HCH All American 3895 Posts user info edit post |
Just saw lightning. Mark your calenders for snow 10 days from today. 12/30/2015 10:18:19 AM |
ussjbroli All American 4518 Posts user info edit post |
We had a storm last week too, I don't see any snow in the next couple days 12/30/2015 10:22:19 AM |
Dynasty2004 Bawls 5859 Posts user info edit post |
Thunder and Lightning right now. 12/30/2015 10:29:44 AM |
dtownral Suspended 26632 Posts user info edit post |
^^ new storm reset the timer, weather is a jerk 12/30/2015 10:43:04 AM |
HCH All American 3895 Posts user info edit post |
^^^ You must be fun at parties. 12/30/2015 10:47:34 AM |
wdprice3 BinaryBuffonary 45912 Posts user info edit post |
5^ it's true 3% of the time everytime. 12/30/2015 6:41:00 PM |
Novicane All American 15416 Posts user info edit post |
more crazy predictions for January from a diff source.
Quote : | "* ALERT ** SNOWSTORM THREAT FOR EAST COAST -- from western NC into all of VA WVA MD DEL central/ eastern PA central eastern NY all of NJ CT into all of New England
I have been talking about this THREAT here and over on the website ...since December 28 and the model data this morning is quite strong that the first significant East Coast winter storm is going to develop January 11-12. We can say this with some confidence because the overall strong signals been given off by the atmospheric patterns on the weather models JAN 2 to JAN 15.
When all the four important atmospheric pattern indices or what we call Teleconnections are this strong ...it becomes easier to forecast significant winter storms and the weather models do a better job of detecting them especially beyond five or six days.
Keep in mind we are not forecasting a specific temperature for specific location 6 days or 10 days from now. That sort of specific temperature forecasting is really not possible with any sort of reliability even though it's very popular to see the such temperatures on your smart phone weather Apps or on the various websites.
All that being said let's be clear. We are NOT yet forecasting East Coast winter storm for January 11 - 12. What we are saying is that the potential is very high because the atmospheric patterns / teleconnections are very strong and closely match the atmospheric patterns that existed when we had other major East Coast winter storms.
Of course it is reasonable to be somewhat skeptical as this is still 10 days away, But there are meteorologists that do study these patterns and do research on them ( I am one of them). Over the past 20 years in fact there been several important books and research papers and monographs on significant East Coast winter storms.
I know this kind of forecast is not going to show up on those silly weather smart phones Apps . And I know similar forecasts are not going to show up on TWC or Accuweather or some other website that you might go to. What we are talking here is cutting edge meteorology - it is what I do.
There are still of course a number of different possibilities here. This could be a snow to rain event on the coast and more snow inland and over the mountains ...OR this could be a mostly coastal event with the heaviest precipitation on the coastal areas. It is also possible that the main event might slide off the coast ...although I doubt that based on what I am seeing right now" |
12/31/2015 12:39:42 PM |
wdprice3 BinaryBuffonary 45912 Posts user info edit post |
and that source would be? 12/31/2015 5:23:58 PM |
BubbleBobble Super Duper Veteran 114363 Posts user info edit post |
that source.... is Jesus 12/31/2015 5:59:12 PM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
I don't have a problem with the above statement all the guy seems to be saying is models and history are saying the chances are favorable for a storm in that time frame. 12/31/2015 6:49:42 PM |
moron All American 34142 Posts user info edit post |
snowing in raleigh 1/4/2016 1:55:23 PM |
BridgetSPK #1 Sir Purr Fan 31378 Posts user info edit post |
Durham too! 1/4/2016 2:15:23 PM |
HCH All American 3895 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "Just saw lightning. Mark your calenders for snow 10 days from today." |
Didnt even need 10 days. For all the haters.1/4/2016 2:55:35 PM |
krallum2016 All American 1356 Posts user info edit post |
lol durham. yeah im not in the hood lmao 1/4/2016 3:06:25 PM |
wdprice3 BinaryBuffonary 45912 Posts user info edit post |
[Edited on January 4, 2016 at 4:10 PM. Reason : bigmanfixdisshit]
And sorry, it's 13% of the time, everytime.
