All concerned about the future of the Republic should prepare to burn Speaker Boehner in effigy next year: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/10/g-o-p-has-2-in-3-chance-of-taking-house-model-forecasts/

9/10/2010 10:48:18 PM

Gridlock might be a good thing.

It worked wonders for Clinton, making him work with Republicans to balance the budget, pass welfare reform, and just get shit done.

9/10/2010 10:55:47 PM

I'm not sure the Rethugs will be so kind today

too much teabaggerism all around

9/10/2010 10:57:49 PM

^This worries me to no small extent. I agree that an executive and legislative split between two parties could be beneficial, but even with their minority the Republicans are making incredible asses of themselves. God only knows what they'd try to pull with a majority.

Then again, given how unpopular congress remained even after switching hands, half of them would just be out on their asses again in 2012 anyway.

9/10/2010 11:21:42 PM

Aww, Krystal Ball is given a 99.9 chance of losing on that according to the accompanying map.

It says a definite win for Virgina Foxx (100%), Michelle Bachmann (98.8%), Walter Jones (NC Tea Party, 100%) and Joe "you lie" Wilson (99.9%).

9/10/2010 11:26:07 PM

From the article:

Quote :

"Republicans have a two-in-three chance of claiming a majority of House seats in November, the FiveThirtyEight forecasting model estimates. And their gains could potentially rival or exceed those made in 1994"

Good-bye comprehensive sex ed in NC, good-bye embryonic stem cell research, good-bye any chance of DOMA repeal, good-bye any chance of UAFA being a part of comprehensive immigration reform, good-bye any further campaign finance reform responses to the conservative SCOTUS citizen united ruling… hello further restrictions on abortions to make them more difficult to access, hello more war advocates in congress, hello extended tax cuts for the ultra-wealthy, hello further attempts to amend the us constitution to prohibit gay couples from getting married, hello more intelligent design debates, hello oil & environmental deregulation, hello tea party with its first real taste of power.

At least we’ll finally have a balance against our secret muslim president who is out to destroy America with school education addresses that parents pull their kids out of b/c glenn beck tells them to avoid such communist tactics.

9/11/2010 12:50:30 AM

Quote :

"God only knows what they'd try to pull with a majority."

They might try shutting down the government, like they did last time, which was friggin' awesome!

9/11/2010 8:22:36 AM

a challenger appears: http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2010/Senate/Maps/Sep11-s.html#2

9/11/2010 7:59:26 PM

I can’t fathom the mindset it takes to vote for michelle bachman.

9/11/2010 9:27:59 PM

hatred for those who are different

the sine qua non of conservatism

9/11/2010 9:39:49 PM

33% though is nothing to shake a stick at, as Nate himself will tell you.

9/11/2010 9:42:42 PM

That's much lower than what I had previously thought was the chance of keeping Pelosi running the ship (60%).

9/11/2010 9:54:24 PM

From Nate today:
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/09/13/2-insurgents-could-hurt-g-o-p-chances-for-senate-takeover/?partner=rss&emc=rss

2 Insurgents Could Hurt G.O.P. Chances for Senate Takeover

9/13/2010 12:31:26 PM