Ike is going to beat up some islands.

9/4/2008 10:12:43 AM

since I"m off today I'd better hit up the home depot and get some plywood for my windows and a generator.

9/4/2008 10:56:23 AM

^where you @?

9/4/2008 11:23:03 AM

Quote :

"I pay more attention to the trends of these tracks.... they have continuously been pushing the storm farther and farther to the east... i feel we are gonna get off with little effect, some rain, and this thing will just bank off the outer banks... i will be reposting this saturday after I am right lol "

well the last track actually put it a little more westward for the first time in about 3 days... This kinda reminds me of Bonnie, which skimmed the coast... and then hopefully the next isnt the follow up of Fran...

9/4/2008 11:31:54 AM

first year i've owned a house and a hurricane is coming! go wilmington!

wonder if i'll have to board up my windows

9/4/2008 12:51:09 PM

Hannah doesn't look that bad at this point, but you better pack your shit if Ike shifts towards you guys:

9/4/2008 12:58:57 PM

this is when i really really hate being "essential personnel"

plus i just happen to be on call this week.
I'm hoping wind and rains won't get TOO heavy!!

9/4/2008 1:17:09 PM

they are showing a curve for Ike now, looks like 1996 all over again

9/4/2008 7:17:25 PM

most of the models curve it either right before FL, over FL or in the GOM. Seems the S Fl weather guys are saying it will recurve, it could, and some models show that about 50 miles from Miami...this hurricane is small, so they probably wouldnt get hurricane force winds even that close. It is suppose to be moving very slow regardless.

9/4/2008 7:40:43 PM

Hanna is having more convection fire around the center and the satellite is looking much better right now. What a change a couple hours make. She seems to be handling the shear alright as well.

9/4/2008 8:32:19 PM

Quite like 96 indeed.

And dad was down in Orlando for King Air sim time when Floyd came through. He got pushed out early and was one of the last pilots out of Orlando before they thought Floyd would make landfall. He said it was extremely dark just off the coast when he got airborne, but the damn storm turned up and followed he and the King Air back to eastern NC. We eventually flew over the Nash/Halifax county area right when the storm blew by and saw a lot of the damage from the air. That was amazing.

[Edited on September 4, 2008 at 8:59 PM. Reason : ]

9/4/2008 8:38:52 PM

Ike is a purty storm!



Currently a Category 4!

9/4/2008 9:04:34 PM

I hope ike slaps us like we're tina turner

9/4/2008 9:09:04 PM

Hannah is still trying. I bet she'll finally give up the ghost somewhere south of Iceland.

Is the same desert-like airmass going to be in place for Ike when he gets to the Bahamas?

9/4/2008 9:09:19 PM

Man i hope Ike doesn't hit us after Hanna. That would be a hell of a lot of downed trees and power lines...

9/4/2008 10:57:09 PM

Ike is gonna tear some shit up

9/4/2008 10:59:38 PM

you know, now that i OWN my own house, i don't like hurricanes nearly as much (before, i always thought they were fun)

9/4/2008 11:01:14 PM

That damn nw shear better not eat up Ike!

9/4/2008 11:57:02 PM

you people that want a hurricane are fucked up

literally that chick fucking the dog is less fucked up than wishing for destruction of people and property

9/5/2008 12:05:37 AM

what you guys dont have insurance or something?

9/5/2008 12:40:10 AM

^^ See, the error is that you have the two confused. I doubt that anyone who is wishing for a hurricane is also wishing for destruction of property and people. The two are not at all intrinsically similar. I have always had an affinity for the weather and hurricanes in particular since being in Charlotte during Hugo. The best way I can describe the thrill that I and others like me get from being in a hurricane is take the most euphoric moment you have ever had and add a dash of potential mortality and sense of wonder and then you just might begin to grasp the notion that not everyone is bound to their primal fear of storms. Describing an emotion with words hardly does it justice. You would be ill advised to simply dismiss someone as "fucked up" because you are unable to comprehend what gives them fulfillment.

9/5/2008 12:44:20 AM

What was the name of the hurricane that hit in 2003 and we got a day off of school for that?

Nevermind, Hurricane Isabel.

[Edited on September 5, 2008 at 1:43 AM. Reason : searched it]

9/5/2008 1:35:42 AM

models keep trending Hanna a little more west, which surprises me. It is usually the other way around in these situations...

I think Ike will a landfall in florida.

9/5/2008 5:49:02 AM

You better be giving daily weather reports to your classes, dude. Otherwise, that met degree is being wasted.

9/5/2008 7:35:32 AM

I keep getting the feeling that Hannah will come ashore several miles lower than the current prediction. Every time I see an update it's shifted 100 miles up/down.

9/5/2008 8:33:19 AM

Well, it looks positively horrid here in Wilm and I just threw all the lawn furniture in the shed.

9/5/2008 8:48:55 AM

Quote :

"Well, it looks positively horrid here in Wilm and I just threw all the lawn furniture in the shed."

Since when is overcast horrid?

