn alot... But 14 points is a lot to give away to a Spurrier coached college team..

9/28/2006 6:24:49 PM

Yeah well I plan on selling it before the playoffs.... looking to get $4,000-$5,000 for it.

9/28/2006 7:56:54 PM

Hope this isn't a dumb question, but how does ^that work?

9/28/2006 8:26:29 PM

http://www.tradesports.com

I bought 1,086 shares of the Indianapolis Colts at an average of $1.64 apiece.

If they win the Super Bowl the shares will mature at $10 apiece ($10,860)

Prior to the playoffs last year they were trading for $5/share.

If they trade for even $4/share I'll still get almost $4,500 for them...


If you're interested let me know, ill refer you and you get a bonus $25.

[Edited on September 28, 2006 at 9:00 PM. Reason : a]

9/28/2006 8:53:13 PM

Good call on my part on the BYU/TCU game. Now if SC can just hang on. I ended up taking SC +14.

9/28/2006 8:58:26 PM

LOL @ those douches at cbs sportsline or wherever i saw it that said tcu would win out and get an at large bcs bid

9/28/2006 8:59:23 PM

^^^Interesting. I'm not much of a gambler, but I'll get your info if I sign up for it.

9/28/2006 9:20:27 PM

I got South Florida +4 tonight

and Anabella Hilal (Lebanon) for Miss World on Saturday, +3600 moneline

9/29/2006 2:38:55 PM

I can see RU winning by 2 TDs tonight honestly. USF has been pretty unimpressive and RU is a damn fine team.. good luck with that one.

[Edited on September 29, 2006 at 2:43 PM. Reason : though they are still Rutgers..]

9/29/2006 2:43:09 PM

I am thinking of taking RU tonight. I need a good bet to make on Mansion for $50, and I am guaranteed $90 back even if I win or lose, but I want a good game to bet it on because winning $50 and getting the $90 would be a hell of a good deal, start with $50, win the game, end up with around $190

9/29/2006 2:59:01 PM

Rutgers is a DAMN good team. Rutgers will win by 2tds.

9/29/2006 4:48:14 PM

ya i just got in on Rutgers at -6

then did a 4 team parlay, could be the death of me

san diego -3
indy -10
miami -4
Cinc at -7

the only one im worried with is miami

[Edited on September 29, 2006 at 5:16 PM. Reason : f]

9/29/2006 5:15:42 PM

Damn, -6? What site do you use?

SportsInteraction has it at -4 still and

Mansion -3.5

9/29/2006 5:23:01 PM

think the line just moved up actually got to it late

and its the only site that would take my card out of the 3434 that exsist, betus.com not to mention it was a freeroll pick, i didnt have to use any of MY money, its all teh sites for that straight bet

[Edited on September 29, 2006 at 5:26 PM. Reason : d]

9/29/2006 5:25:43 PM

nah, just looked on Mansion, its still at -3.5


If anyone is interested, you can be guaranteed to win $40 off a $50 bet. Just sign up at http://www.pokersavvy.com and do the promotion for Mansion poker. You get 900 Savvy Points which can be converted into cash sent to your neteller. You earn these points by either generating $10 of rake in the poker room, or placing $50 worth of wagers in the sportsbook. So like I posted up before, if you lose, you still get $90 back, but if you win, your $50 turns into almost $190.

If you decide to do it, all I ask is for the referral for telling you about it, my name on PokerSavvy.com is VenomPsycho. If you have any questions PM or IM me.


Im gonna drop $50 on RU and hope for the best.

Just teased it down to -3 @ -135

Id kill myself if I didnt and they only won by a FG.

[Edited on September 29, 2006 at 5:49 PM. Reason : .]

9/29/2006 5:27:58 PM

first parlay of the weekend, damn i need to stop the parlay shit

rutgers -4 (@ USF)
uconn -2 (vs Navy)
duke +5 (vs UVA)
syracuse -5 (vs WYO)

Other than RU, the other three are noon games. If I could pull it off at noon I'd be sittin nice for the rest of the afternoon/evening games.

9/29/2006 7:15:31 PM

Took RU -3.5

9/29/2006 7:27:58 PM

Quote :

"I can see RU winning by 2 TDs tonight honestly. "

Guess that's why you dont make the lines

GG Turnip.

9/29/2006 11:17:32 PM

I felt kinda sad when no one agreed with me

9/29/2006 11:42:37 PM

damnit USF, actually... RU killed us with the penalties.


Anyone taking Iowa tomorrow night? I really like Boise, Syracuse, GT, Miami, and Alabama.

[Edited on September 30, 2006 at 3:39 AM. Reason : c]

9/30/2006 3:31:48 AM

thanks miami. way to kill a 7 game parlay, thugs.

9/30/2006 8:51:40 PM

I'm in an interesting parlay team thing. We have 4 guys and each submits a pick to the parlay (order rotates weekly). We pooled funds together to create a pool of $200 on sportsbook.com which cost a lot less than $200 due to a sign up bonus and a 21% referral bonus that was dumped into the account.

we bet on fridays where 4 team parlays pay out 13.5:1, and each parlay is for 20$ and a payout of $270.

Say that 3 people's picks win and the others loses. The loser will have to account for the buyin the following week for the other 3 (ie: it would cost them 20 and everyone else 0). We are accountants so a sophisticated spreadsheet handles all the balances.

not sure if this is commonly done, but its pretty fun

9/30/2006 11:13:58 PM

Going with

Houston +3.5
Ind/NYJ under 47
NE/Cin under 46.5

10/1/2006 11:27:04 AM