if miami loses to FSU that probably knocks them back out of the top 50. i don't know that it would hurt us all that much if it happens at this point, though.

3/9/2012 5:48:26 PM

Fuck it, WIN TOMORROW and cancel Christmas cause we'll be going to the NC Mother Fucking double A

3/9/2012 5:51:06 PM

Still got to win the ncaa playin game to really be in the tournament

Cmon beat unc

3/9/2012 7:09:41 PM

SAS formula calculates NCAA Tournament chances
Mar 9, 2012 4:25 p.m.


For fans of the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and Duke University, the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament is an annual expectation. Both teams are again ranked in the top 10 and, no matter how they play this weekend in Atlanta at the Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament, can expect a berth in the field of 68 who play for the national championship.

At North Carolina State University, fans are not quite as secure. Their team's 21-11 (9-7 ACC) record puts them squarely on the bubble.

Ultimately, a committee decides which teams get an invite and which sit at home during March Madness. Their algorithm includes not just wins and losses, but it is top secret. Every year, teams get left out, and fans are left wondering.

The three economics professors who ran the numbers through a data analysis program developed by Cary-based software firm SAS showed that NC State is almost a sure thing. Jay Coleman, of the University of North Florida, Allen Lynch, of Mercer University, and Mike DuMond, an adjunct professor at Florida State University, developed the "Dance Card" formula using information about past tournament selections to predict which teams are most likely to get in.

3/9/2012 8:44:26 PM

OH WE BACK

3/9/2012 8:45:30 PM

http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/story/17692167/after-long-lapse-nc-state-is-relevant-again

3/10/2012 12:00:31 AM

Maybe im being too critical, but all i could focus on was
"N.C. State has won 10 ACC tournament championships, second only to Duke (19) and North Carolina (17)"

3/10/2012 12:04:22 AM

another gem:

"C.J. Leslie, who had 19 points and 14 rebounds in Friday's win, is a Mike Gottfried believer. "

[Edited on March 10, 2012 at 8:25 AM. Reason : b]

[Edited on March 10, 2012 at 8:25 AM. Reason : suck at bolding things]

3/10/2012 8:24:56 AM

Quote :

"The three economics professors who ran the numbers through a data analysis program developed by Cary-based software firm SAS showed that NC State is almost a sure thing. Jay Coleman, of the University of North Florida, Allen Lynch, of Mercer University, and Mike DuMond, an adjunct professor at Florida State University, developed the "Dance Card" formula using information about past tournament selections to predict which teams are most likely to get in."

Unless their program factors in "NC State" shit, I wouldn't rely on it.

3/10/2012 8:33:59 AM

where is the "oh we back" pick?

Also, I spent prolly a half hour last night re-watching the video of our UCONN win in '05.

3/10/2012 8:36:57 AM

Today I woke up not confident about our bubble status at all. I hate uncertainty. Let's just victor today and I won't have to worry about it.

3/10/2012 8:37:55 AM

3/10/2012 8:46:51 AM

Getting the #5 seed was huge, Fsu probably woulda sent us packing last night. God if we could close out beating duke and unc Gottfried would become legend

3/10/2012 8:58:07 AM

epic contract renewal at least.

3/10/2012 9:02:10 AM

i think he gets like a $125,000 raise or bonus plus a 2 year extension for making the tournament in year one or two. i can't remember the exact details but i'm sure it's online somewhere.

3/10/2012 9:10:24 AM

I remember it being if he made the NCAA in year 2 or 3, but there might be something better for him for year 1.

3/10/2012 9:11:55 AM

2 year extension for ncaa appearance in year 1 or two.

http://www.bizjournals.com/triangle/blog/2011/04/ncsu-basketball-coach-gottfried-could.html

3/10/2012 9:25:25 AM

Thank you for the article

3/10/2012 9:26:33 AM

i feel like debbie could've thrown in unlimited meals at case w/o breaking the budget.

3/10/2012 10:31:00 AM

A win today and the man pays for nothing

3/10/2012 10:51:56 AM

Just curious to know, we reached the ACCT final in Lowe's first year in charge. How was the optimism then? He beat Carolina in his first year too, those would have been giddy days, right?

3/10/2012 11:33:28 AM

Not sure what time lunardi updated his bracketology yesterday but still has us as being out of the tourney right now.

3/10/2012 11:35:27 AM

i said yesterday after our win that i won't believe we are in the tourney until they call our name tomorrow night

i could still see us being left out

3/10/2012 11:37:55 AM

Quote :

"Just curious to know, we reached the ACCT final in Lowe's first year in charge. How was the optimism then? He beat Carolina in his first year too, those would have been giddy days, right?"

We were 5-11 that season

3/10/2012 11:38:41 AM

Team we want to lose vs Team we want to win Time
Marshall vs Memphis 11:30
Massachusetts vs St,. Bonaventure 1:00
Xavier vs St. Louis 1:00
Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt 3:30
Akron vs Ohio 8:00
Cincinnati vs Louisville 9:00
Long Beach vs UC Santa Barbara 10:00

Feel free to add others. Based on a combination of RPI influences and Bubble teams.
There are a few other games with teams that matter but they are playing each other so it is irrelevant. I.e. Colorado vs Arizona.