THUNDERSNOW http://climate.ncsu.edu/climateblog?id=55
[Edited on January 4, 2016 at 4:11 PM. Reason : ADD ANOTHER NOTE]1/4/2016 4:08:59 PM |
dtownral Suspended 26632 Posts user info edit post |
outer banks now
1/5/2016 1:17:15 PM |
Novicane All American 15416 Posts user info edit post |
No talk lately, looks like everyone wrong 1/7/2016 1:09:55 PM |
wdprice3 BinaryBuffonary 45912 Posts user info edit post |
fake, internet meteorologists were wrong? GIT OUDDA HEEEYA! 1/7/2016 1:49:12 PM |
TKE-Teg All American 43410 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "Didnt even need 10 days. For all the haters." |
How fucking pathetic/desparate do you have to be to claim that a handful of flakes equates to actual snowfall?1/7/2016 2:17:03 PM |
JP All American 16807 Posts user info edit post |
That Greenland block doeeeee 1/7/2016 2:28:05 PM |
HCH All American 3895 Posts user info edit post |
^^More pathetic than desperate. But this is TWW, so arent we all? 1/7/2016 2:41:25 PM |
marko Tom Joad 72828 Posts user info edit post |
s[no]w 1/7/2016 3:14:52 PM |
EMCE balls deep 89771 Posts user info edit post |
I can't remember a time we've gone this far into winter without snow. This is odd for the mid Atlantic 1/7/2016 3:16:32 PM |
eleusis All American 24527 Posts user info edit post |
don't jinx it; I'm enjoying not having to clear my steps and driveway so far this winter. 1/7/2016 4:35:31 PM |
Novicane All American 15416 Posts user info edit post |
Im sure mother nature is saving it all for when my wife goes into labor in feb 1/7/2016 4:40:32 PM |
Jabbo All American 1285 Posts user info edit post |
Last night Fishel teased a possible "significant" winter event for the week after next. 1/9/2016 7:55:19 PM |
Novicane All American 15416 Posts user info edit post |
hearing the same. 1/9/2016 8:09:31 PM |
dtownral Suspended 26632 Posts user info edit post |
3"-5" on the 17th 1/9/2016 8:11:48 PM |
natureboy All American 2803 Posts user info edit post |
I hope this is true. Where are the maps of it? 1/9/2016 10:14:25 PM |
seedless All American 27142 Posts user info edit post |
If this is true I'm putting in my PTO now and planning a out-of-state mini-vaca
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA 1/9/2016 10:49:26 PM |
beatsunc All American 10748 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "Last night Fishel teased a possible "significant" winter event for the week after next." |
dude needs to jump in a fountain again. in NC they dont even know if its going to snow or just freezing rain 6 hours from now1/10/2016 7:29:43 AM |
Novicane All American 15416 Posts user info edit post |
i don't think models officially update until tomorrow, so a lot of drum beaters are holding off. 1/10/2016 7:39:59 AM |
Nighthawk All American 19623 Posts user info edit post |
Of course this would be the weekend I am heading to Charleston! 1/10/2016 8:45:10 AM |
Novicane All American 15416 Posts user info edit post |
http://www.severewxwarn.com/carolina-s-could-see-it-s-first-snow-storm-of-2016-next-week.html
Quote : | "Here's what we do know so far. The models have been showing on and off a chance that this system will present itself sometime early to mid week and the amounts have been all over the map (literally) as they usually are this far out" |
1/10/2016 8:47:44 PM |
dmspack oh we back 25537 Posts user info edit post |
i for one would be cool with it snowing 1/10/2016 8:58:46 PM |
BridgetSPK #1 Sir Purr Fan 31378 Posts user info edit post |
A solid 6 to 8 inches is welcome in the Raleigh area. 1/10/2016 9:02:28 PM |
dmspack oh we back 25537 Posts user info edit post |
1/10/2016 9:10:02 PM |
Exiled Eyes up here ^^ 5918 Posts user info edit post |
I would prefer a Monday-Tuesday snow event...if only because I already have Monday off for MLK day, and a Sunday storm would likely not benefit me 1/11/2016 9:24:01 AM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
