rjrumfel All American 22989 Posts user info edit post |
First true test for the current administration. 8/25/2017 8:49:14 PM |
The Coz Tempus Fugitive 25674 Posts user info edit post |
SOMEBODY SET UP TEXAS THE BOMB! 8/25/2017 9:27:16 PM |
JT3bucky All American 23242 Posts user info edit post |
Eyewall crossing over now official landfall may be 11:00 pm
It's apparently going to stall and drop rain all weekend...There's no way it stays anything over a Cat2 from here I hope it dies off quickly because that's going to be a huge catastrophe otherwise. 8/25/2017 10:58:03 PM |
The Coz Tempus Fugitive 25674 Posts user info edit post |
Well, it's not looking too good. 8/27/2017 2:47:31 PM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
I imagine the death toll once things start to recede is going to be very bad. Way too many people in Houston didn't leave because they weren't in the path of landfall despite at least a weeks worth of notice that epic rainfall was coming. This may break the all time record for rainfall from a tropical system its quite astonishing how much rain is falling. 8/27/2017 8:45:30 PM |
TreeTwista10 minisoldr 148235 Posts user info edit post |
This is an example of why wind speed / hurricane category # isn't necessarily indicative of damage and danger 8/28/2017 12:08:37 AM |
tulsigabbard Suspended 2953 Posts user info edit post |
it certainly is at the site of landfall 8/28/2017 8:20:50 AM |
afripino All American 11379 Posts user info edit post |
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/potential-tropical-depression-ten-tropical-storm-irma-southeast-coast-florida
[Edited on August 28, 2017 at 10:25 AM. Reason : irmagherd] 8/28/2017 10:24:57 AM |
rjrumfel All American 22989 Posts user info edit post |
We were at Topsail yesterday. Definitely could tell something was up with the surf. 8/28/2017 12:50:28 PM |
eleusis All American 24527 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "I imagine the death toll once things start to recede is going to be very bad. Way too many people in Houston didn't leave because they weren't in the path of landfall despite at least a weeks worth of notice that epic rainfall was coming. " |
The governor was advising people to evacuate Houston while city officials were telling people to hunker down and not leave. If the city didn't have the intelligence to at least advice people in flood prone parts of Houston to find higher ground prior to the storm, even if just somewhere else in the city, then at least some of these deaths will be attributable to the bad advice. Regardless of the final path of the storm, the rainfall was always the biggest concern.
We won't know the death toll of this storm for a couple months though, as they'll have to search homes to find the bodies that were trapped inside.8/28/2017 2:14:28 PM |
darkone (\/) (;,,,;) (\/) 11609 Posts user info edit post |
Folks were told to stay in place by the local government because they didn't have enough lead time to make sure people weren't stuck on the roads. In Houston, the major roadways are designed as flood paths. It's an engineering decision to save property. If flooding hits and the roads are crowded you'll have lots and lots of deaths. It seems odd, but the advice to shelter in place was the safer call. 8/28/2017 2:27:18 PM |
dtownral Suspended 26632 Posts user info edit post |
didn't 100 people die stuck in traffic during rita? 8/28/2017 3:10:05 PM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
They were forecasting the huge amounts of rains a long ways out before he even became a depression again so there was plenty of time. I dont disagree with the thinking there and I am not blaming them. I am saying too many people stayed who should have known better it seems. 8/28/2017 3:25:10 PM |
eleusis All American 24527 Posts user info edit post |
^^a quarter of those deaths came from a single bus accident, and it isn't necessary to evacuate everyone for 100 miles when the risk is severe flooding and not 150mph winds. Evacuating 600,000 people 20 miles away is a lot easier than evacuating 6 million people 100 miles inland. Telling people to stay in place when simply staying with friends on the other side of town seems extremely shortsighted. Everyone living near the reservoirs off of Buffalo Bayou should have been informed it was not safe to stay there. 8/28/2017 6:14:13 PM |
TerdFerguson All American 6584 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "In Houston, the major roadways are designed as flood paths. It's an engineering decision to save property" |
Interesting, I did not know this, but if you look at those before/after Houston photos the roads are pretty canal-like. Hopefully they can convey the water out of town ASAP.8/28/2017 7:40:05 PM |
JT3bucky All American 23242 Posts user info edit post |
This thing has a crazy path, it's looped back into the Gulf and regaining strength. 8/28/2017 10:02:32 PM |
Dynasty2004 Bawls 5845 Posts user info edit post |
Do you have a visual for that? radar,etc 8/29/2017 9:09:18 AM |
ncsusoccer06 Veteran 197 Posts user info edit post |
^, ^^ - Some talk about here: https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/harvey-moves-back-over-water-historic-rainfall-will-continue
Overall I feel the Category 6 blog at wunderground is solid and easily digested.
[Edited on August 29, 2017 at 12:38 PM. Reason : ^] 8/29/2017 12:38:12 PM |
Dynasty2004 Bawls 5845 Posts user info edit post |
Thanks! i just wanted to see some actual graphs and shit 8/29/2017 2:30:33 PM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
Hearing models are hinting at another system in the gulf into next week... hopefully they are wrong 8/29/2017 2:53:22 PM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
Time to start watching Irma it appears gonna take a track that has potential to cause us issues down the road 8/30/2017 8:27:49 PM |
JT3bucky All American 23242 Posts user info edit post |
Tropical Storm Irma
Has the East coast or Gulf in it's sights.
