Just in running some normal errands today I've already seen 2 stores completely out of cases of water and another store down to the last few cases.

9/7/2017 1:06:54 PM

Was told the gas station on corner of blue ridge and Hillsborough is out of regular and mid grade gas now already guess I will need to stop somewhere else to top off

9/7/2017 1:19:33 PM

Newest Euro saves SC but wrecks Florida pretty hard sends it right up whole state inland



[Edited on September 7, 2017 at 2:37 PM. Reason : .]

9/7/2017 2:36:25 PM

I hate to wish ill-will on Florida...but I'm really hoping that model is spot on.

9/7/2017 4:02:05 PM

^^ thats nasty

9/7/2017 4:05:58 PM

Wow.

9/7/2017 4:11:42 PM

By that map, central Florida would get 60s not 90s right? Reds and oranges are hard to differentiate


^^^I think I'll be fine either way but I'd much rather have a cat 3 hi Charleston than a cat 4/5 hit south Florida

9/7/2017 4:15:19 PM

I mean...that basically shows it going straight to Tennessee. I'm staying in Charleston if that happens.

9/7/2017 4:15:45 PM

so if it takes the path right up the FL gut do we see any wind or rain at all?

9/7/2017 5:06:56 PM

Quote :

"I think I'll be fine either way but I'd much rather have a cat 3 hi Charleston than a cat 4/5 hit south Florida"

Not if you live in Charleston!

9/7/2017 5:52:56 PM

9/7/2017 5:57:28 PM

If you are in Charleston I'd have everything ready to go when you wake up Saturday they should know pretty well where it's going then make your call

9/7/2017 8:13:32 PM

Additionally, you should start calling hotels west of the coast now. My family is in Macon (coming from Miami, where I still am..YAY!) and the hotel they are at and the others in the grouping are all booked solid.

9/7/2017 9:12:14 PM

9/7/2017 9:40:34 PM

Quote :

"If you are in Charleston I'd have everything ready to go when you wake up Saturday they should know pretty well where it's going then make your call"

We're looking at Sunday morning as departure if necessary.

9/7/2017 10:42:49 PM

Well this is a nice change

9/7/2017 11:06:58 PM

I'm no metrologist, but that seems like worst case scenario.

9/8/2017 12:20:13 AM

For Florida. But Florida would absorb and dissipate a lot of the wind, rain, and energy so that the rest of the country (and the Carolinas) wouldn't have to. I have more family and friends in the Carolinas than Florida, so it is what it is.

9/8/2017 1:11:38 AM

Lois like Nashville and Atlanta bought to get fucked.

9/8/2017 6:09:29 AM

^^Seems like this path is almost guaranteed to cause the most deaths and damage. If true, then it's the worst case regardless of whether it affects your loved ones.

9/8/2017 6:50:15 AM

Quote :

"Lois like Nashville and Atlanta bought to get fucked."

If it does go that way, it will "only" be about a category 1 at worst though when it hits them. At most heavy rains and wind, but most people should be able to ride that out no problem.

9/8/2017 9:52:08 AM

Hurricane Fran was a Cat-1 transitioning to a tropical storm when it hit our area and we got fucked, Hugo I think was Cat-1 when it hit Charlotte and it caused tons of damage, the project speeds for Atlanta are the same as Charlotte saw for Hugo.

Nashville depends on things, but Atlanta would be a big deal

[Edited on September 8, 2017 at 11:30 AM. Reason : .]

9/8/2017 11:26:38 AM

But how are the roads?

9/8/2017 11:29:17 AM

localized swift water flooding may damage roads depending on rainfall

9/8/2017 11:30:37 AM

I have friends in Miami and West Palm beach that still have yet to evacuate. They are idiots.

This thing is going to annihilate Miami.

A few people on twitter said it showing sings that is may be gaining strength.

9/8/2017 11:48:16 AM

When is the last time a hurricane hit Illinois

9/8/2017 11:52:38 AM

The track has shifted pretty west overnight so it looks like Miami is going to be spared. Also, its not going to gain strength with much of it over Cuba. I wouldn't be suprised if its down to cat 3 by landfall. Theres a huge chunk of dry air in the eye right now.

9/8/2017 11:52:42 AM

Spared? you have 100+ mph winds that will be hitting the city for a period of hours...how is that spared? Because its not direct eye fall doesn't mean a dang thing.

The recon from the WRS shows after the ERC re-intensification. That was about an hour ago.

9/8/2017 11:57:35 AM

Its replacing its eyewall, almost complete, wind field is gonna expand even further now so top end may be weaker but overall a more powerful storm. Still a good 48 hours over super warm waters and Cuba is pretty flat out that way so shouldnt hurt it too much. Still expecting solid Cat 4 at landfall with possible Cat 5. Best case it comes in from the south where its less populated I guess although whole state is gonna be engulfed in hurricane force winds for a good 24 hours it appears.

9/8/2017 11:59:34 AM

History shows that any shift in path from here would likely be more eastern vs western, right?

It seems like the east coast hurricanes never take the middle path shown on these charts, and always end up somewhere between the middle and the right edge, but I am no meteorologist... asking for confirmation.

That said, it still has great potential to come right up the shoreline of the east coast and completely obliterate miami and other coastal cities along the way.