Yeah if snow isnt gonna get me out of work then fuck it snowing. 1/11/2016 9:43:55 AM |
wdprice3 BinaryBuffonary 45912 Posts user info edit post |
If I have one complaint about where I work, it's that there really isn't a hazardous weather policy (at least not one activated for snow). I'm not asking for the company to act like NC schools, but at least provide some "closed" office hours. In the end, no one cares/will say anything if you work from home (if you can), come in late/leave early, or just take the day off. So I guess that part is cool and I shouldn't complain. But that means you're either taking unpaid leave, PTO, or have to work in some fashion. Most of my work I can't do from home, so bad weather hits me harder than the higher ups who can spend a day at home doing admin shit. We all know at least half the population doesn't know how to drive on wet roads, much less snowy/icy roads. So when traffic is pretty much shutdown and the state is asking people to not be on the roads, I think there should be some leeway as far as work hours, especially in my field (engineering). I'm guessing our policy is a result of the corporate HQ being in NYC. 1/11/2016 9:59:41 AM |
JP All American 16807 Posts user info edit post |
^^^^^^^
Quote : | "DISCLAIMER: THE DATA DISPLAYED HERE ARE INFORMATIONAL ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE USED FOR MAKING LIFE AND DEATH DECISIONS. ALWAYS TAKE THE WORD OF OFFICIAL SOURCES - THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AND YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE - WHEN PREPARING FOR ANY POTENTIAL STORM IMPACT. IF ANYTHING ON THESE PLOTS CAUSES CONFUSION, DISREGARD THE INFORMATION IN ITS ENTIRETY. THE AVAILABILITY, TIMELINESS, AND RELIABILITY OF THESE DATA ARE NOT GUARANTEED, AND NO LIABILITY IS IMPLIED OR EXPRESSED BY YOUR USE OF THIS WEBSITE. " |
1/11/2016 10:21:35 AM |
TKE-Teg All American 43410 Posts user info edit post |
we ready! 1/11/2016 4:34:06 PM |
Novicane All American 15416 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "Nice run of the GFS for a southeast winter storm next tuesday/wednesday 1/19-20. Similar to 00z Canadian. Todays 12z guidance is definitely showing we need to watch in particular the Jan 16th to Jan 24th at time frame for SE wintry chances. " |
1/11/2016 6:19:48 PM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
Cold rain 1/12/2016 9:24:31 AM |
darkone (\/) (;,,,;) (\/) 11610 Posts user info edit post |
If you rely on the GFS past 120 hours, you're going to have a bad time. 1/12/2016 5:25:37 PM |
natureboy All American 2803 Posts user info edit post |
Bring on the snow!!! 1/12/2016 9:00:33 PM |
seedless All American 27142 Posts user info edit post |
Does GMaps give you the weather forecast on your route?
I'm fittin' to roll out and I need to know these things, know what I'm saying? 1/12/2016 9:07:32 PM |
Novicane All American 15416 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "12z GFS - All out winter storm for areas west of I-95 or Classic Carolina Snowstorm with several inches of snow POSSIBLE. This is just model interpretation and NOT a forecast. However, I am growing more excited by each new model run. IF we get the European and CMC on board today then I would say it is a much better bet." |
Cant copy photo on iphone1/13/2016 12:07:42 PM |
LudaChris All American 7946 Posts user info edit post |
Most sites I saw posted a chance of snow for Sunday...then they all went away....now you're saying they're going to come back?
NC Weather is a cock-tease. 1/13/2016 12:10:30 PM |
krallum2016 All American 1356 Posts user info edit post |
I'll believe it when I'm eating snow cream
[Edited on January 13, 2016 at 12:29 PM. Reason : and growing a 3rd dick with all dat chemtrail juice] 1/13/2016 12:29:04 PM |