I guess I am, I really fucked that game.

1/16/2007 10:38:58 PM

Iowa +11
UConn +7
BC -11 1/2
South Alabama -4 (push)
UVA - 1
Texas +4
South Carolina +7
St. Johns +12 1/2
Memphis -14
Utah +7 --- lookin good

Pretty good night, too bad I didn't put money on anything.

[Edited on January 16, 2007 at 11:58 PM. Reason : 1222]

1/16/2007 11:31:19 PM

texas - over 152

Easy money

1/16/2007 11:43:45 PM

nobody takin anything tonight?

Here's my "super 10" for the night. figured i'd start it since i did pretty well last night in the 10 i picked. ill prolly go 0/10 tonight.

UNC -4 1/2
VT + 3 1/2
UNC-Charlotte -3 1/2
Villanova -5
Rutgers +10 1/2
Tennessee -4 1/2
Kansas State -7 1/2
Bama -2
Wisconsin -14 1/2
Seton Hall +1 1/2

1/17/2007 6:30:33 PM

i like unc over clemson

1/17/2007 6:34:39 PM

Man, that unc-ch/clempson line looks way off to me. Granted unc-ch lost to VT and clempson started out with 17 straight wins but I still have to believe unc-ch will win by double digits or more. Then again when you see a line thats odd like that there is a reason and its usually pretty close.

1/17/2007 6:36:10 PM

UNC -4 1/2
VT + 3 1/2
UNC-Charlotte -3 1/2
Villanova -5
Rutgers +10 1/2
Tennessee -4 1/2
Kansas State -7 1/2
Bama -2
Wisconsin -14 1/2
Seton Hall +1 1/2

5-5

1/18/2007 10:21:54 AM

I shoulda jumped all over the unc/clemson game. But that line spooked me a bit

1/18/2007 10:23:12 AM

Tennessee screwed me big time. I think they were up by 14 at one point in the second half and blew it. Damn, I hate Tennessee. Don't know why I went with them to start with.

Anyone have a line for Duke/Wake tonight? I think Duke beats the hell outta them.

1/18/2007 10:27:25 AM

per bodog.

Quote :

"Odds aren't yet posted for this game, so check back later for the opening line and total."

1/18/2007 10:33:58 AM

i don't think the lines were posted there yesterday until about noon. saturday's they appear at 11, i think.

1/18/2007 10:35:14 AM

yea, bball lines are always late to be posted. hell they have NFL lines out by Tuesday usually.

1/18/2007 10:37:46 AM

they have the nfl lines out usually by sunday night

1/18/2007 10:58:00 AM

Dook -15 anyone?

1/18/2007 6:55:40 PM

shit duke will win by 20+.

1/18/2007 7:01:26 PM

yeah... never know though.. I took the -15 anyways

1/18/2007 7:03:41 PM

hmm...bears -2 and colts -3. GO Saints and fuck the patriots.

1/18/2007 7:07:04 PM

Mavs -9.5

1/18/2007 7:45:20 PM

hawaii -10

1/18/2007 9:05:24 PM

^^i don't think i like any of your pics man, i think you lay too many points, but we'll see

1/18/2007 9:06:06 PM

I actually pay for a site, http://www.jrtips.com Thats their big game of the night. I've had some great success with them over the past year.


Their other picks for the night are

Wake +17
Towson+10.5
Arizona ---
Bradley+8.5

[Edited on January 18, 2007 at 9:31 PM. Reason : t]

1/18/2007 9:22:41 PM

pay me half of what you pay that site, and i'll give you my picks

i do think the mavs will win though, but i think they'll start out really slow, and probably won't cover (like all their other games)

[Edited on January 18, 2007 at 9:49 PM. Reason : lkj]

1/18/2007 9:49:01 PM

took indy state to cover, and stanford to cover

also on the blues now

not a bad evening

[Edited on January 18, 2007 at 11:42 PM. Reason : christ i dont even know the names of teams who made me money]

1/18/2007 11:39:03 PM

Saints +2

Hadn't decided on the Colts/Pats game yet.

