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Flyin Ryan
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McConnell immediately declared winner in Kentucky.

11/4/2014 7:08:45 PM

Flyin Ryan
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Lindsey Graham and Tim Scott (a black Republican!) win senator elections in South Carolina (Scott's a special election).

11/4/2014 7:19:10 PM

Flyin Ryan
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First switch of the night in the Senate: Shelley Moore Capito (Rep.) takes over the seat of the retiring Jay Rockefeller (Dem.) in West Virginia.

11/4/2014 7:48:09 PM

Flyin Ryan
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Pennsylvania governor Jim Corbett was upset by his challenger. There was a grassroots effort to oust him because of his role in the Joe Paterno thing...

Incumbents having a rough go of it: Virginia Senator Warner, Florida Governor Crist

Incumbents that look like they'll win: North Carolina Senator Hagan, New Hampshire Senator Shaheen

11/4/2014 8:19:09 PM

theDuke866
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Crist is a former Gov, but not the incumbent.

Also, last polls I saw were dead-even.

11/4/2014 8:34:44 PM

The E Man
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who did grimes vote for tho...

11/4/2014 9:03:55 PM

OopsPowSrprs
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Warner is a shock. Was polling 10 pts ahead. Now will prob go to recount

11/4/2014 9:20:19 PM

Flyin Ryan
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Virginia: Democratic incumbent Mark Warner, expected to win much easier, is with most of the vote in still behind former George W. Bush staffer Ed Gillespie. The remaining parts of the state to report are Democrat-leaning, but Warner may lose this. This is probably going to have a recount regardless. With 87% in, Gillespie is up 6400 votes.

New Hampshire: Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen has win.

North Carolina: Not called yet, but knowing the North Carolina political map and seeing the colors of counties, Democratic incumbent Kay Hagan I think will win.

Kansas: Independent candidate Greg Orman and Republican candidate Pat Roberts are tight.

Louisiana: uses a French-style jungle primary. If no candidates gets 50% plus one, it goes to a runoff next month. There will be a runoff between Democratic incumbent Mary Landrieu and one of the two Republican candidates Bill Cassidy.

Republicans needed 6 seats to take control of the Senate. They have 3 so far having taken the seats in West Virginia, Arkansas, and South Dakota.

...and there's always a tight election in Florida. The governor's race is within 1%.

11/4/2014 9:46:25 PM

Flyin Ryan
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4th pickup for the Republicans as CNN calls Montana for the Republican candidate.

11/4/2014 10:01:19 PM

bdmazur
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Renee Ellmers is an idiot.

Those of you who vote in NC District 2 are bigger idiots.

Quote :
"Crist is a former Gov, but not the incumbent."


It is worth noting he was formerly Governor as a republican and he's now running as a democrat.

Quote :
"Louisiana: uses a French-style jungle primary. If no candidates gets 50% plus one, it goes to a runoff next month"


That's the way it should always be. No candidate should represent 100% of a state with less than 50% of the vote. Automatic runoff balloting would be even better so there doesn't have to be a second campaign period.

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 10:05 PM. Reason : -]

11/4/2014 10:02:24 PM

Flyin Ryan
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^ Before I moved to Indiana, I used to vote in NC-2. Then in 2012 when they redistricted they put me and a lot of Rocky Mount in the majority black NC-1 district because northeastern North Carolina lost population, in turn making NC-2 more conservative. It was the district for Etheridge (a traditional country Democrat) until 2010 when he lost in a landslide year.

Quote :
"That's the way it should always be. No candidate should represent 100% of a state with less than 50% of the vote. Automatic runoff balloting would be even better so there doesn't have to be a second campaign period."


I'd be in favor of jungle primaries/automatic runoffs as well. Georgia also has the runoff rule, although I think the winner there will get more than 50%.

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 10:08 PM. Reason : /]

11/4/2014 10:06:05 PM

Nighthawk
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Is Clay Aiken really better then Renee? I was not impressed by either choice when I went to vote.

