NyM410 J-E-T-S 50085 Posts user info edit post |
LOL, worst storm ever. Probably going to be done snowing in about 10 minutes looking at the radar. 1/10/2011 3:46:30 PM |
BDubLS1 All American 10406 Posts user info edit post |
the new discussion explains it throrougly..
as senez posted above, they said that the current forcing was ending and there would be a lull... but as the low deepens and moves up the coast, there should be more coverage of precip tonight and overnight
Quote : | "WE ARE LIKELY TO SEE THIS RELATIVE LULL IN THE MORE SUBSTANTIAL PRECIP PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS THE ABOVE-NOTED FORCING MECHANISMS WANE. FROM VERY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING... FOCUSED ASCENT SHOULD BEGIN ANEW WITH THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE ALONG THE NORTHWARD-MOVING 850 MB WARM FRONT AND WITH ANOTHER SHOT OF MID LEVEL DPVA AS THE WAVE OVER THE LOWER MISS VALLEY APPROACHES. BUT AT THE SAME TIME THE UPPER LEVELS WILL GRADUALLY DRY OUT ABOVE -10C... THUS WE EXPECT A TRANSITION TO MOSTLY SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH STARTING THIS EVENING. WE`VE ALREADY SEEN BRIEF CHANGES BACK AND FORTH BETWEEN FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW AS THE PRECIP RATES VARY WITH THE DRYING ALOFT. AFTER MIDNIGHT... EXPECT MOSTLY SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN NW OF A LINE FROM BADIN LAKE TO DURHAM TO WARRENTON... WITH MAINLY FREEZING RAIN ELSEWHERE.
" |
[Edited on January 10, 2011 at 3:47 PM. Reason : ya]1/10/2011 3:46:54 PM |
TKE-Teg All American 43410 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "snowing outside my window - office is on 40 right near the airport." |
I work in Morrisville just off Airport Blvd 1 1/2 miles south of the airport.
Just started snowing hard here.1/10/2011 3:47:19 PM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
That's all she wrote folks see you at work tomorrow 1/10/2011 3:53:44 PM |
sparky Garage Mod 12301 Posts user info edit post |
wow.....the band of precip broke up right when it got over my house in NW Raleigh. Nothing but some flurries and not much else behind it. What a bunch of shit this storm turned out to be. 1/10/2011 4:04:53 PM |
zeldakitten Veteran 125 Posts user info edit post |
6'' in my backyard in Raeford 1/10/2011 4:12:53 PM |
TKE-Teg All American 43410 Posts user info edit post |
Fuck this, what a bunch of horseshit. Not a damn thing around here in Raleigh 1/10/2011 5:06:55 PM |
BDubLS1 All American 10406 Posts user info edit post |
we have about half inch in fuquay and it iscoming down again really heavy 1/10/2011 5:11:55 PM |
CEmann All American 1913 Posts user info edit post |
us air just canceled my flight tomorrow, looks like that one snow flake at rdu stuck 1/10/2011 5:28:35 PM |
TKE-Teg All American 43410 Posts user info edit post |
What an epic fail for weather forecasters around Raleigh. Those guys didn't know their asses from holes in the ground this go around. I don't see the sense in trying to modify any of my plans with "experts" that can't call this stuff a few days in advance...or even a DAY in advance. 1/10/2011 11:40:18 PM |
joepeshi All American 8094 Posts user info edit post |
Greg Fishel said it wasn't going to be a big deal in the Triangle. What are you talking about? 1/11/2011 12:04:18 AM |
craptastic All American 6115 Posts user info edit post |
^^People less than an hour away from us got 6-8 inches of snow, plus sleet and freezing rain. Close enough for me. 1/11/2011 2:08:23 AM |
BDubLS1 All American 10406 Posts user info edit post |
yeah, he actually nailed it pretty well.. he said that the moisture would have a very very tough time getting through the dry air and it would be more ice than snow for us. he also nailed the timing, saying mid-late afternoon for the start of it... 1/11/2011 6:35:03 AM |
TKE-Teg All American 43410 Posts user info edit post |
meh, i guess so 1/11/2011 10:05:56 AM |
sparky Garage Mod 12301 Posts user info edit post |
ok so when's the next storm? 1/12/2011 10:18:59 AM |
Senez All American 8112 Posts user info edit post |
Next Wednesday. 1/12/2011 10:28:39 AM |
se7entythree YOSHIYOSHI 17377 Posts user info edit post |
it'll be relatively warm then though, right? highs in the 50s or something... 1/12/2011 10:36:28 AM |
Senez All American 8112 Posts user info edit post |
Why are you listening to a meteorologist, anyway? You guys all think we're wrong. 1/12/2011 10:41:08 AM |
TKE-Teg All American 43410 Posts user info edit post |
^you seem to be more accurate than most from what i can tell. 1/12/2011 10:47:28 AM |
se7entythree YOSHIYOSHI 17377 Posts user info edit post |
so is that a yay or a nay on the temp? 1/12/2011 10:55:31 AM |
Senez All American 8112 Posts user info edit post |
Early returns indicate a return to normal temps, so yeah, probably not. 1/12/2011 11:21:50 AM |
TKE-Teg All American 43410 Posts user info edit post |
Can anyone explain why Monday night's storm mostly avoided Raleigh (and just Raleigh)? 1/12/2011 12:22:45 PM |
Dammit100 All American 17605 Posts user info edit post |
It "avoided" anything near I-40 and parts north in NC, not just Raleigh. But, from what I can tell, there was a combination of high pressure to the north blocking the system from coming up as well as it was absurdly dry in Raleigh all day (dewpoints ~9). 1/12/2011 12:30:08 PM |
Senez All American 8112 Posts user info edit post |
1/12/2011 12:32:12 PM |
KeB All American 9828 Posts user info edit post |
the beach gets 3-4+ inches and we get shafted...