1/19/2007 12:45:42 PM

i like the colts to win, but this is one of the few times i think a teaser play could be good, saints +9 and pats +10 looks money to me

1/19/2007 1:40:44 PM

i like the Bears to win but the Saints teaser also looks good. I took NE to win last week but I wouldn't touch them this weekend...tease the Colts...Indy +4 in the dome looks great

1/19/2007 7:32:16 PM

damn sportsbook. wouldnt let me bet on the bc game when it hadnt started yet

1/20/2007 12:19:36 PM

I love Duke/State over 133.5

big play

1/20/2007 1:14:59 PM

I like State +8 but I'm not betting, never bet on State.

1/20/2007 2:59:48 PM

i wont bet on ncsu either normally i was betting against them but then they beat wake so i stopped haha
^9 So the site you pay for told you to take
Mavs -9.5 L
Wake +17 L
Towson St. +10.5 W
Arizona pick em??? L
Bradley +8.5 L
I hope u only took towson st in that list

[Edited on January 20, 2007 at 3:37 PM. Reason : ]

1/20/2007 3:32:21 PM

I always ask myself how much I would pay to see state win.

Then I bet that much AGAINST state.

If they win, then it's like I paid for the victory.

If they lose, at least I get some money.

1/20/2007 3:36:29 PM

haha good idea except im not really a state fan

1/20/2007 3:37:43 PM

Boise St. -6.5

1/20/2007 4:38:47 PM

Quote :

"I always ask myself how much I would pay to see state win. Then I bet that much AGAINST state. If they win, then it's like I paid for the victory. If they lose, at least I get some money. "

I like it

1/20/2007 4:47:08 PM

is there any Sports Betting guru's in here? Anyone consistently chip away and make $$$?

1/20/2007 4:49:14 PM

I do. Of course I use the picks of the site I listed above, and not my own usually, but yeah, I turn out a constant profit.

1/20/2007 4:53:09 PM

Those last two plays are a microcosm of the game. Nelson's defender leaves him 2 feet form the basket. Fells blows a gift of two points and gets a technical. This is about to be an 8 point swing. Nelson 2 points + fells missing 2 + FTs + duke gets the ball.

1/20/2007 5:04:00 PM

God dam i am a Betting Golden God right now.


That over was almost EASY money.

I needed 8 points with like 5 minutes to go, and it was over with 2 minutes remaining.


How many picks can I just absolutely nail?


Alright initially I liked the Saints and if you already bet on the Saints I apologize. This is an easy game to bet on.

1) The public is HEAVY on the Saints

2) The game is in Chicago

3) Chicago has more playoff experience

4) Chicago has the better defense/special teams




People are scared of Chicago because of the Grossman factor, but if you look at the season as a whole Grossman just had a few MISERABLE games that really made people think he was worse than he was. One of those games (GB) didnt even count...

The only games he was bad (statistically) were against Minnesota twice (very good defense), Miami (very good defense), Arizona (miserable game and Az came to play), and GB (doesnt count).




Let me put it this way. If you bet on the New Orleans Saints tomorrow you are going against every gambling rule in the book. Don't do it.




As far as the NE-Indy game goes.... I just cant decide anymore. New England looked like pure unadulterated shit last week so I can't recommend betting on them. I think Indy can get enough stops to win and if the game is on the line you gotta like Vinitieri's chances against the team that let him walk. I'm thinking Indy moneyline is where its at.

I know this is a complete reversal of what I was thinking a week ago, but Ive had enough time to let what I saw last week really sink in. The heart says Patriots/Saints but Im gonna have to go with my head and bet on the two best teams instead. Colts/Bears to the motherfucking bank.