Also Tillis has a 2% lead with 81% reporting.

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 10:08 PM. Reason : ]

11/4/2014 10:07:36 PM

Flyin Ryan
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^ CNN says Mecklenburg County is only 25% in. Maybe they're "looking for votes".

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 10:09 PM. Reason : /]

11/4/2014 10:09:05 PM

OopsPowSrprs
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Warner will win. He crushed Fairfax county

11/4/2014 10:15:39 PM

bdmazur
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^^^I'd rather NC have one less vote than have Renee Ellmers keep getting elected to Congress.

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 10:16 PM. Reason : -]

11/4/2014 10:15:50 PM

Flyin Ryan
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^ well the Democrats could've put forward a better candidate than an American Idol celebrity, that's little better than the Republicans putting Richard Petty forth for Secretary of State long ago

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 10:19 PM. Reason : .]

11/4/2014 10:16:59 PM

Flyin Ryan
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CNN analysts arguing about most of the Democratic candidates choosing to not have Obama stump for them.

Shaheen in New Hampshire has been declared the winner by the news networks but her gap from actual votes counted keeps going down. She's now up only 3900 votes with 60% in.

Republican pickups #4 and #5 in Montana (expected) and Colorado (where Senator Udall has been defeated), one more net pickup will get them the Senate.

Republicans will take the Senate.

Warner is up 2500 votes with 92% of the vote in. Tillis is up 33000 votes with 86% of the vote in.

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 10:29 PM. Reason : .]

11/4/2014 10:26:08 PM

Master_Yoda
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With CNN reporting 1 seat left needed, and they havent called NC which is pretty much won now, I think its over. GOP takes.

11/4/2014 10:30:17 PM

Flyin Ryan
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Per the NY Times website, for Hagan-Tillis,

Mecklenburg (Charlotte) is half in.
Perquimans (Elizabeth City), Lenoir (Kinston), Craven (New Bern), and Columbus (west of Wilmington on the S.C. border) have hardly reported anything.

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 10:37 PM. Reason : .]

11/4/2014 10:35:28 PM

GoldieO
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60% in now in Meck, 117 of 195 precincts. Been slow all night in Mecklenburg. But a large number of outstanding precincts are in GOP strong northern part of the county, although Dem leaning UNC-Charlotte area is still outstanding as well.

11/4/2014 10:37:38 PM

Master_Yoda
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Lenoir is also 80% and all thats left is the farm areas which is probably GOP supporting.

Columbus Co is no where near wilmington. Id ignore it.

Craven has been in. It went to Thom.

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 10:41 PM. Reason : .]

CNN reporting GOP wins Georgia

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 10:43 PM. Reason : .]

11/4/2014 10:41:14 PM

Nighthawk
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NYT is behind WRAL and other local stations, who are showing Tillis up by 100k with 92% reporting. It hasn't been called, but I think Kay is done.

11/4/2014 10:44:01 PM

GoldieO
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Should TWW be the first major media outlet to call the race for Tillis?

11/4/2014 10:47:23 PM

Master_Yoda
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^ Go for it!

^^ Agreed. Even if Meck only votes Hagan the rest of the way, its not 100k votes

Also half of Johnston Co isnt in yet, and its strong Tillis.

11/4/2014 10:48:33 PM

Nighthawk
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This is the most up to date source for results:

http://enr.ncsbe.gov/electionresults/

Per this, With 95.05% in, Tillis is ahead by About 53k.

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 10:55 PM. Reason : ]

11/4/2014 10:54:18 PM

AndyMac
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Does this mean we get to keep Ebola in Mexico now?

11/4/2014 10:54:32 PM

Flyin Ryan
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Shaheen in NH is now only up 2200 votes with 78% in. She's been declared the winner by I think all the networks, but the gap's going down, and Brown won't concede just yet.