9/5/2008 9:25:54 AM

Quote :

"Quite like 96 indeed. And dad was down in Orlando for King Air sim time when Floyd came through. He got pushed out early and was one of the last pilots out of Orlando before they thought Floyd would make landfall. He said it was extremely dark just off the coast when he got airborne, but the damn storm turned up and followed he and the King Air back to eastern NC. We eventually flew over the Nash/Halifax county area right when the storm blew by and saw a lot of the damage from the air. That was amazing."

what was in 1996?

floyd was in 1999

9/5/2008 10:24:16 AM

Bertha followed by Fran

9/5/2008 10:28:22 AM

Quote :

"See, the error is that you have the two confused. I doubt that anyone who is wishing for a hurricane is also wishing for destruction of property and people. The two are not at all intrinsically similar. I have always had an affinity for the weather and hurricanes in particular since being in Charlotte during Hugo. The best way I can describe the thrill that I and others like me get from being in a hurricane is take the most euphoric moment you have ever had and add a dash of potential mortality and sense of wonder and then you just might begin to grasp the notion that not everyone is bound to their primal fear of storms. Describing an emotion with words hardly does it justice. You would be ill advised to simply dismiss someone as "fucked up" because you are unable to comprehend what gives them fulfillment."

I completely agree with HockeyRoman. That's how I felt with Hugo, not so much in...2003? When some hurricane rolled around Raleigh. Then of course there was the "hurricane day" in 2002 with cancelled classes...and it was the prettiest day ever.

9/5/2008 11:43:01 AM

Mitch: the sky was black and swirly at my house about 7am, I call that rather horrid. I still don't think we'll get much though. And Raleigh certainly won't see shit.

9/5/2008 12:13:35 PM

Its sunny and hot now, if it hits where its supposed to in Myrtle we will get the worst seeing as how we are on the northeast side where the winds are.

9/5/2008 12:18:17 PM

^^So you're telling me all the meteorologists are full of shit based on your observation of the clouds? They're calling for 20-30mph winds and 3-5 inches of rain here in Raleigh. No disaster, but not "shit". And you'll probably be on the east side of the eyewall, where the surge is worst. Have fun...

[Edited on September 5, 2008 at 1:30 PM. Reason : rabble rabble i'm tough]

9/5/2008 1:29:48 PM

Well...30mph winds really aren't shit. We see those all the time.
5" of rain at one time on the other hand could screw up some stuff.
I'd be more worried about saturated soil from Hanna being followed by high winds from Ike...that'd make a mess of some trees.

On another note, I don't have to be prepositioned for hurricane response with the forest service.
Now I'd only have to help if it got bad afterwards (which i don't mind at all).
Right now the forest service has around 7-10 people helping with nc emergency management.
We've also got eight 13 man chainsaw taskforces (a chainsaw taskforce is 5 saws and a forklift) and 20 two person chainsaw crews ready to go.
Running a saw wouldn't be bad at all...I just hope I don't have to go retrieve caskets & bodies or dispose of drowned pork.

9/5/2008 2:04:48 PM

Yeah but Ike is now not a threat to NC from the last report I saw.

9/5/2008 3:02:20 PM

Dear Iceland/Greenland/Ireland...ya'll need to watch the fuck out!

9/5/2008 3:38:56 PM

Track has started shifting east again, Raleigh downgraded to 15-25 mph winds and 2-4 inches of rain.

9/5/2008 4:59:37 PM

yep

storm as of 5pm eastern is more east than it was at 2pm and even more east than it was at 11am

9/5/2008 5:30:11 PM

The three day rain totals look real good.

9/5/2008 6:06:02 PM

Convection has really exploded over hanna's center. The gulf stream is really living up to its potential.

9/5/2008 6:40:08 PM

raleigh will have more than 15-25 mph winds...that's a little too much on the light side

9/5/2008 7:46:50 PM

That was sustained, not gusts btw

9/5/2008 7:56:53 PM

Yeah according to the fish we have a 50/50 chance of tropical storm force sustained winds. That's 39+mph...gusts could be higher. Spotty power outages could be possible...along with minor street flooding. Luckily ncsu shouldn't have any power issues.

Quote :

"The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a High Wind Warning...which is in effect from 11 PM this evening to 4 PM Saturday. Winds from the east and northeast will increase to 35 to 40 mph late tonight into Saturday morning... with gusts of near 50 mph possible. The strongest winds will likely occur between 4 am and 2 PM. These winds will likely occur for 3 to 4 hours at any one spot."

Ike is looking better as well.

[Edited on September 5, 2008 at 8:17 PM. Reason : asdf]

9/5/2008 8:11:30 PM

FWIW, i think Fish said that before they shifted the track back east... we'll see

9/5/2008 8:44:19 PM

i live in charleston and people here have been acting like hugo is coming again. it is driving me nuts. i hope this shit blows over so sunday will be a good fishing day.

9/5/2008 9:40:51 PM

Its been raining for a while here and its gettin gusty now in the ton.

9/5/2008 10:34:10 PM

Hurricane Hunters are finding hurricane force winds in Hanna now, we'll see if it gets upgraded overnight at some point

Wind shear has pushed most of the convection to the west side of the storm, if that holds up it should mean a bigger soaking for us

9/5/2008 10:51:15 PM

I moved out of Raleigh too soon. Enjoy.

9/5/2008 11:27:51 PM

No biggie around here...nice needed rains...I think Isabel gave us worse winds around here.

9/6/2008 1:11:00 AM

Raining pretty good in S.Raleigh, seems to have calmed down quite a bit from an hour or two ago, but Avent Ferry and Trailwood is flooded, again

9/6/2008 2:21:40 AM