[Edited on January 20, 2007 at 6:23 PM. Reason : a]

1/20/2007 6:17:42 PM

Quote :

"I just wagered $1,781.27 to win $9,078.73. On the Colts to win the Super Bowl. Balls out fellas. 9-28-2006 rallydurham "

Kill me now. I sold this bet for $2,100 about two months ago.


The going rate is $4,300 right now.

[Edited on January 20, 2007 at 7:00 PM. Reason : a]

1/20/2007 6:59:57 PM

Took wisconsin and colo. state

Big wins .


Im not touching the NFL tomorrow, i made money off the colts already. Its also a personal rule of mine not to bet against the patriots.

1/20/2007 8:01:25 PM

Bears dropped back to EVEN on sportsbook...hope everyone got in when they they were +115 earlier this week. I mean +115 at HOME in the NFC Championship...come on. Bears and Colts today are bank

[Edited on January 21, 2007 at 10:42 AM. Reason : ]

1/21/2007 10:31:54 AM

^??? THe Bears are -135 on most sites right now....

I think you meant they were -3 (+115)


personally i got -110 on Bears -2.5 last night which is pretty fucking sweet.

I got Colts moneyline at -163 and its going for -170 on most sites right now

1/21/2007 10:44:02 AM

yeah i was talking about on the spread. I was able to get the Bears at -3 (+115) and actually was able to get the Colts -3 (-110) when the spreads were first announced...Colts are at -130 now

1/21/2007 10:48:24 AM

so why is all the money going on the bears, weak no secondary? i mean they barely beat the seahawks, i think no big in this one, but seems the money's going on chitown

1/21/2007 11:36:13 AM

I agree, Seahawks do not equal the Saints, Grossman has very little room for error in this game. My $$$ is on the Saints ... although they won't be playing in their Dome.

1/21/2007 11:40:15 AM

Who has been playing on the Bears?? a whole lot of nobody it seems...Bears were -3 (+115) all week which indicates HEAVY play on the Saints.

1/21/2007 11:43:38 AM

yea, i mean it's obviously bc of the weather, but i think brees is a better cold weather qb than grossman anyway (played at purdue vs florida), but i guess we'll see....i could def see it affecting bush who is kind of fumble prone anyway.


lines have moved up since yesterday, at least on tradesports

[Edited on January 21, 2007 at 11:44 AM. Reason : lkj]

1/21/2007 11:43:51 AM

yeah money has been shifting today...but just today. means the smart money is coming out late...try not to buy into the Saints hype...it will be a close game but the Bears should win it. Teasing the Saints to +10 or something would also be a good bet though

1/21/2007 11:49:36 AM

i really think the saints are the better team actually, i'm just a little worried about the weather

1/21/2007 11:52:40 AM

The lines have been moving toward the Bears because of the bad weather.


But overall sportsbook shows 60-40 on the line is going with the Saints and 72-28 moneyline on the Saints. 69-31 overall on the Saints

Thats a HUGE disparity.



Here's Bill Simmons comment on it:

Quote :

" BEARS (-2.5) over Saints No, but seriously ... EVERYONE loves the Saints in this game. I can't remember a bigger bandwagon pick in all the years I've been writing this column. Even if you check any gambling site that gives you the percentage of money being wagered on each team, the Saints are getting 68-75 percent of the action. Everyone has them pencilled in for Miami. That gives me the willies. And since the other two "makes me nervous" components of this game (the Rex Grossman Roller Coaster versus a warm weather dome team playing in 30-degree weather) cancel each other out, well ... The Pick: Chicago 27, New Orleans 20"

Almost all the analysts seem to be picking the Saints too.


Think about it. THis is the NFC Championship game. THere is some serious one sided action coming in on the Saints and Vegas isnt budging. This means there is some heavy 'sharp' action coming in on the Bears or Vegas is just manning up, sticking to their guns, and holding the value.

Newsflash, Vegas doesnt like gambling on sportsbooks anymore. They are more risk averse than ever now. There is HEAVY sharp action out there on the Bears today. I'm going fucking large.

1/21/2007 11:53:55 AM