9/8/2017 12:07:58 PM

The models have already accounted for historical error.

I say Miami will be spared because building code is for up to Cat 4 and a few days ago we thought they might get cat 4 winds which would have done catastrophic structural damage and been a 100+ billion dollar event in Florida alone. The worst of the surge will also miss Miami. Its still a major hurricane and will do damage reaching beyond Miami but it looks like the worst case scenario will be avoided.

9/8/2017 12:19:19 PM

Quote :

"The highest risk for the worst winds is in South Florida, including the Miami area. The very strongest winds will be in the eyewall just east of Irma’s center as it moves north. Parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties have not experienced sustained Cat 2/3 winds since the 1940s. Winds will be stronger at the upper stories of high-rise buildings. Many windows not up to current code will be blown out."

https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/extremely-dangerous-cat-4-irma-headed-florida

Pretty sure that Miami will not be spared.

9/8/2017 1:17:56 PM

Well its a relative term. Im just reiterating that the previous projected path and cat 4 direct hit would have caused catastrophic damage.

9/8/2017 1:39:58 PM

Euro going west again it appears no more sharp turn more of a gradual turn. Running into Cuba seems more likely at this point which may be the only thing that saves Florida from a more major disaster.

9/8/2017 2:12:48 PM

LOL at earl. Yeah everything will be just fine. This hullabaloo is just #fakenews at this point.

9/8/2017 2:14:00 PM

National Weather Service said parts of Miami may be uninhabitable for weeks

But our resident troll is probably more trustworthy than the NWS

9/8/2017 2:40:17 PM

Quote :

"The track has shifted pretty west overnight so it looks like Miami is going to be spared."

OH MY GOD

9/8/2017 3:24:19 PM

Miami is so lucky!

9/8/2017 3:25:38 PM

Jose now a Cat 4 and tracking has a very real potential to hit some of those islands already hit by Irma...

9/8/2017 3:53:09 PM

so lucky
#Irma could be a catastrophe of historic proportions for South Florida This is what storm surge could look like in Miami by Sunday morning
https://twitter.com/ClimateCentral/status/906228821560610817

9/8/2017 3:55:56 PM

nws has a responsibility to commubicate the seriosusness of the situation. they literally put the uninhabitable for weeks line for every storm. its true but still very different than what would happen if miami toom a direct hit from a cat 4. im an expert on this but cant help you see the difference between a direct cat 4 hit and what will actually happen.

it doesnt mean the storm isnt serious. a tropical storm would be serious but there are levels to this.

9/8/2017 6:24:58 PM

this is the Lounge thread, btw, in case you thought it was Chit Chat

9/8/2017 6:27:41 PM

Yeah and I hold a meteorology degree and have a right to my opinion which is also supported by the models now showing agreement on a west coast landfall. theres always the possibility of tornadoes, but the data suggests the eyewall looks like it will miss miami. forecasts from w days ago dont mean anything anymore

If Im wrong and Miami takes cat 4 winds or widespread catastrpphic structural damage, ill own it but im definitely not taking shit from people like treetwista who are clearly just reporting what they heard from media. lastnight, Cnn was acting like jose was a threat to the mainland. They are all about hype.

all of my so called trolling ended up being true in the past. theres a way to disagree with someones opinion which some have done but some people just lurk around looking to flame.

9/8/2017 6:47:43 PM

All I'm really going off of is the Hurrevac software that I've used for years. (I've been posting screenshots from it in this very thread.)

But luckily, Miami will be spared...

9/8/2017 8:13:54 PM

Did Earl just give Tree the "Fake news MSM!!!" treatment? Lol

9/8/2017 9:10:47 PM

Dad is saying that just about all Gaston Co. hotels are no vacancy due to Fl evacuees. That is pretty incredible.

9/8/2017 9:21:59 PM

I don't think its fake news . They just have a hard time adjusting to new information which is pretty essential in weather forecasting (bad news). CNN is still talking about 10 feet of surge in Miami and pretending like Irma's not about to make landfall in Cuba.

9/8/2017 10:07:46 PM

Quote :

"Yeah and I hold a meteorology degree"

Bullshit.

In a thread about nutrition you hold a biochemistry degree. - message_topic.aspx?topic=618748&page=2#15004260

In another thread you claim to have a masters degree and in others cite "my degree" as if you only have one - message_topic.aspx?topic=611089&page=151#16304110

Now in a hurricane thread you hold a meteorology degree, but come off as way less knowledgeable than other dudes who definitely don't have a meteorology degree.

You've been on here way too long to try that dumb shit.

9/8/2017 11:36:34 PM

You are so focused on this off-topic flaming (all you ever do) that you didn't even stop and think about the possibility of someone having multiple levels of degrees across disciplines and accumulating new degrees over a period of 6 years. In the future, you might see me post about a 4th degree. I'm an academic for life so who knows where I will stop.

https://ufile.io/n4w40
CNN just said cat 4 winds could consume the entire fl peninsula. Awful mistake or blatant lie? Either way, I'm sure this lady comes off as way more knowledgeable to Synapse. But thats just a reflection on how knowledgeable he is.

[Edited on September 9, 2017 at 12:18 AM. Reason : jeez]

9/8/2017 11:59:53 PM

Cat 5 again, so lucky

9/9/2017 5:08:57 AM