typical raleigh snowstorm... 1/12/2011 3:01:47 PM |
joepeshi All American 8094 Posts user info edit post |
How cold will it get in the next few weeks. Signs pointing towards another cool down after a brief warm up? 1/13/2011 12:46:42 AM |
Senez All American 8112 Posts user info edit post |
The end of next week might be a little cool, but not as cold as the last few days have been. Probably into the mid 40s, I would guess. Hard to say right now. 1/13/2011 7:55:03 AM |
Gzusfrk All American 2988 Posts user info edit post |
Alright meteorologists, what are our chances of winter weather Monday night and Tuesday of next week? I'm hearing rumor of snow and/or ice.
Also--eyewall, you've taken down your website! When will you have it back up??
[Edited on January 20, 2011 at 9:17 AM. Reason : ] 1/20/2011 9:14:50 AM |
quagmire02 All American 44225 Posts user info edit post |
i'm down for it 1/20/2011 9:16:19 AM |
Senez All American 8112 Posts user info edit post |
The problem with this upcoming situation is a more typical Miller A scenario. There's going to be the haves and the have nots here. Some all snow, some mostly rain.
Right now, it looks west of the Triangle will see snow and from the Triangle east will see mostly rain with some snow.
Something like this:
It just gives you guys more fodder for the "meteorologists don't know shit" argument.
[Edited on January 20, 2011 at 10:54 AM. Reason : ] 1/20/2011 10:39:53 AM |
sparky Garage Mod 12301 Posts user info edit post |
its going to be too warm. we wont' see shit. 1/20/2011 12:31:54 PM |
Senez All American 8112 Posts user info edit post |
sparky with the forecast. my work is done. 1/20/2011 2:27:07 PM |
YOMAMA Suspended 6218 Posts user info edit post |
ibtff 1/21/2011 11:51:00 AM |
BDubLS1 All American 10406 Posts user info edit post |
What's the NAM say? 1/22/2011 12:22:02 PM |
joepeshi All American 8094 Posts user info edit post |
Looks like they're getting a nice little snowstorm at the beach!
http://obxcams.com/ 1/22/2011 1:28:04 PM |
BDubLS1 All American 10406 Posts user info edit post |
I predict mostly rain for Raleigh...based on the timing, the warm nose, and the narrow transition setting up to our west. 1/22/2011 6:27:45 PM |
TenaciousC All American 6307 Posts user info edit post |
1/22/2011 6:28:18 PM |
eyewall41 All American 2262 Posts user info edit post |
I would have to agree and say fail for central NC on this upcoming storm with the inland track, transient parent high (so no cold air feed), and warm air aloft in the mid levels (warm nose). I would say if you are east of I-77 rent a movie. 1/22/2011 7:52:26 PM |
modlin All American 2642 Posts user info edit post |
Drove to Beaufort yesterday to see the in-laws.
It has indeed been snowing all day long. Prob 4" in the front yard right now.
I packed a long sleeve t-shirt and a fleece vest. 1/22/2011 8:21:41 PM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
It ain't gonna do shit, unless you are a fan of heavy cold rain that is 1/23/2011 5:17:49 PM |
Senez All American 8112 Posts user info edit post |
s[NO]w in Raleigh! 1/25/2011 7:00:48 AM |
sparky Garage Mod 12301 Posts user info edit post |
1/25/2011 12:46:54 PM |
craptastic All American 6115 Posts user info edit post |
Feb 1-3? 1/26/2011 6:01:45 PM |
YOMAMA Suspended 6218 Posts user info edit post |
so Greg Fishel says we have seen our snow for the year...... discuss 1/27/2011 7:23:13 AM |
wdprice3 BinaryBuffonary 45912 Posts user info edit post |
probably 1/27/2011 7:23:52 AM |
Senez All American 8112 Posts user info edit post |
Almost an exact repeat of what we just saw.1/27/2011 8:09:21 AM |
sparky Garage Mod 12301 Posts user info edit post |
yeah it seems like we are in a warming trend. saturday's high is going to be close to 60. spring is on its way. 1/27/2011 9:28:24 AM |
TKE-Teg All American 43410 Posts user info edit post |
blasphemy! we're only 1/3 of the way through winter. 1/27/2011 9:35:59 AM |
BDubLS1 All American 10406 Posts user info edit post |
we've had some of our biggest snows in late february/early march 1/27/2011 3:57:24 PM |
KeB All American 9828 Posts user info edit post |
^this
don't let that warming fool you.. 1/27/2011 4:09:24 PM |