[Edited on March 10, 2012 at 11:43 AM. Reason : .]

[Edited on March 10, 2012 at 11:44 AM. Reason : .]

[Edited on March 10, 2012 at 11:48 AM. Reason : .]

3/10/2012 11:39:46 AM

We really need Marshall to fall.

If Marshall gets the auto bid I will feel very bad about this.

That beig said. Looking at all the RPIs of the bubble teams we look very out of place in a good way.

3/10/2012 11:42:58 AM

Quote :

" A win today and the man pays for nothing"

3/10/2012 12:23:45 PM

Team we want to lose

unc-ch


Stop wasting your energy on this RPI bullshit. We control our density.

3/10/2012 12:30:26 PM

It makes it more fun to watch other games when you have a rooting interest.

And I'm not just thinking about in or out, but also seedings.

3/10/2012 12:36:45 PM

Cal losing last night hurt us, cause a PAC12 team that wasn't gonna make the tourney is now guaranteed, while the other "bigs" in the PAC12 are still prolly goin. I know, Pac12, but still. Washington and Cal are still dancing

3/10/2012 12:37:37 PM

Yeah. We control our own destiny against a top 5 team. It is only realistic to want state to be in as good of position as possible should we lose.

3/10/2012 12:37:50 PM

Quote :

"Not sure what time lunardi updated his bracketology yesterday but still has us as being out of the tourney right now."

refresh that shit mang. he has had us in the last four in since the win over UVA.


http://espn.go.com/blog/collegebasketballnation/tag/_/name/2012-bracketology

3/10/2012 12:43:58 PM

I think Setin Hall gets bounced from the pac12 victor. Then Washington if Marshall wins. If not Washington then us

3/10/2012 12:49:01 PM

Quote :

"We were 5-11 that season"

Also, brandon costner was lights out the whole tourney. The talking heads were clamoring for him to get the MVP despite us eventually falling to UNC. With that kind of player production, It seemed more like a situation where somebody had caught a hot streaked as opposed to Lowe being vindicated.

The best thing about the "oh we back" pick is the JC epic fist pump.





[Edited on March 10, 2012 at 9:18 PM. Reason : c]

3/10/2012 9:15:46 PM

^ i like MOD's (I think?) fist pump as well

3/10/2012 9:18:55 PM

MFROD amirite?

[Edited on March 10, 2012 at 9:31 PM. Reason : x]

3/10/2012 9:31:00 PM

Quote :

"Bullet All American 5827 Posts user info edit post and he'll take a charge 6/19/2011 11:02:17 PM "

In reference to:

Quote :

"New video of Alex Johnson highlights on Pack Pride. Some things of note: -He seems really scrappy on the defensive end getting steals, loose balls, etc. -Dude has some serious range on his threes. http://northcarolinastate.scout.com/2/1080783.html"

From page one. How ironic.

[Edited on March 10, 2012 at 9:44 PM. Reason : .]

3/10/2012 9:42:14 PM

Quote :

""Well Fran, clearly Marshall approached the hoop along the Burgi-Dunitz angle which means that any participation by johnson is an illegal solvation effect.""

[Edited on March 11, 2012 at 12:18 PM. Reason : x]

3/11/2012 12:18:01 PM

Where the naysayers at? The ones who got boners talking about how we were locks for the NIT, how there was absolutely no way we'd make the tournament? aaronburro, you still think it was a "train-wreck" of a season? Bitches.

[Edited on March 11, 2012 at 7:30 PM. Reason : ]

3/11/2012 7:29:27 PM

Quote :

"The Pac-12 went 1-29 in nonconference play against the RPI top 50 this season"

Anyone have a guess who that win was against?

3/11/2012 8:42:05 PM

^^ don't think I ever called the season a train-wreck. just the finish. pulled the e-brake pretty well, though

3/11/2012 8:43:08 PM

LOL Rich

3/11/2012 9:19:18 PM

That picture makes me <3 TDT. But where is Wood??

3/11/2012 9:23:48 PM

did we trade wood for whoever that dude is between howell and painter?

3/11/2012 9:23:51 PM

Technical for Rich

[Edited on March 11, 2012 at 9:24 PM. Reason : *]

3/11/2012 9:24:34 PM

HAHA Howell with the middle finger.

wood is working on his free throws.

3/11/2012 9:25:12 PM

Wood was busy

3/11/2012 9:28:11 PM

Is there any video of the team's reaction to the announcement?

3/11/2012 9:29:03 PM

lorenzo brown is a stylish mother fucker.

3/11/2012 9:36:03 PM

Quote :

"i feel sorry for you people who think we are gonna make the NCAAT. just accept that we aren't. you'll thank me for it later"

-aaronburro






Lemme know how that tastes.

3/11/2012 9:40:38 PM