now, I've only analyzed the current president, and there are 42 others prior to him, but I'll be damned I dont think theres any other president that fits an Exponential Decay Curve with such precision. I mean, this has an R-squared fit of 95% !

seriously, if you want to see where GWB is at some point in time, just use this formula:

            GWB Approval = 81.78 * exp (-0.0005 * num days post-Sept11)

9/25/2007 3:36:02 PM

what is ETD? when he leaves office? The low 20's doesn't seem that far from where he is now.

9/25/2007 3:38:40 PM

Maybe its an inverted bell curve and he ends up with an approval rating in the low 90s by the end of his fourth term.

9/25/2007 3:40:00 PM

^^ I'm kind of partial to "Estimated time of Dispatch."

and yes, around 20% -- hence the 'exponential' decay.

Ouevre can describe how exponentials function. he's the expert.

Quote :

"by the end of his fourth term"

^ LOL





[Edited on September 25, 2007 at 3:42 PM. Reason : ]

9/25/2007 3:40:32 PM

IBTL

9/25/2007 3:52:13 PM

You really should print your R^2 value so that we can see how well of a fit your line is. I'm not saying that there isn't a definite trend, but we should at least be able to tell at a glance whether or not your data is statistically significant.

[/nit-picking]

9/25/2007 4:59:29 PM

I'm personally more familiar with exponential growth.

I imagine most people are.

That could the be cause of Oeuvre's confusion.

9/25/2007 5:45:29 PM

Quote :

"You really should print your R^2 value so that we can see how well of a fit your line is"

i mentioned it earlier, its actually pretty damn good

R^2 = 0.946

9/25/2007 6:01:17 PM

*clever*

9/25/2007 6:01:23 PM

After 9/11, he had nowhere to go but down

9/25/2007 6:07:40 PM

down?

you mean down as in down lower than even Nixon?

9/25/2007 6:12:55 PM

The Presidency of the United States of America is clearly a popularity contest, nothing more

also doesnt GWB have the highest approval rating ever (right after 9/11)?

[Edited on September 25, 2007 at 6:27 PM. Reason : .]

9/25/2007 6:17:28 PM

AT LEAST HE ISN'T CONGRESS!!!

9/25/2007 6:36:55 PM

^^ B-b-b-but Clinton! *sputter*

9/25/2007 6:43:03 PM

who exactly brought up clinton?

9/25/2007 6:44:29 PM

Quote :

"The Presidency of the United States of America is clearly a popularity contest, nothing more"

Scott Adams hit the nail on the head with Dilbert yesterday

9/25/2007 7:19:08 PM

I'm just waiting for the 2008 election, and everyone to start bitching about that president too.

9/25/2007 7:22:13 PM

at least then it will be some new material...dubya jokes have been played out for years

9/25/2007 7:25:54 PM

Yes, presidents tend to be bad.

We'd do better without masters.

9/25/2007 7:37:24 PM

^ i just threw up in my mouth a little

9/25/2007 7:41:06 PM

Still, I have hard time imagining the next commander being as bad as Bush.

9/25/2007 7:43:13 PM

Bush repealed some of the Brady laws for 10+1 mag limits...gg Bush...new President can't take those from me, grandfathered in bitch!

9/25/2007 7:55:38 PM

^^^^ *carl face*




[Edited on September 25, 2007 at 7:57 PM. Reason : ]

9/25/2007 7:56:46 PM

dubya jokes are played out?
psshhh.

not when he continues to give us grade-A material like this (from press conference last week)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vUjgU2YXomw

9/25/2007 7:57:28 PM

he might keep coming with new material, but the same premise of "dumb stutterer" is older than every thread in chit chat

jon stewart stopped being funny like 2 years ago, thank god he has his correspondents

[Edited on September 25, 2007 at 8:00 PM. Reason : .]

9/25/2007 7:59:53 PM

well, maybe he'll stop stuttering dumb things, then?

9/25/2007 8:10:20 PM

JON STEWART, YALL

haha, props to whoever edited this.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sR0XXPZUDQU&NR=1

9/25/2007 8:12:32 PM

Quote :

"i mentioned it earlier, its actually pretty damn good"

You can tell that I didn't read your post.

9/25/2007 8:29:09 PM

You mind if I share this with my coworkers Joe? We're all stat-nerds by training, and I'm sure they'd get a tickle out of this no matter where their politics are.

9/25/2007 11:36:01 PM

hey knock yourself out. enjoy :-)



(although be careful,... i showed it to our staff scientist, she said the data looked more hyperbolic than exponential. fuckin PhDs, i swear )

9/25/2007 11:56:04 PM