11/4/2014 10:57:54 PM

GoldieO
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161 precincts now reporting in Mecklenburg and Hagan is losing ground, she's less than 59% now.

11/4/2014 10:58:04 PM

Flyin Ryan
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50000 votes and 109 precincts left to report. As the last precincts are coming in the gap is not going down.


"We at The Wolf Web Soap Box have a breaking news projection:

*cue dramatic music

We at The Wolf Web Soap Box now state that Thom Tillis is the Senator-Elect for North Carolina, defeating Kay Hagan."

11/4/2014 11:12:43 PM

Master_Yoda
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CNN is calling Kansas. Thats 50 seats.

11/4/2014 11:15:22 PM

GoldieO
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I can't hang on election night like I used to. 5:30 is going to come early. Looks like I'm going to have to read the paper in the morning and learn about election results the old fashioned way.

11/4/2014 11:21:19 PM

Flyin Ryan
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^ oh come on, it's only 11:20

11/4/2014 11:22:06 PM

moron
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Hagan had a 70% chance of wiNning, so it's a pretty big upset for thillis to win (if he does win). That means democrats would then only have a 3% of keeping the Senate.

11/4/2014 11:24:44 PM

y0willy0
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nate silver didnt do so good tonight

11/4/2014 11:26:45 PM

Master_Yoda
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In other news, all the pot initiatives have passed except Alaska (pending)

im also loving Arizona's "reject unconstitutional federal actions"

11/4/2014 11:27:35 PM

AndyMac
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Quote :
"nate silver didnt do so good tonight
"


Didn't Nate Silver predict a republican win?

11/4/2014 11:28:43 PM

Master_Yoda
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WRAL just called NC Senate for Tillis

(WRAL is reporting via AP, so AP called NC for Tillis)

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 11:34 PM. Reason : .]

11/4/2014 11:31:34 PM

Flyin Ryan
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CNN has just called it for Tillis and CNN says that gives the Republicans the Senate.

11/4/2014 11:34:56 PM

moron
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^^^
He did, but their most likely path to control didn't pan out.

11/4/2014 11:37:43 PM

y0willy0
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^^^^yeah but he still got three states wrong

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 11:38 PM. Reason : -]

11/4/2014 11:38:45 PM

moron
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Looks like 55 seats in Senate for republicans. Not too shabby.

11/4/2014 11:40:22 PM

y0willy0
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ben casselman on twitter - So voters want a higher minimum wage, legal pot, abortion access and GOP representation. Ok then.

11/4/2014 11:41:15 PM

Flyin Ryan
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^^ and a larger House majority, people like Chris Van Hollen, a super-safe Maryland Democrat from the D.C. suburbs, are getting big fights tonight

[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 11:43 PM. Reason : /]

11/4/2014 11:41:38 PM

ShinAntonio
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^^^Not Florida http://www.wtsp.com/story/news/politics/florida/2014/11/04/amendment-2-medical-marijuana/18496413/

11/4/2014 11:42:26 PM

thegoodlife3
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Nate Silver doesn't predict absolutes, he just forecasts probabilities




[Edited on November 4, 2014 at 11:56 PM. Reason : clarification]

11/4/2014 11:50:34 PM

Flyin Ryan
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Brown has called Shaheen to concede in New Hampshire.

Senator Ted Cruz (R-Tex., not up for re-election tonight) deflecting questions on CNN on whether he'll vote for McConnell for Senate Majority Leader. He's talking like a guy planning on running for president.

11/4/2014 11:53:03 PM

moron
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Cruz is Canadian...

11/4/2014 11:54:45 PM

AndyMac
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So I guess this means literally nothing important gets done for the next 2 years? And both parties will blame the other for it?

11/4/2014 11:54:49 PM

Flyin Ryan
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not that long ago we had a Democratic President and Republican control of both houses of Congress, we got a balanced budget out of it

11/4/2014 11:56:20 PM

ComputerGuy
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11/4/2014 11:59:50 PM

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