Also, models have another storm forming near Houston next week
[Edited on August 31, 2017 at 10:37 AM. Reason : s] 8/31/2017 10:33:26 AM |
JP All American 16807 Posts user info edit post |
already a Cat 2
easily will be a 5 soon 8/31/2017 11:04:58 AM |
Dynasty2004 Bawls 5845 Posts user info edit post |
Where's Irma goin? 8/31/2017 7:56:34 PM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
Models trended in our favor overnight it appears giving a better chance of a fish storm. I'd wait till at least monday to really have any slight confidence in track though. 9/1/2017 8:12:29 AM |
GrimReap3r All American 2732 Posts user info edit post |
9/3/2017 12:48:35 PM |
JT3bucky All American 23242 Posts user info edit post |
That cant be right...am I looking at a storm with 883 Mb of pressure in the eye?
Wouldn't that make it the strongest storm ever to hit mainland?
9/3/2017 12:49:57 PM |
tulsigabbard Suspended 2953 Posts user info edit post |
Yeah PSU faculty had a skype session yesterday and the idea of adding a cat 6 came up. 9/3/2017 1:13:07 PM |
eyewall41 All American 2259 Posts user info edit post |
I think it is safe to say it won't have a central pressure of 883mb. I would take that with a huge grain of salt to say the least. Focus on the track forecasting for now. We are terrible with intensity prediction still. 9/3/2017 2:15:18 PM |
HiWay58 All American 5111 Posts user info edit post |
Even with a huge grain of salt, a pressure even 50 mb higher than that is hugely strong for a typical east coast storm, even the strong ones.
[Edited on September 3, 2017 at 2:31 PM. Reason : Fran was 946 by comparison] 9/3/2017 2:30:32 PM |
JP All American 16807 Posts user info edit post |
record lowest pressure for hurricane is 882mb lol
safe to say this storm will get stronger as it moves into warmer waters over the next few days, but I have doubts it'll get as strong as the GFS has shown 9/3/2017 2:49:27 PM |
eyewall41 All American 2259 Posts user info edit post |
There is no doubt it will likely be a formidable storm. I am not saying it won't be. Either way the 12z Euro keeps it from making a landfall and it right hooks away from Hatteras. Obviously that doesn't really change that this could be a significant threat as it is one op run. The aircraft will be out there this afternoon and that data will be ingested into future model runs beginning tonight most likely. 9/3/2017 3:12:02 PM |
GrimReap3r All American 2732 Posts user info edit post |
This looks enjoyable
9/3/2017 6:52:35 PM |
eyewall41 All American 2259 Posts user info edit post |
100 Knots in Raleigh 9/3/2017 8:07:44 PM |
Dynasty2004 Bawls 5845 Posts user info edit post |
the bigger question is this going to fuck with Opening day. 9/4/2017 9:56:31 AM |
rwoody Save TWW 37525 Posts user info edit post |
Opening day of what? 9/4/2017 10:23:08 AM |
Dynasty2004 Bawls 5845 Posts user info edit post |
State football game. 9/4/2017 11:05:16 AM |
JP All American 16807 Posts user info edit post |
think you're a week too late on that one 9/4/2017 12:06:25 PM |
Dynasty2004 Bawls 5845 Posts user info edit post |
For fucks sake, our first home game is Saturday. 9/4/2017 4:28:48 PM |
justinh524 Sprots Talk Mod 27747 Posts user info edit post |
Hurricane games are fun 9/4/2017 5:58:35 PM |
marko Tom Joad 72824 Posts user info edit post |
Please guys I have a match 9/4/2017 10:34:23 PM |
synapse play so hard 60929 Posts user info edit post |
Er so is that last pic like THE forecast or just a wild outlier type possibility?
[Edited on September 5, 2017 at 2:20 AM. Reason : Assuming the latter but asking for a friend ] 9/5/2017 2:20:12 AM |
dmspack oh we back 25421 Posts user info edit post |
i don't think it's gonna fuck with the football. looks like it would be next week before we got anything from it (depending, of course, on where it goes...if it comes here at all) 9/5/2017 7:16:26 AM |
Dynasty2004 Bawls 5845 Posts user info edit post |
Thanks bud. 9/5/2017 7:21:00 AM |
justinh524 Sprots Talk Mod 27747 Posts user info edit post |
9/5/2017 7:40:33 AM |
stowaway All American 11770 Posts user info edit post |
Keys are looking to get rolled. 9/5/2017 8:17:00 AM |
wdprice3 BinaryBuffonary 45912 Posts user info edit post |
Certainly not attending a hurricane game for marshburn, marshville, forbush, forman, or whatever shit team it is we're scheduled to play. 9/5/2017 8:37:52 AM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
Thursday into Friday looks like the time frame where we will start to have a better grasp on where this thing is actually gonna go. Models have shifted back east a bit this morning putting us at risk again. They all expect that 90 degree turn but where that turn happens is going to be the most important thing at this point. Either way she is a monster Cat 5 now headed at the islands so someone is getting fucked regardless. 9/5/2017 8:43:20 AM |
dmspack oh we back 25421 Posts user info edit post |
Quote : | "Certainly not attending a hurricane game for marshburn, marshville, forbush, forman, or whatever shit team it is we're scheduled to play." |
dont think it'll be a hurricane game here. we'd be getting hit next week from everything i've read/seen9/5/2017 9:33:59 AM |
Doss2k All American 18474 Posts user info edit post |
GFS a bit east again, sends it up east coast of florida then west turn into the savannah area. 9/5/2017 12:31:45 PM |